Penn
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#248
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#189
Pace71.9#123
Improvement+0.1#185

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#183
First Shot-2.7#252
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#67
Layup/Dunks-6.5#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#115
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#153
Freethrows+1.9#78
Improvement+0.1#173

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#319
First Shot-2.9#270
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#270
Layups/Dunks-5.3#340
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#287
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#137
Freethrows+2.6#47
Improvement-0.1#197
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 2.6% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 23.2% 27.5% 8.5%
.500 or above in Conference 29.3% 31.4% 21.7%
Conference Champion 1.6% 1.8% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 27.1% 25.2% 33.8%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round2.3% 2.6% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Home) - 77.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 53 - 11
Quad 49 - 411 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 242 @American L 78-84 37%     0 - 1 -7.5 -1.9 -5.1
  Tue, Nov 11 65 @Providence L 81-106 7%     0 - 2 -13.4 +2.1 -12.7
  Mon, Nov 17 178 Saint Joseph's W 83-74 48%     1 - 2 +4.6 +4.0 -0.1
  Fri, Nov 21 267 @Drexel W 84-68 41%     2 - 2 +13.4 +14.2 -0.1
  Fri, Nov 28 283 Merrimack W 77-65 68%     3 - 2 +2.4 +2.7 +0.1
  Sat, Nov 29 225 La Salle W 73-71 58%     4 - 2 -4.8 +4.9 -9.5
  Sun, Nov 30 139 Hofstra L 60-77 37%     4 - 3 -18.4 -8.4 -10.8
  Sat, Dec 6 38 Villanova L 63-90 6%     4 - 4 -14.4 -0.9 -15.1
  Mon, Dec 8 327 Lafayette W 79-71 78%    
  Sat, Dec 20 123 @Rutgers L 69-79 16%    
  Sun, Dec 28 74 @George Mason L 65-81 7%    
  Wed, Dec 31 348 NJIT W 80-70 83%    
  Mon, Jan 5 250 @Princeton L 72-75 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 226 Brown W 71-69 57%    
  Sat, Jan 17 268 @Dartmouth L 79-81 42%    
  Mon, Jan 19 202 @Harvard L 71-76 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 73 Yale L 75-85 19%    
  Fri, Jan 30 130 @Columbia L 73-83 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 150 @Cornell L 82-90 23%    
  Sat, Feb 7 250 Princeton W 75-72 61%    
  Fri, Feb 13 130 Columbia L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Feb 14 150 Cornell L 85-87 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 73 @Yale L 72-88 8%    
  Fri, Feb 27 268 Dartmouth W 82-78 63%    
  Sat, Feb 28 202 Harvard W 74-73 53%    
  Fri, Mar 6 226 @Brown L 68-72 36%    
Projected Record 11 - 15 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.2 1.5 2.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.2 4.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.2 3rd
4th 0.4 4.5 6.7 2.1 0.2 0.0 13.8 4th
5th 0.4 5.1 7.9 2.5 0.1 16.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 5.2 8.7 2.8 0.1 17.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.4 8.5 2.9 0.1 18.1 7th
8th 0.6 2.6 5.7 5.8 2.1 0.1 16.9 8th
Total 0.6 2.6 6.8 11.8 16.3 17.3 15.5 12.7 8.3 4.8 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 92.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1
11-3 60.5% 0.5    0.3 0.3 0.0
10-4 22.3% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-5 4.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.3% 25.9% 25.9% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-3 0.9% 17.7% 17.7% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
10-4 2.2% 12.3% 12.3% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.0
9-5 4.8% 9.7% 9.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.3
8-6 8.3% 8.6% 8.6% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 7.6
7-7 12.7% 3.9% 3.9% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 12.2
6-8 15.5% 1.2% 1.2% 15.7 0.1 0.1 15.3
5-9 17.3% 17.3
4-10 16.3% 16.3
3-11 11.8% 11.8
2-12 6.8% 6.8
1-13 2.6% 2.6
0-14 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 0.5 97.6 0.0%