Gardner-Webb
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -18.2 362
Results Rating -21.1 362
Consistency 0.14 120
Pace 73.2 59
Improvement +2.3 105

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 355 D D- D- D- B-
Defense F+ 360 F+ D- D+ C+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 79 D 53% 303 +0.1 177
2 Pt. Jumpers 33% 230 F+ 30% 361 -3.0 315
Three Pointers 41% 171 D+ 31% 290 -1.4 232
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 76 D- -5.0 337
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 311
Second Chance F+ 22.3% 349 D+ 0.98 265 D- 0.22 352
Opponents' Steals D- 11.5% 335
Other Turnovers D+ 8.1% 288
Turnovers D- 19.7% 334
Freethrows D 0.26 320 D- 68% 320 D- 0.18 337
Total Offense F+ -9.3 355

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F 29% 359 C- 11.9% 239
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 179 D 7.2% 310
Three Pointers D+ 80% 267 B+ 0.2% 20
Total F+ 45% 345 D+ 6.3% 264


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 90 F+ 67% 358 +6.0 350
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 294 B- 36% 104 -1.4 72
Three Pointers 41% 178 D- 38% 327 +2.2 293
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 301 F+ +5.5 352
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.15 352
Second Chance F+ 35.9% 344 D+ 1.10 279 D- 0.39 344
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.4% 263
Other Turnovers D+ 6.5% 284
Turnovers D+ 14.9% 290
Freethrows C+ 0.29 148 D+ 74% 274 C+ 0.21 161
Total Defense F+ -8.9 360

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 252 D 6.8% 329
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 179 D+ 3.5% 254
Three Pointers D- 90% 338 D 0.3% 314
Total D+ 60% 286 D 3.6% 329

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.9 125 16.7 78
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 174 0.19 265
Consistency 0.12 169 0.09 16
Improvement +0.1 177 +2.2 77

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 364 362 360
Results Rating Rank 364 363 360
Conference Record 1 - 15 1 - 15 1 - 15
Conference Finish 9 9 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 30 - 70 - 14
Quad 41 - 141 - 28


