Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.5 276
Expected Predictive Rating -6.7 269
Pace 70.5 128
Improvement +7.1 4

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ #298 F+ C- C B- F+
Defense C- #230 C C- C- C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 28% 361 52% 315 -7.9 361
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 60 33% 330 +1.2 112
Three Pointers 45% 99 29% 338 -1.2 224
1st FG Attempt 0.86 360 -7.9 360
Second Chance 27.3% 270 1.05 138 0.29 231
Turnovers 16.9% 177
Freethrows 0.31 182 79% 10 0.24 108
Total Offense -4.7 298

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 127 59% 197 -1.5 229
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 250 35% 92 +1.3 92
Three Pointers 41% 176 35% 222 -0.6 209
1st FG Attempt 1.03 206 -0.7 204
Second Chance 33.3% 294 0.99 116 0.33 229
Turnovers 16.5% 206
Freethrows 0.30 165 72% 162 0.21 160
Total Defense -1.7 230

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -1.6 341 +0.4 252
Shot Type Accuracy -6.4 351 +0.2 191
Possession Length 17.8 231 16.4 36
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 335 0.17 166
Improvement +6.8 #2 +0.2 #179

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 59% 84% 49%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 1% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: James Madison (Away) - 27.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 34 - 94 - 11
Quad 46 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 231 @Eastern Michigan L 49 - 71 29% -8  12% 0 - 1 F -23 F -24 F D- F C+ +1 A F B-
 Fri, Nov 7 45 @Cincinnati L 64 - 74 4% -6  14% 0 - 2 C+ +5 D+ -4 C- B D- A- +9 A- C+ A
 Mon, Nov 10 272 Presbyterian L 61 - 63 61% +5  80% 0 - 3 D- -11 F+ -8 D- C- D+ C- -3 C- F A-
 Mon, Nov 17 69 @Arizona St. L 62 - 75 6% +1  51% 0 - 4 C- -2 F -10 D F+ F A- +8 C- A+ D+
 Fri, Nov 21 193 @South Dakota St. L 58 - 105 24% -28  0% 0 - 5 F -46 F -18 F F C- F -27 F B- D
 Tue, Nov 25 194 Samford L 63 - 78 34% -7  4% 0 - 6 F+ -17 F -15 F B- D+ C- -2 C- F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 167 New Mexico St. L 58 - 77 28% -9  25% 0 - 7 F -19 F -22 F F D+ B- +4 C+ B- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 171 @Mercer L 67 - 78 20% -5  20% 0 - 8 D -9 F+ -9 D F D C+ +1 B+ D+ C-
 Sat, Dec 6 154 @Kennesaw St. L 69 - 92 18% -16  0% 0 - 9 F -20 F -17 F B B- C+ +1 F C A
 Sat, Dec 13 184 Jacksonville St. W 77 - 73 43% +5  88% 1 - 9 C -1 B +6 D+ B- A+ D -6 B F F
 Thu, Dec 18 274 @Georgia Southern L 67 - 90 38% -8  15% 1 - 10 0 - 1 F -26 F+ -9 D+ F D F -19 C F F
 Sat, Dec 20 161 @Appalachian St. W 70 - 63 19% +4  78% 2 - 10 1 - 1 B +10 C +1 A- F F A- +9 C+ A+ D
 Wed, Dec 31 164 @Marshall L 80 - 84 20% -2  31% 2 - 11 1 - 2 C -1 C -0 D+ B C C -1 C F B
