Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#152
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#160
Pace81.6#9
Improvement+0.3#170

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#128
First Shot-1.3#212
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#40
Layup/Dunks-0.1#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#327
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#210
Freethrows+2.7#51
Improvement-0.3#201

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#209
First Shot-1.0#207
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#217
Layups/Dunks+3.0#77
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#138
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#69
Freethrows-7.9#364
Improvement+0.6#141
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.9% 10.0% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.1 13.5
.500 or above 71.4% 85.5% 64.4%
.500 or above in Conference 64.0% 80.1% 56.0%
Conference Champion 7.3% 13.7% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 1.1% 4.3%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round6.9% 9.9% 5.4%
Second Round0.5% 0.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Middle Tennessee (Away) - 32.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 35 - 66 - 10
Quad 410 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 343 @Florida A&M W 92-72 79%     1 - 0 +11.6 +3.9 +5.0
  Sun, Nov 16 79 South Florida L 89-108 34%     1 - 1 -14.7 +7.4 -19.8
  Mon, Nov 24 213 Rice W 89-84 OT 63%     2 - 1 +1.7 +2.7 -1.7
  Tue, Nov 25 301 Oral Roberts L 83-91 77%     2 - 2 -15.7 -3.2 -11.7
  Wed, Nov 26 174 @Florida Gulf Coast W 102-100 OT 43%     3 - 2 +3.8 +8.4 -5.0
  Tue, Dec 2 312 Jackson St. W 88-73 86%     4 - 2 +3.6 +8.8 -5.7
  Sat, Dec 6 338 Georgia St. W 92-69 90%     5 - 2 +8.9 -0.4 +5.4
  Wed, Dec 17 136 @Middle Tennessee L 80-85 33%    
  Sun, Dec 21 10 Alabama L 85-104 4%    
  Fri, Jan 2 94 @Liberty L 76-84 22%    
  Sun, Jan 4 296 @Delaware W 82-77 66%    
  Wed, Jan 7 255 Missouri St. W 80-72 78%    
  Sat, Jan 10 239 Jacksonville St. W 78-70 76%    
  Wed, Jan 14 189 Florida International W 86-81 68%    
  Sat, Jan 17 128 @Western Kentucky L 83-88 33%    
  Wed, Jan 21 126 @Sam Houston St. L 82-87 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 193 @Louisiana Tech L 73-74 47%    
  Wed, Jan 28 128 Western Kentucky W 86-85 54%    
  Sat, Jan 31 127 New Mexico St. W 77-76 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 239 @Jacksonville St. W 75-73 55%    
  Thu, Feb 12 136 Middle Tennessee W 83-82 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 126 Sam Houston St. W 85-84 53%    
  Wed, Feb 18 255 @Missouri St. W 77-75 58%    
  Sat, Feb 21 193 Louisiana Tech W 76-71 67%    
  Thu, Feb 26 94 Liberty L 79-81 41%    
  Sat, Feb 28 296 Delaware W 85-74 82%    
  Thu, Mar 5 241 @UTEP W 76-74 56%    
  Sat, Mar 7 127 @New Mexico St. L 74-79 33%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 7.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.5 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.2 2.6 0.5 0.0 10.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.0 2.7 0.5 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.4 3.0 0.5 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 5.2 3.1 0.4 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.8 3.3 0.5 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 4.0 3.0 0.6 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.8 2.4 0.6 0.0 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.0 1.8 0.5 0.0 5.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.6 4.5 6.5 9.1 11.1 12.2 12.6 11.8 9.7 7.5 5.0 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 98.1% 0.5    0.5 0.0
17-3 90.0% 1.3    1.1 0.2 0.0
16-4 71.3% 2.1    1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0
15-5 40.0% 2.0    0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0
14-6 12.7% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
13-7 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 4.2 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 38.0% 38.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.5% 32.1% 32.1% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
17-3 1.4% 26.9% 26.9% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1
16-4 3.0% 25.7% 25.7% 12.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.2
15-5 5.0% 17.8% 17.8% 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 4.1
14-6 7.5% 16.3% 16.3% 13.1 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 6.3
13-7 9.7% 10.5% 10.5% 13.4 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 8.7
12-8 11.8% 8.4% 8.4% 13.6 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 10.8
11-9 12.6% 4.9% 4.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 12.0
10-10 12.2% 3.0% 3.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.8
9-11 11.1% 1.9% 1.9% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 10.9
8-12 9.1% 1.4% 1.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.0
7-13 6.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 6.5
6-14 4.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.5
5-15 2.6% 2.6
4-16 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.3
3-17 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.8 2.0 0.7 0.2 93.1 0.0%