Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +5.3 96
Expected Predictive Rating +3.3 109
Pace 66.2 245
Improvement -1.9 265

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ #128 C- B+ B C- C+
Defense B- #68 B- B C B- B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 89 54% 272 +0.4 162
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 169 37% 207 -0.1 185
Three Pointers 37% 263 33% 210 -2.4 269
1st FG Attempt 0.98 236 -2.1 238
Second Chance 39.2% 11 1.02 186 0.40 40
Turnovers 14.9% 61
Freethrows 0.31 172 68% 322 0.21 222
Total Offense +1.5 128

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 212 56% 117 +1.5 127
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 17 38% 187 -3.1 354
Three Pointers 34% 343 31% 64 +4.9 16
1st FG Attempt 0.95 65 +3.3 66
Second Chance 28.1% 86 0.95 74 0.27 64
Turnovers 17.2% 171
Freethrows 0.28 99 70% 49 0.20 79
Total Defense +3.8 68

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.2 167 -1.0 33
Shot Type Accuracy -2.2 250 -2.3 85
Possession Length 17.5 198 17.7 262
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 298 0.12 35
Improvement -3.5 #333 +1.6 #100

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11% 13% 9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.8 11.7 11.9
.500 or above 99% 100% 99%
.500 or above in Conference 99% 100% 97%
Conference Champion 6% 11% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round11% 13% 9%
Second Round2% 2% 1%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Home) - 50.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 3
Quad 23 - 44 - 7
Quad 35 - 49 - 11
Quad 410 - 219 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 211 UNC Asheville W 75 - 58 85% +4  72% 1 - 0 B +11 C- -0 F A+ F A +12 A+ F A
 Sat, Nov 8 336 Prairie View W 105 - 62 96% +18  99% 2 - 0 A+ +29 A +14 B+ B- A+ A +11 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 13 277 Loyola Chicago W 95 - 74 91% +14  90% 3 - 0 B+ +11 A+ +21 C+ A+ A+ D- -8 F A+ D+
 Tue, Nov 18 58 @Boise St. L 59 - 62 25% -4  23% 3 - 1 B +9 D -6 F A- C- A+ +15 A+ B- C
 Sat, Nov 22 268 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75 - 58 90% +1  56% 4 - 1 B- +8 D+ -2 D D A A +11 A C+ B-
 Wed, Nov 26 40 St. Mary's L 65 - 70 23% -3  19% 4 - 2 B +8 C- -2 C- C F+ A +10 A+ B+ D-
 Thu, Nov 27 103 Colorado St. L 70 - 76 52% -10  0% 4 - 3 C -1 B+ +8 F A+ B F+ -10 F A+ D+
 Fri, Nov 28 160 Western Kentucky L 70 - 75 71% -1  31% 4 - 4 D+ -5 C+ +3 D+ C+ A- F+ -9 D- B- D-
 Sat, Dec 6 100 @Northern Iowa W 74 - 69 OT 39% +2  55% 5 - 4 B+ +13 B +7 A- A- D B+ +6 B- A D-
 Sat, Dec 13 98 DePaul L 58 - 61 62% -1  30% 5 - 5 C -1 D- -8 D- C B B+ +7 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 17 212 Wofford W 84 - 73 85% +7  99% 6 - 5 B- +5 B+ +8 B B- A- C- -3 B- F+ D+
 Sun, Dec 21 267 Eastern Kentucky W 88 - 57 90% +22  95% 7 - 5 A +22 B+ +9 C- A+ A A+ +15 A A+ F+