 Sat, Jan 3 238 @Coastal Carolina W 89 - 71 31% -1  29% 3 - 11 2 - 2 A- +17 A+ +22 A+ A B- D+ -4 B- F B+
 Thu, Jan 8 161 Appalachian St. L 50 - 52 38% +2  70% 3 - 12 2 - 3 D+ -5 F -18 F C B+ A +13 A+ C- B+
 Sat, Jan 10 164 Marshall W 81 - 73 38% -3  21% 4 - 12 3 - 3 C+ +5 C- -1 F A+ D B +5 B+ C- A
 Sat, Jan 17 356 @Louisiana Monroe W 77 - 57 69% +9  80% 5 - 12 4 - 3 B +8 C- -1 C F B A +10 B+ B+ D+
 Thu, Jan 22 241 Southern Miss W 69 - 62 54% +2  61% 6 - 12 5 - 3 C -1 F -10 F A+ D A- +10 B+ A D-
 Sat, Jan 24 141 Arkansas St. W 82 - 81 33% -3  27% 7 - 12 6 - 3 C -1 B+ +9 A F A F+ -10 F B- C+
 Thu, Jan 29 290 @Louisiana L 72 - 82 42% -10  3% 7 - 13 6 - 4 F+ -14 C +2 F C- A+ F -17 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 31 191 @South Alabama L 67 - 69 24% -4  8% 7 - 14 6 - 5 C -1 B- +5 C- B- C+ D -6 F C+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 135 Troy L 63 - 74 31% -4  11% 7 - 15 6 - 6 D- -12 D- -8 F C B+ D -6 D B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 7 314 Northern Illinois L 74 - 75 71% +1  46% 7 - 16 D- -13 D- -6 D- F A D -7 F A F+
 Thu, Feb 12 222 @James Madison L 70 - 76 27%
 Sat, Feb 14 253 @Old Dominion L 72 - 76 33%
 Thu, Feb 19 274 Georgia Southern W 80 - 77 61%
 Sat, Feb 21 222 James Madison L 72 - 73 49%
 Tue, Feb 24 238 Coastal Carolina W 71 - 70 54%
 Fri, Feb 27 253 Old Dominion W 75 - 73 57%
Totals 10 - 19 9 - 9 -6 D+ -5 F+ C- C C- -2 C C- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D D D- F+ 28% 27% 45% F+ F+ D+ C+ C- C C A- B- C- C B- C- C 41% 18% 41% D+ C D+ C+ C- C- C+ C C+
1.02 52% 33% 29% -6 -2 0.86 27% 1.1 .29 17% .31 79% .24 1.11 59% 35% 35% 0 0 1.03 33% 1.0 .33 16% .30 72% .22
Nov
3		 Eastern Michigan F F F+ D+ F 36% 26% 38% D F C F D- F F+ F F C+ A+ C A A+ 49% 30% 21% C- A F D+ F B- B+ A+ A
0.72 22% 31% 32% -16 -1 0.68 30% 0.7 .20 25% .23 67% .16 1.04 42% 38% 27% -10 0 0.81 47% 1.0 .47 19% .20 55% .11
Nov
7		 Cincinnati D+ C- C+ D- C+ 20% 44% 36% F C- C A+ B D- B A+ A+ A- F C+ A+ A 35% 15% 50% D+ A- C- B C+ A F B- F
0.85 50% 41% 28% -4 -4 0.86 24% 1.4 .32 23% .31 89% .27 0.98 72% 38% 19% -6 0 0.90 34% 0.9 .32 21% .44 65% .29
Nov
10		 Presbyterian F+ B- C F D- 37% 23% 40% D D- A- F C- D+ B+ B A- C- C- A+ F+ C- 44% 23% 33% D+ C- D+ F F A- F+ F F
1.02 63% 40% 24% -4 0 0.93 38% 0.8 .29 17% .36 72% .26 1.05 59% 22% 38% -1 0 1.00 35% 1.4 .50 23% .41 79% .33
Nov
17		 Arizona St. F D F B+ C- 21% 34% 45% F D D- D- F+ F C A- B- A- F F A+ D- 31% 40% 29% A+ C- B A+ A+ D+ A- B A-
0.87 50% 25% 38% -3 -3 0.89 25% 0.9 .22 25% .30 81% .24 1.06 71% 55% 25% +7 -3 1.09 29% 0.4 .11 14% .29 72% .21
Nov
21		 South Dakota St. F B+ D- F F 24% 12% 63% C F F D+ F C- A+ F A F F F F F 42% 9% 49% F+ F D- A B- D F F F