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 57 @Minnesota L 60 - 87 1% -25  0% 0 - 1 D- -14 F -11 F F+ C- C- -2 F D+ A-
 Fri, Nov 7 40 @Clemson L 59 - 97 0% -21  0% 0 - 2 F -22 D -6 C- C- F F -16 C+ F F
 Sat, Nov 15 242 @Elon L 84 - 95 7% -16  1% 0 - 3 D- -13 C- -1 C D- D+ F -11 F F B+
 Tue, Nov 18 84 @DePaul L 62 - 93 1% -21  0% 0 - 4 F -21 F -13 F+ D+ D D -5 F A C+
 Sat, Nov 22 136 @Richmond L 67 - 102 3% -28  1% 0 - 5 F -30 F -11 B- F F F -17 F F D
 Wed, Nov 26 140 Navy L 51 - 84 5% -16  0% 0 - 6 F -32 F -19 F F+ F F -15 D F B
 Fri, Nov 28 289 SE Louisiana L 68 - 76 15% +2  63% 0 - 7 F+ -15 F+ -9 D+ C+ F D -6 C B- D
 Sat, Nov 29 106 @UNC Wilmington L 62 - 88 2% -12  18% 0 - 8 F -19 F+ -9 C F F F -10 F C+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 202 @Queens L 74 - 107 5% -14  0% 0 - 9 F -32 F+ -10 F A B- F -21 F F D+
 Sat, Dec 6 260 Georgia Southern L 84 - 88 18% -3  33% 0 - 10 D- -13 D+ -3 C+ D- D+ F+ -10 D- C- F
 Mon, Dec 15 240 Wofford L 57 - 83 16% -11  7% 0 - 11 F -33 F -24 F F F F+ -9 C F C+
 Sun, Dec 21 13 @Tennessee L 52 - 94 0% -26  11% 0 - 12 F -20 F -12 D D C- F+ -9 F B- F
 Wed, Dec 31 251 Charleston Southern L 79 - 89 17% +1  47% 0 - 13 0 - 1 F -18 D+ -4 F B+ D+ F -13 D- F D
 Sat, Jan 3 145 @Winthrop L 77 - 88 3% +5  72% 0 - 14 0 - 2 D+ -7 B- +5 A- F A+ F -13 F A D-
 Wed, Jan 7 94 @High Point L 49 - 104 1% -38  0% 0 - 15 0 - 3 F -46 F -31 F F+ F F+ -9 C- F D
 Wed, Jan 14 243 Radford L 80 - 89 16% -5  28% 0 - 16 0 - 4 F+ -17 C- -0 D+ C- A- F -16 D D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 271 Presbyterian L 55 - 92 19% -20  0% 0 - 17 0 - 5 F -46 F -24 F F+ F F -22 F D- F
 Wed, Jan 21 254 @Longwood L 56 - 91 8% -17  2% 0 - 18 0 - 6 F -37 F -19 F D F F -18 F F D
 Fri, Jan 23 302 South Carolina Upstate W 67 - 65 25% -3  20% 1 - 18 1 - 6 D -9 D- -7 D- D+ D- C- -2 C+ B D+
 Thu, Jan 29 247 @UNC Asheville L 50 - 69 7% -12  0% 1 - 19 1 - 7 F -21 F -17 F D+ F D- -7 F C D
 Wed, Feb 4 254 Longwood L 66 - 86 17% -9  0% 1 - 20 1 - 8 F -28 F -13 D+ F F F -15 F A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 271 @Presbyterian L 62 - 68 9% +0  51% 1 - 21 1 - 9 D -9 D- -7 B- F D C- -2 D- B- B-
 Thu, Feb 12 145 Winthrop L 85 - 103 7% -13  3% 1 - 22 1 - 10 F -20 C +0 A D F F -19 F F C+
 Sat, Feb 14 94 High Point L 87 - 112 4% -15  1% 1 - 23 1 - 11 F -22 C +1 A+ F A+ F -21 F F A+
 Tue, Feb 17 251 @Charleston Southern L 66 - 75 7% -10  0% 1 - 24 1 - 12 D -11 F -14 C F D+ B +4 A D- F
 Thu, Feb 19 243 @Radford L 70 - 82 7% -12  8% 1 - 25 1 - 13 D- -14 D -6 C- C+ D D- -8 C- F B-
 Thu, Feb 26 247 UNC Asheville L 71 - 77 16% -1  39% 1 - 26 1 - 14 D- -14 C +1 C- C- A+ F -16 F+ F C-
