Preseason Rankings
South Carolina
Southeastern
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#70
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.3#287
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#81
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#56
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 4.2% 4.2% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.0% 19.2% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 18.5% 18.7% 3.3%
Average Seed 8.1 8.1 8.0
.500 or above 54.9% 55.3% 17.8%
.500 or above in Conference 17.3% 17.4% 4.7%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 27.9% 27.6% 53.0%
First Four3.6% 3.6% 0.7%
First Round17.1% 17.2% 3.0%
Second Round9.1% 9.2% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen2.7% 2.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Home) - 98.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 11
Quad 23 - 36 - 15
Quad 32 - 18 - 15
Quad 48 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2025 351   N.C. A&T W 82-58 99%    
  Nov 09, 2025 281   Southern Miss W 80-62 95%    
  Nov 12, 2025 267   Presbyterian W 74-57 94%    
  Nov 18, 2025 150   Radford W 70-59 84%    
  Nov 21, 2025 66   Butler L 69-70 48%    
  Nov 23, 2025 71   Northwestern W 66-65 51%    
  Nov 28, 2025 318   Charleston Southern W 78-58 96%    
  Dec 02, 2025 76   Virginia Tech W 69-65 63%    
  Dec 06, 2025 350   Stetson W 81-58 98%    
  Dec 13, 2025 342   The Citadel W 77-54 98%    
  Dec 16, 2025 42   @ Clemson L 61-68 27%    
  Dec 22, 2025 311   South Carolina St. W 79-59 95%    
  Dec 30, 2025 302   Albany W 79-60 95%    
  Jan 03, 2026 41   Vanderbilt L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 06, 2026 52   @ LSU L 67-72 33%    
  Jan 10, 2026 51   Georgia W 68-67 52%    
  Jan 14, 2026 17   @ Arkansas L 64-76 16%    
  Jan 17, 2026 22   @ Auburn L 64-75 19%    
  Jan 20, 2026 47   Oklahoma L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 24, 2026 35   @ Texas A&M L 64-72 25%    
  Jan 28, 2026 5   Florida L 67-77 21%    
  Jan 31, 2026 52   LSU W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 03, 2026 36   @ Texas L 65-73 25%    
  Feb 07, 2026 37   Missouri L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 14, 2026 18   @ Alabama L 73-84 17%    
  Feb 17, 2026 5   @ Florida L 64-80 10%    
  Feb 21, 2026 33   Mississippi St. L 68-71 42%    
  Feb 24, 2026 7   Kentucky L 69-77 26%    
  Feb 28, 2026 51   @ Georgia L 65-70 34%    
  Mar 03, 2026 16   Tennessee L 60-66 31%    
  Mar 07, 2026 30   @ Mississippi L 64-73 23%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 1.6 0.7 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.4 0.1 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 2.3 0.5 0.0 4.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.0 1.1 0.1 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.5 2.6 0.3 5.8 10th
11th 0.2 2.2 3.9 0.9 0.0 7.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.5 2.4 0.1 8.8 12th
13th 0.1 1.2 4.5 3.8 0.6 0.0 10.1 13th
14th 0.1 1.3 4.4 4.9 1.2 0.0 11.9 14th
15th 0.3 1.9 5.2 5.1 1.9 0.1 14.4 15th
16th 1.7 4.5 6.0 4.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 18.7 16th
Total 1.7 4.7 8.0 11.1 12.4 13.4 12.3 10.4 8.7 6.4 4.5 3.0 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 83.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 79.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 37.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 7.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.0% 100.0% 33.1% 66.9% 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 16.8% 83.2% 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 22.6% 77.4% 2.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.5% 100.0% 8.9% 91.1% 3.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.9% 100.0% 7.7% 92.3% 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 1.6% 98.2% 6.3% 91.9% 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.1%
11-7 3.0% 93.7% 4.6% 89.1% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 93.4%
10-8 4.5% 84.5% 1.7% 82.8% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.7 84.2%
9-9 6.4% 64.8% 0.7% 64.1% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.3 64.5%
8-10 8.7% 37.1% 0.5% 36.7% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 0.8 0.0 5.4 36.8%
7-11 10.4% 12.6% 0.2% 12.4% 10.3 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 9.1 12.4%
6-12 12.3% 2.7% 0.0% 2.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.0 2.7%
5-13 13.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 10.4 0.0 0.0 13.4 0.1%
4-14 12.4% 12.4
3-15 11.1% 11.1
2-16 8.0% 8.0
1-17 4.7% 4.7
0-18 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 19.0% 0.6% 18.4% 8.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.5 3.0 3.2 3.9 2.2 0.1 81.0 18.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0