Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#144
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#192
Pace62.5#340
Improvement-1.1#306

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#195
First Shot-5.9#326
After Offensive Rebound+5.2#11
Layup/Dunks-1.0#218
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#242
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#124
Freethrows-5.4#350
Improvement-0.4#240

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#121
First Shot+0.0#178
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#78
Layups/Dunks-0.4#182
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#83
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#166
Freethrows-1.9#282
Improvement-0.8#283
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.8% 14.2% 9.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.1 13.7
.500 or above 73.1% 83.8% 65.0%
.500 or above in Conference 81.3% 86.0% 77.7%
Conference Champion 16.8% 20.9% 13.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.8% 1.6%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round11.7% 14.2% 9.8%
Second Round1.4% 2.1% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 43.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 36 - 76 - 10
Quad 411 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 189   Colgate W 73-56 70%     1 - 0 +12.7 +4.5 +9.2
  Nov 12, 2024 113   @ Temple L 61-69 29%     1 - 1 -1.3 -3.7 +1.7
  Nov 16, 2024 120   La Salle L 68-71 54%     1 - 2 -3.0 -3.8 +0.8
  Nov 19, 2024 274   @ Fairfield W 67-61 65%     2 - 2 +3.2 +1.5 +2.2
  Nov 22, 2024 161   @ Fordham L 66-68 43%    
  Nov 25, 2024 140   Purdue Fort Wayne L 70-71 49%    
  Dec 02, 2024 159   Bryant W 75-71 64%    
  Dec 14, 2024 248   @ Albany W 73-71 58%    
  Dec 17, 2024 232   @ Howard W 69-68 56%    
  Dec 21, 2024 32   Penn St. L 67-76 21%    
  Jan 02, 2025 257   @ Campbell W 67-64 60%    
  Jan 04, 2025 272   @ N.C. A&T W 73-69 63%    
  Jan 09, 2025 285   @ Stony Brook W 69-65 65%    
  Jan 11, 2025 134   Towson W 63-61 58%    
  Jan 16, 2025 263   Elon W 73-64 79%    
  Jan 20, 2025 131   Hofstra W 66-64 57%    
  Jan 23, 2025 148   @ Northeastern L 66-69 40%    
  Jan 25, 2025 213   Delaware W 72-65 72%    
  Jan 30, 2025 261   @ Monmouth W 70-67 61%    
  Feb 01, 2025 134   @ Towson L 60-64 37%    
  Feb 06, 2025 208   William & Mary W 75-69 71%    
  Feb 08, 2025 150   UNC Wilmington W 71-67 62%    
  Feb 13, 2025 310   @ Hampton W 67-61 71%    
  Feb 15, 2025 208   @ William & Mary W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 20, 2025 213   @ Delaware W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 22, 2025 116   College of Charleston W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 27, 2025 310   Hampton W 70-58 86%    
  Mar 01, 2025 261   Monmouth W 73-64 78%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.2 5.0 3.5 1.6 0.4 16.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.2 4.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.3 5.2 4.2 1.0 0.1 12.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 5.0 3.9 0.9 0.1 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.1 4.0 0.9 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.6 4.2 1.1 0.1 8.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 3.8 1.5 0.1 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.8 2.1 0.2 0.0 5.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.1 0.3 0.0 4.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 1.9 0.6 3.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.8 0.1 2.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 1.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.3 5.1 7.2 9.7 11.7 12.9 12.7 12.1 9.6 6.8 3.8 1.6 0.4 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 99.7% 1.6    1.5 0.1
16-2 93.8% 3.5    2.9 0.6 0.0
15-3 73.9% 5.0    3.1 1.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 43.4% 4.2    1.6 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.5% 1.7    0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.8% 16.8 10.0 4.8 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 49.4% 47.6% 1.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3.4%
17-1 1.6% 40.9% 40.4% 0.5% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.8%
16-2 3.8% 35.3% 35.3% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 2.4
15-3 6.8% 26.8% 26.8% 12.8 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 5.0
14-4 9.6% 20.8% 20.8% 13.2 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.1 7.6
13-5 12.1% 17.8% 17.8% 13.6 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 9.9
12-6 12.7% 12.3% 12.3% 14.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 11.2
11-7 12.9% 7.7% 7.7% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 11.9
10-8 11.7% 4.3% 4.3% 14.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 11.2
9-9 9.7% 2.9% 2.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 9.4
8-10 7.2% 2.6% 2.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.0
7-11 5.1% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.0
6-12 3.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.2
5-13 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.8
4-14 0.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.9
3-15 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.8% 11.8% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.9 3.3 1.5 0.4 88.2 0.0%