Princeton
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#247
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#293
Pace67.0#254
Improvement-1.1#274

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#291
First Shot-3.0#259
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#260
Layup/Dunks-6.9#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#140
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#85
Freethrows-0.1#185
Improvement-1.2#279

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#175
First Shot-2.3#247
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#71
Layups/Dunks-3.9#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#118
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#142
Freethrows-0.8#234
Improvement+0.1#175
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 3.0% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 3.9% 6.9% 1.8%
.500 or above in Conference 29.5% 34.5% 25.8%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.2% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 26.2% 22.5% 29.0%
First Four1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
First Round1.8% 2.6% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Away) - 42.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 92 - 14
Quad 47 - 59 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 54 @Akron L 69-104 6%     0 - 1 -22.4 -8.5 -10.5
  Tue, Nov 11 304 Bucknell W 73-63 72%     1 - 1 -0.9 -3.3 +2.6
  Sat, Nov 15 18 @Kansas L 57-76 2%     1 - 2 +0.1 -5.5 +5.8
  Tue, Nov 18 174 @Iona L 69-89 26%     1 - 3 -18.2 -10.1 -6.2
  Thu, Nov 20 227 Northeastern W 70-57 59%     2 - 3 +6.0 -1.6 +8.2
  Mon, Nov 24 124 Bradley L 64-88 23%     2 - 4 -21.1 -6.2 -15.0
  Tue, Nov 25 157 Temple L 75-79 33%     2 - 5 -4.1 +1.4 -5.6
  Wed, Nov 26 189 Vermont L 74-79 40%     2 - 6 -7.1 +3.7 -11.3
  Sun, Nov 30 184 Saint Joseph's L 58-60 38%     2 - 7 -3.7 -6.8 +2.9
  Wed, Dec 3 205 @Monmouth L 58-63 31%     2 - 8 -4.7 -12.1 +7.2
  Sat, Dec 6 259 @Loyola Chicago L 68-70 42%    
  Wed, Dec 10 277 Merrimack W 69-64 67%    
  Mon, Dec 22 157 @Temple L 70-78 24%    
  Tue, Dec 30 189 Vermont W 71-70 52%    
  Mon, Jan 5 240 Penn W 74-71 60%    
  Sat, Jan 10 73 Yale L 69-78 19%    
  Sat, Jan 17 193 @Harvard L 65-70 31%    
  Mon, Jan 19 261 @Dartmouth L 71-73 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 225 Brown W 65-63 58%    
  Fri, Jan 30 150 @Cornell L 75-83 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 140 @Columbia L 67-76 20%    
  Sat, Feb 7 240 @Penn L 71-74 39%    
  Fri, Feb 13 150 Cornell L 78-80 43%    
  Sat, Feb 14 140 Columbia L 70-73 38%    
  Fri, Feb 20 225 @Brown L 62-66 36%    
  Fri, Feb 27 193 Harvard W 68-67 52%    
  Sat, Feb 28 261 Dartmouth W 74-70 64%    
  Sat, Mar 7 73 @Yale L 66-81 9%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.2 1.7 2.8 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.1 4.6 1.8 0.2 10.1 3rd
4th 0.4 4.5 6.5 2.1 0.1 13.6 4th
5th 0.4 4.8 8.6 2.6 0.1 16.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 5.0 9.1 3.0 0.2 17.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.3 8.3 3.1 0.1 17.9 7th
8th 0.5 2.5 5.2 5.6 2.0 0.1 16.0 8th
Total 0.5 2.6 6.3 11.4 15.7 17.6 16.6 12.6 8.5 5.1 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 85.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
11-3 61.9% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1
10-4 26.3% 0.6    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
9-5 6.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.3% 16.0% 16.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-3 0.7% 13.5% 13.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
10-4 2.3% 13.4% 13.4% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.0
9-5 5.1% 11.7% 11.7% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 4.5
8-6 8.5% 7.1% 7.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 7.9
7-7 12.6% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.5 12.1
6-8 16.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 16.5
5-9 17.6% 17.6
4-10 15.7% 15.7
3-11 11.4% 11.4
2-12 6.3% 6.3
1-13 2.6% 2.6
0-14 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%