0.81 67% 33% 19% -12 0 0.78 11% 1.0 .11 17% .45 67% .30 1.47 77% 80% 50% +24 +2 1.53 33% 0.8 .26 14% .36 77% .28
Nov
25		 Samford F F F F F 27% 14% 59% B+ F B C- B- D+ A+ A+ A+ C- D- A+ B C 42% 12% 47% F C- F F F A+ F C F
0.90 29% 29% 17% -25 0 0.53 33% 1.1 .35 14% .45 89% .40 1.11 67% 20% 30% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.3 .41 20% .61 68% .41
Nov
26		 New Mexico St. F C+ F F F 27% 22% 51% C- F D F F D+ F C- F B- B+ A F B- 38% 29% 33% C- C+ F+ A+ B- D- A- C B+
0.78 60% 8% 25% -13 -1 0.75 26% 0.7 .19 18% .20 75% .15 1.04 50% 29% 42% -2 -1 0.97 39% 0.7 .26 12% .21 71% .15
Dec
2		 Mercer F+ D+ A D C- 28% 30% 42% F D F+ F F D C F C- C+ D+ B+ A B+ 33% 20% 47% C B+ C- D+ D+ C- F C- F
0.94 53% 50% 32% +1 -2 1.00 24% 0.7 .16 20% .26 67% .17 1.10 63% 30% 26% -6 0 0.90 35% 1.1 .38 15% .50 77% .38
Dec
6		 Kennesaw St. F F F F F 38% 16% 46% C F D A+ B B- B+ C+ A- C+ D C- F F 44% 15% 41% C F A F C A F A D+
0.82 29% 11% 15% -28 +1 0.46 25% 1.4 .36 14% .46 76% .35 1.09 63% 38% 45% +9 +1 1.22 27% 1.2 .33 23% .44 62% .28
Dec
13		 Jacksonville St. B F B+ C+ C- 21% 26% 53% F D+ C A B- A+ A+ A- A+ D A A+ D+ A- 54% 10% 37% D- B C- F F F B A+ A+
1.17 33% 45% 35% -3 -2 0.93 28% 1.2 .34 11% .54 84% .46 1.11 43% 20% 37% -8 +3 0.90 32% 1.3 .41 6% .32 50% .16
Dec
18		 Georgia Southern F+ A F C- C- 29% 15% 56% D D+ D- F F D F D F F A+ A+ F B- 40% 2% 58% F+ C F C+ F F F F F
1.00 71% 14% 33% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .22 21% .26 71% .19 1.34 32% 0% 39% -7 +2 0.94 44% 1.1 .47 10% .58 89% .52
Dec
20		 Appalachian St. C A+ D- B A 30% 28% 41% F+ A- D F F F A+ B+ A+ A- D+ A+ C- B- 42% 16% 42% D+ C+ A+ A+ A+ D F B+ D-
1.04 79% 31% 37% +6 -2 1.11 26% 0.5 .13 21% .37 75% .28 0.93 62% 0% 33% -5 +1 0.94 19% 0.4 .08 13% .41 58% .24
Dec
31		 Marshall C B+ B- F+ C 23% 38% 40% F D+ C A B C B- A+ A C F A+ B C+ 33% 16% 51% F+ C B+ F F B F A D-
1.07 67% 40% 29% 0 -3 0.94 32% 1.2 .38 17% .37 87% .32 1.12 76% 25% 31% +2 0 1.06 27% 1.8 .48 20% .37 64% .23
Jan
3		 Coastal Carolina A+ B D A+ A+ 10% 38% 52% F A+ C- A+ A B- D- A+ B D+ C+ A+ B- B 28% 19% 53% D- B- F F F B+ F+ F F
1.37 60% 35% 56% +16 -4 1.25 27% 1.6 .43 11% .24 100% .24 1.09 54% 22% 32% -6 -1 0.89 40% 1.3 .50 19% .32 82% .26
Jan
8		 Appalachian St. F F D F F 30% 44% 26% F F F A+ C B+ D F D- A B+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 13% 47% D A+ F A C- B+ A+ B- A
0.81 33% 32% 15% -17 -4 0.60 20% 1.5 .30 11% .24 62% .15 0.84 50% 0% 24% -15 +1 0.73 40% 0.8 .31 19% .20 60% .12
Jan
10		 Marshall C- F C F F 31% 26% 43% D+ F A- A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ B B- B+ B+ A- 34% 20% 46% D B+ F+ B C- A F A+ D-
1.10 46% 36% 22% -12 -1 0.76 41% 1.4 .56 19% .66 85% .55 0.99 59% 30% 30% -4 0 0.94 38% 1.0 .38 23% .39 59% .23
Jan