 Wed, Dec 31 118 @UAB W 75 - 70 48% -6  9% 8 - 5 1 - 0 B +11 B+ +9 C+ A+ C B- +3 B- B- C-
 Sat, Jan 3 168 @Charlotte L 100 - 104 2OT 61% +4  67% 8 - 6 1 - 1 C -2 A+ +17 B- A+ C F -18 B- F F
 Wed, Jan 7 220 Rice L 64 - 66 86% -2  36% 8 - 7 1 - 2 D -8 F -11 F F+ A B- +3 D+ A+ D
 Sun, Jan 11 144 North Texas W 78 - 67 76% +8  91% 9 - 7 2 - 2 B +9 B +5 A+ C+ D- B- +3 A- D+ C-
 Thu, Jan 15 114 @Florida Atlantic L 67 - 85 47% -15  0% 9 - 8 2 - 3 D- -12 D -5 F B- C- D -7 F A+ C-
 Sun, Jan 18 62 @South Florida W 86 - 85 OT 27% +1  43% 10 - 8 3 - 3 B+ +13 B+ +8 B- C A B +4 B- A+ D+
 Wed, Jan 21 252 East Carolina W 77 - 60 89% +14  99% 11 - 8 4 - 3 B +9 B- +5 F A+ A B +5 A A F
 Sat, Jan 24 86 Memphis W 74 - 59 58% +13  92% 12 - 8 5 - 3 A +18 C+ +2 B B- B+ A+ +16 A+ B- A-
 Sun, Feb 1 70 @Tulsa L 83 - 93 29% -6  13% 12 - 9 5 - 4 C +1 B +6 F+ A+ A D+ -5 D- F C
 Wed, Feb 4 168 Charlotte W 74 - 64 80% +5  83% 13 - 9 6 - 4 B- +6 C- -2 B D A+ A- +9 B A+ A-
 Sun, Feb 8 174 @Tulane W 75 - 61 62% +6  77% 14 - 9 7 - 4 A- +16 C- -2 B- F D- A+ +18 A A+ A-
 Wed, Feb 11 62 South Florida L 58 - 66 49% +2  70% 14 - 10 7 - 5 C- -2 F -15 F F+ C+ A +12 B- B A+
 Sat, Feb 14 70 Tulsa W 76 - 75 51%
 Wed, Feb 18 252 @East Carolina W 74 - 67 76%
 Sat, Feb 21 148 Temple W 75 - 67 76%
 Thu, Feb 26 86 @Memphis L 68 - 72 36%
 Sun, Mar 1 350 @Texas San Antonio W 80 - 65 92%
 Sat, Mar 7 114 Florida Atlantic W 77 - 72 68%
Totals 18 - 12 11 - 7 +5 C+ +1 C- B+ B B- +4 B- B C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ D+ C- C- D+ 42% 21% 37% C+ C- A- C B+ B C D- C- B- C+ C B B- 38% 28% 34% B+ B- B- B- B C B- B B-
1.11 54% 37% 33% -2 0 0.98 39% 1.0 .40 15% .31 68% .21 1.03 56% 38% 31% -2 -1 0.95 28% 0.9 .27 17% .28 70% .22
Nov
4		 UNC Asheville C- F A D F 45% 29% 27% D F A+ A+ A+ F D F F+ A A+ C A A 13% 58% 29% A+ A+ C- F F A A A A
1.11 36% 50% 31% -8 -1 0.86 51% 1.3 .66 21% .28 60% .17 0.86 33% 39% 29% -5 -7 0.79 31% 1.5 .47 24% .25 62% .15
Nov
8		 Prairie View A C A+ A+ B+ 42% 13% 44% B- B+ B C+ B- A+ A+ B A+ A A A+ A+ A+ 27% 46% 27% A+ A+ D- F F A+ F D F
1.37 59% 57% 43% +9 +1 1.23 41% 1.1 .44 13% .61 76% .46 0.81 43% 25% 7% -21 -4 0.52 28% 1.4 .40 22% .47 79% .37
Nov
13		 Loyola Chicago A+ D+ F A+ C 33% 18% 49% C+ C+ B+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F D+ D- D A+ F F 40% 17% 44% B- F C A+ A+ D+ D+ F F
1.46 53% 10% 46% +3 0 1.07 37% 1.6 .58 3% .30 68% .21 1.13 63% 13% 48% +7 +1 1.17 32% 0.5 .15 17% .33 83% .28
Nov
18		 Boise St. D F B+ F+ F 40% 29% 31% C F A+ D A- C- A- C B+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ 44% 22% 33% B A+ B+ C- B- C D- A+ C+
0.92 33% 46% 29% -10 -1 0.80 36% 0.9 .33 17% .36 68% .25 0.97 40% 10% 40% -11 0 0.80 30% 1.1 .32 16% .43 65% .28
Nov
22		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D+ F A+ A- D 45% 24% 31% D+ D B+ F D A A+ F+ A A C+ A+ A A 30% 32% 38% A- A B+ D C+ B- C- B+ C
