Preseason Rankings
Florida International
Conference USA
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#210
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.5#111
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#242
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#185
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 6.0% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 12.5 13.4
.500 or above 27.3% 54.0% 25.2%
.500 or above in Conference 32.0% 51.3% 30.4%
Conference Champion 2.9% 6.1% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 19.8% 9.8% 20.6%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round2.9% 6.0% 2.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska (Away) - 7.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 34 - 85 - 14
Quad 47 - 412 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2025 60   @ Nebraska L 65-80 7%    
  Nov 13, 2025 52   @ LSU L 64-80 7%    
  Nov 24, 2025 129   James Madison L 69-71 43%    
  Nov 26, 2025 182   Nebraska Omaha W 74-72 55%    
  Dec 03, 2025 181   Florida Gulf Coast W 70-68 56%    
  Dec 06, 2025 253   Jacksonville W 72-67 67%    
  Dec 16, 2025 56   @ Miami (FL) L 65-81 9%    
  Dec 20, 2025 300   LIU Brooklyn W 70-62 74%    
  Dec 28, 2025 97   Liberty L 66-71 33%    
  Jan 02, 2026 138   New Mexico St. L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 04, 2026 157   UTEP W 71-70 50%    
  Jan 07, 2026 153   @ Jacksonville St. L 64-70 30%    
  Jan 10, 2026 162   @ Missouri St. L 64-69 32%    
  Jan 14, 2026 142   @ Kennesaw St. L 72-79 27%    
  Jan 17, 2026 194   Sam Houston St. W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 22, 2026 157   @ UTEP L 68-74 31%    
  Jan 24, 2026 138   @ New Mexico St. L 64-71 26%    
  Jan 28, 2026 153   Jacksonville St. L 67-68 50%    
  Feb 04, 2026 147   @ Middle Tennessee L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 07, 2026 156   @ Western Kentucky L 73-79 31%    
  Feb 12, 2026 242   Delaware W 78-74 64%    
  Feb 14, 2026 143   Louisiana Tech L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 19, 2026 97   @ Liberty L 63-74 18%    
  Feb 21, 2026 162   Missouri St. W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 26, 2026 194   @ Sam Houston St. L 70-74 37%    
  Feb 28, 2026 143   @ Louisiana Tech L 63-70 29%    
  Mar 05, 2026 147   Middle Tennessee L 71-72 48%    
  Mar 07, 2026 156   Western Kentucky W 77-76 50%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.3 1.5 0.2 0.0 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.2 2.7 0.4 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.3 3.1 0.6 0.0 11.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.7 4.4 3.0 0.7 0.0 11.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.5 4.4 2.7 0.6 0.0 13.4 11th
12th 0.5 1.6 3.1 3.6 3.1 1.5 0.3 0.0 13.7 12th
Total 0.5 1.7 3.5 5.4 7.5 9.1 10.0 10.3 10.3 9.7 8.3 6.8 5.7 4.3 3.0 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 91.8% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 90.7% 0.5    0.4 0.1
16-4 65.2% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 37.0% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1
14-6 16.6% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 80.4% 60.3% 20.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.6%
19-1 0.1% 46.0% 42.2% 3.8% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.7%
18-2 0.2% 39.3% 36.1% 3.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 5.1%
17-3 0.5% 25.7% 25.7% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0%
16-4 1.1% 20.5% 20.5% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
15-5 1.9% 20.0% 20.0% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5
14-6 3.0% 13.2% 13.2% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.6
13-7 4.3% 8.8% 8.8% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.9
12-8 5.7% 7.5% 7.5% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.3
11-9 6.8% 3.8% 3.8% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.6
10-10 8.3% 2.7% 2.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.1
9-11 9.7% 1.7% 1.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.6
8-12 10.3% 0.8% 0.8% 17.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.2
7-13 10.3% 0.3% 0.3% 17.9 0.0 0.0 10.3
6-14 10.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.0
5-15 9.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.1
4-16 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.5
3-17 5.4% 5.4
2-18 3.5% 3.5
1-19 1.7% 1.7
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 97.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%