17		 Louisiana Monroe C- C- F+ A C+ 18% 16% 65% F+ C F A- F B F+ C F+ A A+ C+ B- B+ 31% 26% 43% B B+ D+ A+ B+ D+ A+ B- A+
1.15 60% 33% 42% +7 -1 1.15 21% 1.3 .26 13% .17 70% .12 0.85 35% 36% 30% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.6 .16 16% .18 70% .13
Jan
22		 Southern Miss F F F F F 30% 21% 49% D F B A+ A+ D A+ B- A+ A- D+ A- A+ B+ 31% 33% 37% B- B+ A+ F A D- B A- A-
0.96 38% 22% 24% -17 -1 0.67 33% 1.7 .56 19% .50 72% .36 0.86 63% 29% 21% -8 -2 0.81 15% 1.3 .21 15% .31 68% .21
Jan
24		 Arkansas St. B+ F A+ A+ A+ 20% 26% 54% F+ A F F F A B- A+ A+ F+ C F D+ F 51% 6% 43% F F D A- B- C+ D F F
1.22 40% 62% 44% +11 -2 1.20 13% 0.5 .07 10% .37 91% .33 1.20 58% 100% 35% +5 +3 1.17 41% 0.8 .34 21% .36 89% .32
Jan
29		 Louisiana C F D+ F F 33% 28% 40% F F C+ D C- A+ A+ A+ A+ F D D- F F 23% 45% 32% A+ F F C- F C- F F F
1.11 43% 33% 24% -12 -1 0.74 34% 0.9 .32 9% .60 94% .56 1.27 60% 45% 57% +15 -4 1.23 41% 0.9 .38 17% .39 81% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 South Alabama B- C F C+ C 10% 17% 73% F C- A- D B- C+ A F A- D F F A+ F 51% 19% 30% C- F F+ A+ C+ F D+ A+ B-
1.12 60% 25% 34% -2 -2 0.96 40% 1.0 .40 17% .30 67% .20 1.15 71% 56% 21% +4 +1 1.13 30% 0.9 .27 8% .34 53% .18
Feb
4		 Troy D- F+ C- F F 31% 35% 33% F F D B+ C B+ B+ C- B D F A+ B D+ 51% 4% 45% F D F+ A+ B+ F+ A A- A
0.99 47% 41% 25% -7 -2 0.83 27% 1.2 .32 14% .35 68% .24 1.16 69% 0% 30% +2 +3 1.12 40% 0.6 .25 13% .21 67% .14
Feb
7		 Northern Illinois D- A+ F F D 38% 27% 35% F+ D- D F F A A+ C+ A+ D A F F F 45% 12% 43% C- F A+ C+ A F+ D+ F+ D-
1.03 78% 23% 24% -2 -1 0.96 27% 0.7 .19 13% .53 73% .38 1.05 41% 50% 48% +3 +2 1.10 18% 0.8 .15 18% .38 73% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.2 0.6 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 0.7 2.1 3rd
4th 1.5 3.6 0.2 5.3 4th
5th 0.4 6.8 2.1 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 4.7 9.1 0.3 14.1 6th
7th 1.0 13.9 2.7 17.7 7th
8th 0.1 8.4 9.5 0.2 18.1 8th
9th 0.8 11.1 1.0 12.8 9th
10th 0.0 3.4 4.6 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.1 5.2 0.7 6.0 11th
12th 1.0 2.7 0.0 3.8 12th
13th 1.8 0.3 2.1 13th
14th 14th
Total 2.9 12.3 25.9 29.4 20.4 7.6 1.6 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 7.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 1.6% 3.2% 3.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 1.5
11-7 7.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 7.4
10-8 20.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.2 20.2
9-9 29.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 29.3
8-10 25.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 25.8
7-11 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.3
6-12 2.9% 2.9
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 2.9%