Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#146
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#158
Pace62.5#335
Improvement-0.1#182

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#187
First Shot-2.1#237
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#102
Layup/Dunks+1.8#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#184
Freethrows-3.7#350
Improvement-1.1#271

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#141
First Shot+0.6#154
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#146
Layups/Dunks-3.8#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#129
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#97
Freethrows+1.6#74
Improvement+1.0#111
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.6% 15.3% 11.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.4 13.9
.500 or above 90.2% 96.9% 88.6%
.500 or above in Conference 85.3% 90.0% 84.2%
Conference Champion 19.3% 24.6% 18.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.4% 0.9%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round12.5% 15.2% 11.9%
Second Round0.9% 1.3% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn St. (Home) - 19.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 35 - 66 - 8
Quad 414 - 520 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 223   Colgate W 73-56 74%     1 - 0 +10.8 +1.4 +10.4
  Nov 12, 2024 119   @ Temple L 61-69 31%     1 - 1 -2.4 -2.7 -0.4
  Nov 16, 2024 164   La Salle L 68-71 64%     1 - 2 -6.4 -5.5 -0.9
  Nov 19, 2024 280   @ Fairfield W 67-61 65%     2 - 2 +2.4 -2.9 +5.9
  Nov 22, 2024 169   @ Fordham W 73-71 42%     3 - 2 +4.4 +8.4 -3.9
  Nov 25, 2024 144   Purdue Fort Wayne L 81-87 50%     3 - 3 -5.5 +11.7 -17.7
  Nov 26, 2024 360   Chicago St. W 83-71 91%     4 - 3 -2.2 +12.4 -13.7
  Dec 02, 2024 178   Bryant L 73-78 66%     4 - 4 -8.9 -3.0 -5.8
  Dec 07, 2024 274   Penn W 60-47 74%     5 - 4 +6.8 -12.8 +20.6
  Dec 14, 2024 236   @ Albany W 77-70 56%     6 - 4 +5.9 +6.3 +0.0
  Dec 17, 2024 255   @ Howard W 68-65 60%     7 - 4 +0.9 -4.5 +5.5
  Dec 21, 2024 30   Penn St. L 67-76 19%    
  Jan 02, 2025 295   @ Campbell W 68-63 67%    
  Jan 04, 2025 321   @ N.C. A&T W 76-70 73%    
  Jan 09, 2025 307   @ Stony Brook W 71-65 70%    
  Jan 11, 2025 213   Towson W 64-58 71%    
  Jan 16, 2025 179   Elon W 69-65 65%    
  Jan 20, 2025 151   Hofstra W 64-61 62%    
  Jan 23, 2025 160   @ Northeastern L 66-68 42%    
  Jan 25, 2025 219   Delaware W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 30, 2025 272   @ Monmouth W 69-66 62%    
  Feb 01, 2025 213   @ Towson L 61-62 50%    
  Feb 06, 2025 222   William & Mary W 78-72 72%    
  Feb 08, 2025 134   UNC Wilmington W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 13, 2025 266   @ Hampton W 67-64 61%    
  Feb 15, 2025 222   @ William & Mary W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 20, 2025 219   @ Delaware W 73-72 50%    
  Feb 22, 2025 121   College of Charleston W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 27, 2025 266   Hampton W 70-61 79%    
  Mar 01, 2025 272   Monmouth W 72-63 80%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.7 5.6 5.5 3.4 1.3 0.2 19.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.7 6.2 4.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 16.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.0 6.3 3.4 0.6 0.0 13.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.6 3.4 0.5 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.1 4.0 0.7 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 4.3 1.1 0.0 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.5 1.6 0.1 6.3 7th
8th 0.4 2.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 5.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 2.1 0.4 3.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.6 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.1 1.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.2 4.1 6.5 9.1 12.1 14.2 14.6 12.8 10.5 6.9 3.5 1.3 0.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.7% 1.3    1.2 0.0
16-2 96.8% 3.4    2.9 0.5 0.0
15-3 80.0% 5.5    3.9 1.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 53.4% 5.6    2.5 2.3 0.7 0.1
13-5 20.9% 2.7    0.6 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.3% 19.3 11.4 5.7 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 30.1% 30.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-1 1.3% 34.3% 34.3% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8
16-2 3.5% 28.1% 28.1% 12.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 2.5
15-3 6.9% 24.3% 24.3% 13.1 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.0 5.2
14-4 10.5% 22.2% 22.2% 13.5 0.1 1.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.2
13-5 12.8% 18.1% 18.1% 13.9 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.4 0.0 10.5
12-6 14.6% 13.3% 13.3% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.0 12.7
11-7 14.2% 9.1% 9.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 12.9
10-8 12.1% 6.7% 6.7% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 11.3
9-9 9.1% 4.5% 4.5% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.7
8-10 6.5% 2.6% 2.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.4
7-11 4.1% 1.6% 1.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 4.1
6-12 2.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.1
5-13 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-14 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 12.6% 12.6% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.8 2.4 0.3 87.4 0.0%