New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#244
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#230
Pace72.2#118
Improvement-6.3#363

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#207
First Shot-3.3#270
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#74
Layup/Dunks-1.0#215
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#317
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#234
Freethrows+2.1#70
Improvement-1.8#318

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#270
First Shot+0.8#149
After Offensive Rebounds-3.9#347
Layups/Dunks+1.1#139
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#241
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#65
Freethrows-3.2#334
Improvement-4.4#363
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.5% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 10.4% 15.8% 5.1%
.500 or above in Conference 35.9% 47.2% 24.4%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.5% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 12.2% 7.0% 17.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round1.6% 2.4% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Incarnate Word (Home) - 50.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 20 - 31 - 7
Quad 33 - 64 - 13
Quad 48 - 712 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 47 @TCU W 78-74 5%     1 - 0 +17.8 +8.2 +9.3
  Mon, Nov 10 31 @LSU L 58-93 4%     1 - 1 -18.4 -9.0 -8.1
  Fri, Nov 14 187 @Tulane W 85-63 29%     2 - 1 +23.3 +15.5 +9.2
  Tue, Nov 18 311 @Pepperdine L 79-90 53%     2 - 2 -16.4 +1.4 -17.2
  Fri, Nov 21 183 @Fresno St. L 76-85 28%     2 - 3 -7.7 -2.1 -4.7
  Mon, Nov 24 78 @Mississippi St. L 78-81 OT 9%     2 - 4 +7.3 +2.3 +5.3
  Wed, Nov 26 29 @Texas Tech L 50-82 4%     2 - 5 -15.3 -15.9 +0.8
  Wed, Dec 3 69 @Memphis L 70-86 8%     2 - 6 -4.8 +3.7 -8.5
  Sat, Dec 6 263 Houston Christian L 76-85 65%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -17.5 +2.0 -20.0
  Mon, Dec 8 188 Incarnate Word W 75-74 50%    
  Sat, Dec 13 8 @Houston L 56-83 1%    
  Mon, Dec 29 209 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 77-81 34%    
  Wed, Dec 31 210 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 70-74 34%    
  Sat, Jan 3 302 @Northwestern St. W 74-73 51%    
  Mon, Jan 5 300 East Texas A&M W 76-70 71%    
  Sat, Jan 10 254 Nicholls St. W 77-73 63%    
  Mon, Jan 12 246 @SE Louisiana L 70-73 39%    
  Sat, Jan 17 142 Stephen F. Austin L 72-75 40%    
  Mon, Jan 19 214 Lamar W 70-68 57%    
  Sat, Jan 24 80 @McNeese St. L 65-80 9%    
  Mon, Jan 26 254 @Nicholls St. L 74-76 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 302 Northwestern St. W 77-71 71%    
  Mon, Feb 2 300 @East Texas A&M W 74-73 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 209 UT Rio Grande Valley W 80-78 56%    
  Mon, Feb 9 210 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 73-71 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 263 @Houston Christian L 73-75 42%    
  Mon, Feb 16 188 @Incarnate Word L 71-77 30%    
  Sat, Feb 21 214 @Lamar L 67-71 36%    
  Mon, Feb 23 142 @Stephen F. Austin L 69-78 22%    
  Sat, Feb 28 80 McNeese St. L 68-77 22%    
  Mon, Mar 2 246 SE Louisiana W 73-70 61%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 9 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 3.0 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.3 3.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.3 4.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.2 2.1 0.2 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.3 2.7 0.3 0.0 11.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.8 3.1 0.5 0.0 11.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 2.5 4.2 3.0 0.5 0.0 10.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.4 3.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 9.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.0 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 7.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.9 5.3 7.6 9.7 11.5 12.5 12.5 11.3 9.2 6.3 4.3 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 93.8% 0.1    0.1
18-4 61.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-5 48.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-6 20.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-7 6.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0
19-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-4 0.2% 28.3% 28.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-5 0.6% 21.3% 21.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-6 1.4% 16.2% 16.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1
15-7 2.6% 10.8% 10.8% 14.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.3
14-8 4.3% 7.0% 7.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 4.0
13-9 6.3% 3.5% 3.5% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 6.1
12-10 9.2% 2.2% 2.2% 15.5 0.1 0.1 9.0
11-11 11.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.1
10-12 12.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.5
9-13 12.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.5
8-14 11.5% 11.5
7-15 9.7% 9.7
6-16 7.6% 7.6
5-17 5.3% 5.3
4-18 2.9% 2.9
3-19 1.4% 1.4
2-20 0.5% 0.5
1-21 0.2% 0.2
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 98.3 0.0%