Preseason Rankings
California
Atlantic Coast
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.8#109
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.4#116
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#119
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#118
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.2% 1.3% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.5% 8.3% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.1% 7.9% 1.8%
Average Seed 8.9 8.9 9.1
.500 or above 35.9% 39.0% 13.9%
.500 or above in Conference 20.2% 21.8% 9.2%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 21.2% 19.6% 32.7%
First Four1.7% 1.9% 0.4%
First Round6.6% 7.3% 1.7%
Second Round3.0% 3.3% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Bakersfield (Home) - 87.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 9
Quad 23 - 65 - 14
Quad 33 - 38 - 17
Quad 46 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 278   Cal St. Bakersfield W 73-61 88%    
  Nov 07, 2024 345   Cal Poly W 78-59 96%    
  Nov 13, 2024 89   @ Vanderbilt L 69-75 29%    
  Nov 17, 2024 46   @ USC L 69-78 20%    
  Nov 21, 2024 229   Air Force W 72-62 82%    
  Nov 24, 2024 300   Sacramento St. W 74-60 89%    
  Nov 27, 2024 362   Mercyhurst W 83-58 99%    
  Dec 03, 2024 58   @ Missouri L 69-77 24%    
  Dec 07, 2024 93   Stanford W 76-75 52%    
  Dec 10, 2024 172   Cornell W 83-76 73%    
  Dec 14, 2024 333   Northwestern St. W 81-64 93%    
  Dec 21, 2024 47   San Diego St. L 66-72 30%    
  Jan 01, 2025 52   @ Pittsburgh L 66-75 23%    
  Jan 04, 2025 43   @ Clemson L 66-76 21%    
  Jan 08, 2025 57   Virginia L 61-63 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 74   Virginia Tech L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 15, 2025 7   @ North Carolina L 69-85 9%    
  Jan 18, 2025 49   @ North Carolina St. L 69-78 23%    
  Jan 22, 2025 83   Florida St. L 76-77 49%    
  Jan 25, 2025 36   Miami (FL) L 73-77 36%    
  Jan 29, 2025 78   @ SMU L 70-77 29%    
  Feb 01, 2025 56   Syracuse L 76-78 42%    
  Feb 05, 2025 49   North Carolina St. L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 41   Wake Forest L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 12, 2025 4   @ Duke L 63-81 7%    
  Feb 15, 2025 80   @ Georgia Tech L 70-77 29%    
  Feb 22, 2025 93   @ Stanford L 73-78 33%    
  Feb 26, 2025 78   SMU L 73-74 48%    
  Mar 01, 2025 114   Boston College W 73-70 61%    
  Mar 05, 2025 50   @ Louisville L 71-80 24%    
  Mar 08, 2025 66   @ Notre Dame L 64-72 27%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 1.8 0.6 0.0 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 3.8 8th
9th 0.2 1.7 2.2 0.4 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 2.8 1.2 0.1 5.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.8 2.4 0.3 5.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.8 3.6 0.9 0.0 6.4 12th
13th 0.0 1.1 3.8 2.2 0.2 7.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 3.4 3.6 0.6 0.0 8.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.4 1.5 0.1 9.3 15th
16th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.5 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.6 16th
17th 0.1 1.1 3.3 4.6 2.7 0.5 0.0 12.3 17th
18th 0.9 2.5 4.0 3.7 2.1 0.5 0.1 13.7 18th
Total 0.9 2.6 5.1 7.7 10.0 11.1 12.0 11.5 10.3 8.5 6.7 5.1 3.6 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 94.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 57.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 29.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 10.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.0% 100.0% 31.3% 68.8% 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 5.4% 94.6% 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.4% 99.7% 11.8% 87.9% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
15-5 0.7% 94.9% 8.7% 86.1% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.4%
14-6 1.4% 82.7% 5.4% 77.3% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 81.8%
13-7 2.1% 63.9% 3.5% 60.3% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 62.5%
12-8 3.6% 42.9% 1.6% 41.3% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 2.1 42.0%
11-9 5.1% 24.5% 0.7% 23.8% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 3.8 24.0%
10-10 6.7% 10.6% 0.3% 10.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.0 10.3%
9-11 8.5% 2.2% 0.1% 2.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.3 2.1%
8-12 10.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 10.3 0.4%
7-13 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
6-14 12.0% 12.0
5-15 11.1% 11.1
4-16 10.0% 10.0
3-17 7.7% 7.7
2-18 5.1% 5.1
1-19 2.6% 2.6
0-20 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 7.5% 0.4% 7.1% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 92.5 7.1%