Princeton
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#107
Expected Predictive Rating+13.3#28
Pace69.5#177
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#71
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#160
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 0.9% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 33.8% 37.1% 28.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.1% 1.6% 0.4%
Average Seed 12.3 12.0 12.7
.500 or above 92.9% 96.3% 87.6%
.500 or above in Conference 90.8% 92.7% 87.8%
Conference Champion 42.6% 46.8% 35.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.8% 1.7%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
First Round33.5% 36.8% 28.3%
Second Round6.7% 8.1% 4.6%
Sweet Sixteen1.7% 2.1% 1.1%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Home) - 61.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 37 - 49 - 6
Quad 410 - 218 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 221   Iona W 81-80 84%     1 - 0 -5.1 +5.0 -10.1
  Nov 08, 2024 157   Duquesne W 75-68 64%     2 - 0 +7.6 +2.6 +4.8
  Nov 10, 2024 170   @ Northeastern W 79-76 57%     3 - 0 +5.5 +5.6 -0.2
  Nov 15, 2024 108   Loyola Chicago W 75-72 61%    
  Nov 17, 2024 206   @ Merrimack W 70-66 64%    
  Nov 21, 2024 189   Wright St. W 84-78 71%    
  Dec 03, 2024 106   @ Saint Joseph's L 73-76 38%    
  Dec 07, 2024 148   @ Furman W 76-75 52%    
  Dec 10, 2024 285   Monmouth W 82-68 89%    
  Dec 21, 2024 37   Rutgers L 69-76 28%    
  Dec 30, 2024 135   Akron W 77-71 70%    
  Jan 11, 2025 236   @ Harvard W 76-71 66%    
  Jan 18, 2025 329   @ Dartmouth W 76-65 83%    
  Jan 20, 2025 182   Columbia W 83-74 78%    
  Jan 25, 2025 183   Cornell W 85-76 77%    
  Jan 31, 2025 110   Yale W 78-74 62%    
  Feb 01, 2025 199   Brown W 78-68 80%    
  Feb 07, 2025 208   @ Penn W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 14, 2025 199   @ Brown W 75-71 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 110   @ Yale L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 21, 2025 236   Harvard W 79-68 82%    
  Feb 22, 2025 329   @ Dartmouth W 76-65 82%    
  Feb 28, 2025 182   @ Columbia W 80-77 59%    
  Mar 01, 2025 183   @ Cornell W 82-79 59%    
  Mar 08, 2025 208   Penn W 79-69 81%    
Projected Record 18 - 7 10 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.3 6.1 11.5 12.3 8.4 3.0 42.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.9 7.2 9.4 4.9 0.9 24.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 5.6 5.2 1.5 0.0 13.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.0 3.2 0.5 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.5 2.0 0.3 5.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.2 0.2 3.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.6 4.7 7.5 11.0 14.2 17.0 16.5 13.2 8.4 3.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 3.0    3.0
13-1 100.0% 8.4    8.1 0.3
12-2 92.9% 12.3    10.3 2.0 0.0
11-3 69.8% 11.5    7.0 4.2 0.4
10-4 35.9% 6.1    1.9 3.0 1.1 0.1 0.0
9-5 9.2% 1.3    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 42.6% 42.6 30.3 9.9 2.0 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 3.0% 76.5% 67.8% 8.7% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 27.0%
13-1 8.4% 62.3% 58.0% 4.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 3.2 10.2%
12-2 13.2% 52.3% 51.4% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.3 1.8%
11-3 16.5% 40.9% 40.8% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.3 3.4 2.5 0.5 0.0 9.7 0.1%
10-4 17.0% 34.2% 34.2% 12.9 0.1 1.9 2.7 1.1 0.1 11.2
9-5 14.2% 28.5% 28.5% 13.3 0.0 0.7 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 10.2
8-6 11.0% 20.2% 20.2% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 8.8
7-7 7.5% 6.8% 6.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 7.0
6-8 4.7% 0.6% 0.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.7
5-9 2.6% 2.6
4-10 1.2% 1.2
3-11 0.5% 0.5
2-12 0.2% 0.2
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 33.8% 33.0% 0.7% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 3.8 13.0 10.0 3.9 1.0 0.1 66.2 1.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 5.3 2.9 7.1 34.3 20.0 17.1 7.1 4.3 1.4 1.4 4.3