Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#266
Expected Predictive Rating-11.7#334
Pace68.4#200
Improvement+2.0#59

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#182
First Shot+5.6#43
After Offensive Rebound-5.8#363
Layup/Dunks+2.2#108
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#292
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#91
Freethrows+2.3#68
Improvement+1.0#96

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#339
First Shot-8.0#361
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#40
Layups/Dunks-3.8#304
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#227
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#325
Freethrows+0.6#143
Improvement+1.0#93
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 5.7% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 10.8% 14.2% 4.2%
.500 or above in Conference 45.0% 49.8% 36.1%
Conference Champion 4.5% 5.5% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 14.0% 11.7% 18.5%
First Four2.7% 2.9% 2.3%
First Round3.8% 4.5% 2.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Arizona (Home) - 65.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 48 - 79 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 103   @ Minnesota L 57-80 11%     0 - 1 -15.6 -5.5 -11.8
  Nov 13, 2024 219   @ Tulsa L 76-85 28%     0 - 2 -8.6 +5.3 -14.1
  Nov 19, 2024 132   @ Belmont L 80-90 16%     0 - 3 -5.2 +0.1 -4.3
  Nov 21, 2024 40   @ Mississippi L 68-100 4%     0 - 4 -17.5 -3.0 -12.9
  Dec 01, 2024 169   Missouri St. L 67-72 41%     0 - 5 -8.4 +1.9 -10.9
  Dec 04, 2024 294   Northern Arizona W 75-71 65%    
  Dec 07, 2024 230   @ Idaho St. L 66-71 31%    
  Dec 16, 2024 24   @ Texas Tech L 63-86 2%    
  Dec 22, 2024 97   @ Oklahoma St. L 71-85 10%    
  Jan 04, 2025 277   @ UMKC L 69-71 41%    
  Jan 09, 2025 204   North Dakota St. L 74-75 47%    
  Jan 11, 2025 285   North Dakota W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 16, 2025 243   @ South Dakota L 79-83 35%    
  Jan 18, 2025 117   @ South Dakota St. L 71-83 15%    
  Jan 23, 2025 335   Denver W 80-73 75%    
  Jan 25, 2025 298   Nebraska Omaha W 77-73 65%    
  Jan 29, 2025 156   @ St. Thomas L 71-80 21%    
  Feb 01, 2025 277   UMKC W 72-68 62%    
  Feb 08, 2025 243   South Dakota W 82-80 56%    
  Feb 13, 2025 204   @ North Dakota St. L 71-78 27%    
  Feb 15, 2025 285   @ North Dakota L 74-76 42%    
  Feb 19, 2025 335   @ Denver W 77-76 55%    
  Feb 22, 2025 156   St. Thomas L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 27, 2025 117   South Dakota St. L 74-80 32%    
  Mar 01, 2025 298   @ Nebraska Omaha L 74-76 44%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 4.2 4.4 1.7 0.1 0.0 11.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 5.5 5.3 1.3 0.1 13.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 6.0 5.8 1.3 0.0 14.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.8 5.7 1.2 0.1 14.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.4 5.0 1.1 0.0 13.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.3 3.7 0.9 0.0 11.1 8th
9th 0.2 1.0 2.1 2.8 1.7 0.4 0.0 8.3 9th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.4 4.8 7.7 11.2 13.4 14.3 13.4 11.5 8.7 6.0 3.3 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 93.0% 0.6    0.5 0.1
13-3 73.8% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
12-4 44.3% 1.5    0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-5 16.2% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
10-6 2.9% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 39.0% 39.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.7% 27.6% 27.6% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-3 1.4% 25.3% 25.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.0
12-4 3.3% 17.8% 17.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 2.7
11-5 6.0% 13.0% 13.0% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 5.2
10-6 8.7% 8.6% 8.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 7.9
9-7 11.5% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7 10.8
8-8 13.4% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.6 12.8
7-9 14.3% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.5 13.9
6-10 13.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 13.2
5-11 11.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 11.0
4-12 7.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.7
3-13 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.8
2-14 2.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.4
1-15 1.0% 1.0
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 3.5 95.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%