1.12 41% 50% 40% -2 0 0.98 36% 0.8 .28 12% .47 68% .32 0.87 53% 25% 26% -10 -2 0.78 26% 1.2 .31 16% .29 63% .18
Nov
26		 St. Mary's C- D- D- C- D+ 48% 26% 26% B- C- C+ C- C F+ A+ A- A+ A B D- A+ A+ 43% 29% 29% B+ A+ A- C B+ D- F D F
0.95 46% 31% 31% -9 0 0.84 26% 0.9 .23 19% .34 79% .27 1.02 52% 43% 7% -12 -1 0.76 31% 1.1 .33 13% .44 85% .37
Nov
27		 Colorado St. B+ D+ A F F 41% 18% 41% B F A+ A A+ B C+ F C- F+ F+ F F F 30% 13% 57% C F C A+ A+ D+ A A+ A+
1.19 56% 50% 11% -13 0 0.77 54% 1.4 .76 14% .30 60% .18 1.30 71% 100% 46% +23 0 1.48 32% 0.6 .18 17% .23 55% .12
Nov
28		 Western Kentucky C+ D+ D+ B- C- 31% 29% 40% D+ D+ A+ F+ C+ A- A A+ A+ F+ A- F F F+ 40% 29% 31% B+ D- C+ B B- D- F D- F
1.10 53% 36% 37% 0 -2 0.98 40% 0.7 .28 14% .48 81% .38 1.18 42% 50% 40% 0 -1 1.00 32% 0.8 .26 11% .41 78% .32
Dec
6		 Northern Iowa B B+ F A A 35% 22% 43% C- A- A- B A- D B B+ B+ B+ B F A+ B 58% 17% 25% D- B- C A+ A D- F A+ D+
1.05 65% 27% 38% +3 -1 1.06 32% 1.0 .32 20% .30 76% .23 0.98 55% 56% 23% -3 +2 1.00 22% 0.5 .11 11% .35 55% .19
Dec
13		 DePaul D- D F D- F 50% 19% 31% A- D- A F C B A+ F B- B+ C F F F 40% 21% 38% C- F A- A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+
0.92 48% 25% 31% -9 +1 0.86 39% 0.7 .26 17% .54 46% .25 0.97 59% 56% 44% +10 0 1.21 25% 0.7 .17 29% .22 60% .13
Dec
17		 Wofford B+ A B+ C- B+ 42% 24% 33% D B C+ C+ B- A- A+ F A+ C- B F A C+ 37% 18% 45% B- B- F C+ F+ D+ F C F
1.27 68% 45% 33% +6 0 1.13 33% 1.2 .39 12% .62 69% .43 1.11 50% 56% 27% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.9 .37 14% .44 72% .32
Dec
21		 Eastern Kentucky B+ C F C D 54% 5% 41% A+ C- B A+ A+ A F F F A+ F A+ A A 20% 34% 46% A A A+ F A+ F+ A+ A+ A+
1.31 60% 33% 35% +1 +3 1.11 38% 1.4 .54 10% .23 57% .13 0.85 82% 16% 27% -8 -3 0.80 15% 1.3 .20 13% .12 57% .07
Dec
31		 UAB B+ A F A+ B- 36% 30% 34% D C+ A+ B+ A+ C B C B B- D+ B+ A+ B- 47% 33% 20% B B- B C- B- C- F C F
1.15 72% 7% 47% +2 -1 1.04 43% 1.1 .46 17% .30 75% .22 1.08 63% 29% 20% -5 -1 0.90 29% 1.1 .31 11% .41 71% .29
Jan
3		 Charlotte A+ B F+ B B- 42% 18% 40% B- B- A+ A- A+ C C+ A+ A- F A- F C- B- 39% 16% 45% C+ B- F F F F F D- F
1.34 65% 30% 36% +3 +1 1.09 56% 1.3 .73 15% .35 82% .28 1.39 50% 56% 36% +1 +1 1.05 45% 1.4 .63 12% .58 76% .44
Jan
7		 Rice F F F C- F 39% 27% 34% B- F C F F+ A A+ B A+ B- C+ F A+ D- 22% 45% 33% A+ D+ A+ A A+ D C+ B+ B-
0.99 41% 17% 33% -13 -1 0.75 33% 0.7 .22 11% .54 77% .42 1.02 55% 59% 25% +4 -4 1.02 27% 0.7 .19 15% .29 63% .18
Jan
11		 North Texas B C A- A+ A+ 52% 25% 23% B- A+ A F+ C+ D- A+ C+ A+ B- A+ B F+ A 60% 25% 15% C A- D+ C- D+ C- D+ D+ D
1.10 57% 45% 50% +7 0 1.16 43% 0.8 .36 25% .55 72% .40 0.94 39% 29% 38% -13 +1 0.78 36% 1.0 .36 17% .37 73% .27
Jan
15		 Florida Atlantic D F+ D+ F F 55% 22% 24% C+ F A F+ B- C- A F C D F F C F 46% 21% 32% C- F C A+ A+ C- C- A C+