 Sat, Feb 28 302 @South Carolina Upstate L 61 - 71 12% -7  10% 1 - 27 1 - 15 F+ -15 F -14 F+ D- D- C -1 C D- F+
 Wed, Mar 4 302 South Carolina Upstate L 69 - 79 18%
Totals 1 - 28 1 - 15 -18 F+ -9 F+ D- B- F+ -9 D+ D- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ D F+ D+ D- 42% 33% 41% B- D F+ D+ D- D- D D- D- F+ F+ B- D- F+ 42% 17% 41% D F+ F+ D+ D- D+ C+ D+ C+
0.95 53% 30% 31% -5 +1 0.93 22% 1.0 .22 20% .26 68% .18 1.21 67% 36% 38% +6 +1 1.15 36% 1.1 .39 15% .29 74% .19
Nov
3		 Minnesota F D F B- F 37% 29% 33% C- F C- F F+ C- A+ F A+ C- F A+ C- F 52% 13% 35% D- F F B+ D+ A- F B- F
0.83 53% 7% 35% -11 -1 0.78 25% 0.5 .11 19% .47 59% .28 1.21 84% 17% 35% +11 +2 1.29 38% 0.9 .34 19% .52 67% .34
Nov
7		 Clemson D F A+ C- D- 48% 9% 43% A+ C- D B- C- F A+ F A+ F F A A+ B- 41% 5% 55% D- C+ F D F F B A A-
0.84 38% 50% 32% -10 +2 0.86 18% 1.0 .18 23% .48 65% .32 1.39 81% 33% 26% +2 +2 1.11 46% 1.1 .51 4% .30 65% .19
Nov
15		 Elon C- A B- F+ C 42% 20% 38% C+ C B+ F D- D+ D F F+ F D- C+ F F 33% 12% 55% B F C- F F B+ F+ A- D+
1.11 68% 42% 30% +3 0 1.08 40% 0.7 .29 17% .24 60% .14 1.26 65% 33% 50% +15 +1 1.33 33% 1.4 .47 20% .38 65% .25
Nov
18		 DePaul F F F C- F 35% 23% 42% C+ F+ C+ F+ D+ D F+ F F D F F B F 43% 18% 38% D F A+ C- A C+ A F B-
0.78 40% 23% 33% -10 -1 0.81 30% 0.8 .23 23% .24 53% .13 1.17 73% 64% 30% +9 +1 1.22 20% 1.2 .23 18% .24 81% .20
Nov
22		 Richmond F B+ F A+ B+ 11% 36% 53% F B- F D- F F F F F F F A- F F 32% 29% 39% C F F C+ F D B+ B A-
0.89 67% 21% 46% +5 -4 1.04 18% 1.0 .18 23% .19 64% .12 1.36 84% 29% 48% +14 -2 1.27 39% 1.0 .39 12% .27 72% .20
Nov
26		 Navy F C+ A- F F 27% 23% 50% C F F C+ F+ F C- C C- F F B D- F+ 28% 26% 46% B D F F F B C F D
0.77 62% 45% 17% -10 -1 0.79 18% 1.0 .18 24% .24 75% .18 1.26 69% 33% 38% +5 -1 1.09 43% 1.6 .70 21% .34 83% .29
Nov
28		 SE Louisiana F+ C F C+ D 38% 20% 43% C+ D+ F A+ C+ F A+ D+ A D F C A+ C 29% 22% 49% C C D A B- D F F F
0.95 60% 25% 35% -1 0 1.00 21% 1.8 .38 29% .49 72% .36 1.06 79% 36% 21% -4 -1 0.92 31% 0.7 .22 15% .53 78% .41
Nov
29		 UNC Wilmington F+ F+ F A D+ 35% 14% 51% A- C D- F F F D+ B- C- F F C+ F F 32% 21% 47% C- F A+ F C+ F A+ D A+
0.90 50% 0% 38% -5 +1 0.94 20% 0.5 .10 20% .24 77% .18 1.27 72% 33% 44% +11 -1 1.23 25% 1.4 .34 10% .18 73% .13
Dec
3		 Queens F+ F F+ F+ F 40% 24% 36% D+ F B A A B- F+ A+ C F F F F F 36% 19% 45% B- F D+ F F D+ B A+ A+
1.01 27% 31% 30% -16 0 0.69 38% 1.3 .49 14% .28 89% .25 1.46 71% 64% 50% +20 0 1.43 31% 1.7 .52 14% .27 59% .16
Dec
6		 Georgia Southern D+ D+ F A+ C- 60% 6% 33% A C+ F B D- D+ A+ A- A+ F+ B F F D 51% 7% 42% F D- B F C- F F B+ D-
