Charlotte
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#181
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#242
Pace60.8#358
Improvement-0.5#226

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#145
First Shot-0.2#183
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#130
Layup/Dunks+1.3#137
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#100
Freethrows-2.1#303
Improvement-1.9#324

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#247
First Shot+1.6#115
After Offensive Rebounds-4.0#349
Layups/Dunks+2.8#80
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#205
Freethrows-1.8#285
Improvement+1.4#81
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.2% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.2 13.9
.500 or above 25.3% 42.6% 21.2%
.500 or above in Conference 38.4% 47.8% 36.1%
Conference Champion 1.4% 2.1% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 9.3% 5.9% 10.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.4% 2.2% 1.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah St. (Home) - 19.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 33 - 74 - 15
Quad 49 - 413 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 198 Indiana St. W 92-76 65%     1 - 0 +10.6 +19.9 -9.1
  Fri, Nov 7 271 Tennessee Tech W 70-65 75%     2 - 0 -3.7 -1.8 -1.6
  Tue, Nov 11 138 Davidson L 55-62 49%     2 - 1 -8.4 -7.5 -2.3
  Sun, Nov 16 67 @Virginia Tech L 76-84 12%     2 - 2 +3.5 +12.6 -9.6
  Fri, Nov 21 282 @Appalachian St. L 63-65 58%     2 - 3 -5.5 +4.2 -10.2
  Thu, Nov 27 92 Illinois St. L 69-79 24%     2 - 4 -4.2 +3.1 -8.0
  Fri, Nov 28 105 Richmond L 66-71 28%     2 - 5 -0.6 -0.8 -0.2
  Tue, Dec 2 299 N.C. A&T W 74-57 81%     3 - 5 +6.4 +3.2 +4.4
  Sun, Dec 7 51 Utah St. L 67-76 19%    
  Sun, Dec 14 175 @College of Charleston L 69-72 38%    
  Thu, Dec 18 327 Lafayette W 74-63 85%    
  Sun, Dec 21 204 Illinois-Chicago W 73-69 65%    
  Wed, Dec 31 160 Temple W 74-72 57%    
  Sat, Jan 3 91 Wichita St. L 67-71 34%    
  Wed, Jan 7 277 @Texas San Antonio W 71-69 56%    
  Sun, Jan 11 213 @Rice L 68-69 45%    
  Wed, Jan 14 89 Tulsa L 68-73 34%    
  Sun, Jan 18 266 @East Carolina W 71-70 54%    
  Sun, Jan 25 187 Tulane W 73-70 61%    
  Wed, Jan 28 160 @Temple L 71-75 35%    
  Sat, Jan 31 213 Rice W 71-66 67%    
  Wed, Feb 4 91 @Wichita St. L 64-74 18%    
  Sun, Feb 8 69 @Memphis L 64-77 13%    
  Sun, Feb 15 277 Texas San Antonio W 74-66 75%    
  Wed, Feb 18 89 @Tulsa L 65-76 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 266 East Carolina W 74-67 73%    
  Wed, Feb 25 144 North Texas W 65-64 52%    
  Sun, Mar 1 122 @Florida Atlantic L 68-75 26%    
  Wed, Mar 4 110 UAB L 71-73 42%    
  Sun, Mar 8 79 @South Florida L 68-80 15%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 3.9 1.9 0.1 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.6 3.5 0.4 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.5 4.7 0.9 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.8 5.7 1.7 0.1 11.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.7 6.0 2.6 0.2 11.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.7 3.3 0.4 0.0 11.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.4 3.1 0.5 0.0 9.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.2 2.5 0.5 0.0 7.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.0 13th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.2 6.2 9.4 12.4 14.3 14.3 13.0 10.3 7.1 4.3 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 93.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 69.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 52.1% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 13.3% 13.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 18.4% 18.4% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.1% 14.3% 14.3% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-5 2.2% 7.4% 7.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0
12-6 4.3% 5.4% 5.4% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.1
11-7 7.1% 3.6% 3.6% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.8
10-8 10.3% 1.9% 1.9% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.1
9-9 13.0% 1.2% 1.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.8
8-10 14.3% 0.7% 0.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.2
7-11 14.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 14.2
6-12 12.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.4
5-13 9.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.4
4-14 6.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.2
3-15 3.2% 3.2
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 98.6 0.0%