0.96 47% 33% 23% -11 +1 0.82 38% 0.8 .31 17% .40 57% .22 1.21 73% 58% 33% +11 0 1.25 33% 0.5 .17 17% .33 63% .21
Jan
18		 South Florida B+ F F A+ B- 41% 20% 39% B- B- A F C A B- F C- B A+ A+ F C+ 42% 16% 42% A- B- B+ A+ A+ D+ B D B-
1.12 42% 25% 52% +1 0 1.05 41% 0.7 .30 14% .35 61% .21 1.11 42% 22% 42% -4 +1 0.95 34% 0.9 .30 14% .33 77% .26
Jan
21		 East Carolina B- A A+ F F 26% 20% 54% D+ F A+ B+ A+ A A- C B+ B C A+ A+ A- 33% 35% 31% A A B+ A+ A F B- A B
1.18 69% 60% 15% -8 -1 0.84 43% 1.3 .55 12% .33 74% .25 0.92 56% 21% 24% -12 -2 0.74 27% 0.8 .20 9% .32 63% .20
Jan
24		 Memphis C+ B C- C B+ 39% 21% 39% C+ B C- A- B- B+ F F F A+ C+ C- A+ A+ 27% 35% 37% A+ A+ A+ F B- A- A C- A
1.03 64% 33% 32% 0 0 1.02 31% 1.1 .33 18% .14 63% .08 0.82 57% 39% 16% -10 -3 0.76 24% 1.6 .38 24% .20 73% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Tulsa B F B+ C- F 47% 24% 29% C F+ B- A+ A+ A A+ F A+ D+ F D C- F 42% 19% 40% A- D- C- F F C F A+ D-
1.14 38% 42% 33% -9 0 0.84 30% 1.5 .47 11% .50 63% .31 1.28 75% 44% 37% +10 0 1.23 33% 2.1 .71 15% .44 70% .31
Feb
4		 Charlotte C- B- A+ C B 43% 20% 37% C+ B C F D A+ A- F D A- B+ D- D C+ 35% 33% 33% A+ B A- A+ A+ A- A- C B+
1.11 62% 50% 33% +4 0 1.10 29% 0.9 .26 9% .40 50% .20 0.96 53% 44% 38% +2 -2 1.02 28% 0.4 .11 23% .27 71% .19
Feb
8		 Tulane C- B- A+ D- C+ 42% 16% 42% B- B- C+ F F D- C+ F D- A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 20% 35% D+ A B+ A+ A+ A- D+ F+ D-
1.03 61% 56% 30% +2 +1 1.07 36% 0.6 .21 21% .33 53% .17 0.84 64% 10% 18% -12 0 0.80 16% 0.7 .11 19% .41 83% .34
Feb
11		 South Florida F D D F F 27% 29% 44% D F B- F F+ C+ C D+ C- A B- F A C+ 48% 18% 34% B+ B- C A- B A+ F A+ D-
0.84 50% 33% 22% -12 -2 0.75 33% 0.5 .18 19% .32 67% .21 0.95 52% 50% 27% -4 +1 0.95 39% 1.0 .39 26% .54 61% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.4 4.6 6.0 1st
2nd 0.8 10.4 4.0 15.1 2nd
3rd 0.3 11.0 11.8 0.0 23.1 3rd
4th 3.0 16.2 1.5 20.7 4th
5th 0.2 9.3 5.6 0.0 15.2 5th
6th 1.4 8.0 0.4 9.8 6th
7th 0.2 3.8 2.3 0.0 6.2 7th
8th 0.7 2.2 0.2 3.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.1 1.4 7.8 23.0 34.0 25.1 8.5 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 53.5% 4.6    0.8 2.3 1.4 0.1
12-6 5.5% 1.4    0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 0.8 2.5 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 8.5% 18.1% 18.1% 11.3 0.0 1.1 0.4 0.0 7.0
12-6 25.1% 15.3% 15.3% 11.7 1.2 2.5 0.1 21.3
11-7 34.0% 9.9% 9.9% 11.9 0.5 2.7 0.2 30.6
10-8 23.0% 6.7% 6.7% 12.0 0.2 1.2 0.2 21.5
9-9 7.8% 4.3% 4.3% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 7.5
8-10 1.4% 3.5% 3.5% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.7% 10.7% 0.0% 11.8 89.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.5% 100.0% 11.3 0.6 72.1 26.6 0.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.8%