Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#189
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#190
Pace74.8#53
Improvement+2.6#36

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#204
First Shot-1.0#205
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#202
Layup/Dunks-0.3#182
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#194
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#150
Freethrows-1.5#268
Improvement+1.3#75

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#177
First Shot+5.5#39
After Offensive Rebounds-6.0#364
Layups/Dunks+5.7#31
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#214
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#182
Freethrows-0.2#195
Improvement+1.3#84
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 6.7% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.1 13.9
.500 or above 39.4% 66.4% 38.3%
.500 or above in Conference 45.0% 61.5% 44.3%
Conference Champion 3.2% 7.7% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 2.7% 7.8%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round3.8% 6.6% 3.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (FL) (Away) - 4.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 13
Quad 49 - 414 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 48 @Nebraska L 66-96 8%     0 - 1 -16.2 -6.4 -7.2
  Thu, Nov 13 31 @LSU L 81-98 5%     0 - 2 -0.4 +7.7 -6.4
  Mon, Nov 24 177 James Madison L 72-80 60%     0 - 3 -12.4 -3.2 -9.5
  Wed, Nov 26 233 Nebraska Omaha W 74-61 70%     1 - 3 +5.8 -6.1 +11.5
  Wed, Dec 3 174 Florida Gulf Coast W 89-83 59%     2 - 3 +1.8 +5.4 -4.0
  Sat, Dec 6 291 Jacksonville W 88-65 79%     3 - 3 +12.7 +13.3 -0.1
  Tue, Dec 16 32 @Miami (FL) L 68-86 4%    
  Sat, Dec 20 227 LIU Brooklyn W 81-76 68%    
  Sun, Dec 28 94 Liberty L 73-77 34%    
  Fri, Jan 2 127 New Mexico St. L 72-73 46%    
  Sun, Jan 4 241 UTEP W 73-67 70%    
  Wed, Jan 7 239 @Jacksonville St. L 69-70 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 255 @Missouri St. W 72-71 51%    
  Wed, Jan 14 152 @Kennesaw St. L 81-86 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 126 Sam Houston St. L 79-80 46%    
  Thu, Jan 22 241 @UTEP L 70-71 49%    
  Sat, Jan 24 127 @New Mexico St. L 69-76 26%    
  Wed, Jan 28 239 Jacksonville St. W 72-66 69%    
  Wed, Feb 4 136 @Middle Tennessee L 73-80 28%    
  Sat, Feb 7 128 @Western Kentucky L 77-84 26%    
  Thu, Feb 12 296 Delaware W 79-70 78%    
  Sat, Feb 14 193 Louisiana Tech W 71-68 61%    
  Thu, Feb 19 94 @Liberty L 70-80 18%    
  Sat, Feb 21 255 Missouri St. W 74-68 71%    
  Thu, Feb 26 126 @Sam Houston St. L 76-83 27%    
  Sat, Feb 28 193 @Louisiana Tech L 68-71 41%    
  Thu, Mar 5 136 Middle Tennessee L 76-77 48%    
  Sat, Mar 7 128 Western Kentucky L 80-81 47%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.4 2.1 0.3 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.0 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.5 3.3 0.5 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.3 3.6 0.6 0.0 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.5 3.3 0.6 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.6 2.8 0.7 0.0 9.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.8 1.9 0.5 0.0 7.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 3.5 5.8 7.9 10.2 12.3 12.6 12.0 10.3 8.5 6.0 3.9 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 91.6% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 72.1% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
15-5 38.1% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1
14-6 14.8% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 31.7% 31.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.5% 30.5% 30.5% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-4 1.2% 19.8% 19.8% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
15-5 2.4% 16.1% 16.1% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.0
14-6 3.9% 13.9% 13.9% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.4
13-7 6.0% 9.4% 9.4% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 5.5
12-8 8.5% 7.5% 7.5% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.9
11-9 10.3% 4.3% 4.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.8
10-10 12.0% 2.9% 2.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.6
9-11 12.6% 1.5% 1.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.4
8-12 12.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.2
7-13 10.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.1
6-14 7.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.8
5-15 5.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.8
4-16 3.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.5
3-17 1.7% 1.7
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.4 96.1 0.0%