Princeton
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#162
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#117
Pace66.5#224
Improvement-2.7#301

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#180
First Shot+1.3#128
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#277
Layup/Dunks+0.6#156
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#36
Freethrows-1.9#292
Improvement-4.3#344

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#169
First Shot-0.7#201
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#108
Layups/Dunks-0.6#197
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#240
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#192
Freethrows+0.2#166
Improvement+1.6#100
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.2% 15.4% 9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.6 14.0
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 96.9% 100.0% 94.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round12.2% 15.4% 9.3%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Away) - 47.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 12 - 3
Quad 36 - 68 - 8
Quad 410 - 218 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 259   Iona W 81-80 77%     1 - 0 -6.9 +7.9 -14.8
  Nov 08, 2024 132   Duquesne W 75-68 43%     2 - 0 +8.6 +2.5 +5.9
  Nov 10, 2024 212   @ Northeastern W 79-76 50%     3 - 0 +2.9 +5.4 -2.5
  Nov 15, 2024 110   Loyola Chicago L 68-73 47%     3 - 1 -4.2 -4.2 +0.1
  Nov 17, 2024 214   @ Merrimack W 68-57 50%     4 - 1 +10.9 +12.5 +0.4
  Nov 21, 2024 220   Wright St. L 62-80 62%     4 - 2 -21.2 -11.6 -10.6
  Nov 22, 2024 202   Texas St. L 80-83 58%     4 - 3 -5.2 +8.9 -14.3
  Nov 24, 2024 284   Portland W 94-67 74%     5 - 3 +20.1 +9.9 +8.5
  Dec 03, 2024 78   @ Saint Joseph's W 77-69 17%     6 - 3 +17.9 +9.1 +8.7
  Dec 07, 2024 159   @ Furman L 63-69 39%     6 - 4 -3.3 -4.9 +1.2
  Dec 10, 2024 255   Monmouth W 71-67 77%     7 - 4 -3.8 -1.4 -2.1
  Dec 21, 2024 63   Rutgers W 83-82 21%     8 - 4 +9.4 +9.3 +0.0
  Dec 30, 2024 102   Akron W 76-75 43%     9 - 4 +2.8 -0.9 +3.6
  Jan 11, 2025 251   @ Harvard W 68-64 59%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +1.5 +1.9 +0.0
  Jan 18, 2025 206   @ Dartmouth W 81-80 49%     11 - 4 2 - 0 +1.1 +8.1 -7.1
  Jan 20, 2025 275   Columbia W 71-67 80%     12 - 4 3 - 0 -4.9 -7.0 +2.2
  Jan 25, 2025 164   Cornell L 76-85 60%     12 - 5 3 - 1 -11.7 -1.1 -10.7
  Jan 31, 2025 70   Yale L 70-77 29%     12 - 6 3 - 2 -1.5 +3.1 -5.1
  Feb 01, 2025 185   Brown W 69-49 65%     13 - 6 4 - 2 +16.0 +0.6 +17.2
  Feb 07, 2025 260   @ Penn W 61-59 61%     14 - 6 5 - 2 -0.8 -9.7 +9.1
  Feb 14, 2025 185   @ Brown L 56-70 45%     14 - 7 5 - 3 -12.9 -13.7 +0.2
  Feb 15, 2025 70   @ Yale L 57-84 16%     14 - 8 5 - 4 -16.4 -9.0 -9.1
  Feb 21, 2025 251   Harvard W 76-71 76%     15 - 8 6 - 4 -2.6 +11.9 -13.7
  Feb 22, 2025 206   @ Dartmouth L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 28, 2025 275   @ Columbia W 79-75 62%    
  Mar 02, 2025 164   @ Cornell L 78-80 40%    
  Mar 08, 2025 260   Penn W 76-68 78%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.5 17.9 30.8 10.9 60.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 5.3 16.0 0.8 22.1 3rd
4th 0.9 10.8 2.3 14.0 4th
5th 1.9 1.7 3.6 5th
6th 0.3 0.3 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 3.1 18.3 36.2 31.5 10.9 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-5 0.0%
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 10.9% 19.6% 19.6% 12.9 0.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.7
9-5 31.5% 16.5% 16.5% 13.7 0.2 1.9 2.6 0.6 0.0 26.3
8-6 36.2% 11.7% 11.7% 14.1 0.0 0.7 2.3 1.1 0.0 32.0
7-7 18.3% 3.6% 3.6% 14.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 17.6
6-8 3.1% 3.1
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 13.7 0.7 4.0 5.5 2.0 0.1 87.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.1% 100.0% 12.9 24.9 59.2 15.0 0.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.4%
Lose Out 3.1%