1.12 55% 0% 44% +1 +3 1.10 24% 1.1 .28 20% .47 82% .38 1.18 50% 50% 39% 0 +3 1.07 23% 1.4 .31 11% .42 68% .28
Dec
15		 Wofford F D- A F F 48% 22% 30% C- F F D- F F C+ A+ B+ F+ B- C- C- C- 39% 20% 41% B C F F F C+ C- A- C+
0.82 50% 50% 14% -10 +1 0.83 13% 1.0 .13 23% .32 88% .28 1.20 53% 40% 35% -1 0 1.00 49% 1.2 .57 16% .34 65% .22
Dec
21		 Tennessee F B+ F F D 30% 19% 52% C+ D F B D C- F F F F+ F C- F+ F 46% 9% 45% F F B- C B- F A+ B A+
0.74 63% 10% 25% -11 0 0.80 15% 1.0 .15 19% .16 56% .09 1.34 73% 40% 40% +11 +2 1.29 44% 1.1 .47 13% .20 67% .13
Dec
31		 Charleston Southern D+ F B C+ F 48% 13% 38% A F C- A+ B+ D+ A+ A+ A+ F B- F F+ D- 48% 12% 40% D+ D- C- F F D F C- F
1.07 28% 43% 35% -13 +2 0.79 28% 1.4 .38 14% .52 88% .46 1.21 54% 67% 40% +5 +2 1.16 29% 1.4 .41 16% .50 68% .34
Jan
3		 Winthrop B- C A+ B+ A 27% 17% 56% D+ A- F D F A+ C- F F F F A+ B- F 46% 13% 41% D+ F F A+ A D- F F F
1.14 57% 67% 38% +8 0 1.17 14% 1.0 .14 10% .31 58% .18 1.30 86% 0% 32% +6 +1 1.17 47% 0.5 .24 12% .54 81% .44
Jan
7		 High Point F F B F F 36% 13% 52% C F F A F+ F F F F F+ C+ F B+ C- 48% 12% 40% D+ C- F D F D C- C- C-
0.62 40% 43% 17% -19 +1 0.66 18% 1.3 .23 30% .11 33% .04 1.31 59% 71% 29% +1 +2 1.08 40% 1.3 .50 11% .37 77% .28
Jan
14		 Radford C- A F F D- 52% 8% 40% A- D+ F A+ C- A- A+ A A+ F C A+ F D+ 49% 13% 38% F D F A+ D+ F F D F
1.13 69% 0% 25% -3 +3 1.02 20% 1.7 .33 14% .43 81% .35 1.26 56% 14% 43% +1 +2 1.07 43% 0.7 .31 11% .46 76% .35
Jan
17		 Presbyterian F F F D- F 34% 20% 45% D F F A- F+ F A F B- F D- F F F 53% 26% 21% D F C F D- F D+ F D-
0.79 47% 22% 30% -10 0 0.82 18% 1.2 .21 24% .38 60% .23 1.31 64% 50% 45% +10 0 1.23 32% 1.2 .39 13% .36 77% .28
Jan
21		 Longwood F F A+ F F 46% 17% 38% C+ F B F D F F F F F F F B+ F 37% 23% 40% C F F F F D A- D- B
0.80 41% 50% 28% -9 +1 0.85 33% 0.6 .21 30% .25 58% .14 1.30 79% 58% 29% +9 0 1.19 48% 1.3 .61 17% .26 80% .21
Jan
23		 South Carolina Upstate D- F+ F C- F 60% 12% 29% A D- B F D+ D- D- A- D+ C- A+ A F C+ 43% 23% 34% C C+ C A B D+ F D+ F
1.01 48% 17% 33% -9 +3 0.90 34% 0.9 .31 18% .24 77% .18 0.98 40% 27% 44% -5 0 0.91 28% 0.7 .21 17% .40 73% .29
Jan
29		 UNC Asheville F F+ A+ F F 53% 6% 40% A F D- B- D+ F F F F D- F A+ F F+ 26% 24% 50% F+ F F A C D F A- D
0.84 48% 67% 21% -11 +3 0.85 24% 1.0 .24 22% .15 57% .09 1.16 73% 10% 48% +7 -1 1.14 37% 0.8 .29 15% .41 62% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 Longwood F C- D D D- 53% 6% 40% A D+ D+ F F F B- F C- F F C D F 58% 15% 26% F F A A+ A+ F C- A+ B+
0.93 60% 33% 32% -1 +3 1.06 25% 0.5 .13 25% .38 60% .23 1.21 77% 38% 36% +12 +2 1.30 25% 0.7 .18 15% .33 60% .20
Feb
7		 Presbyterian D- C C- A+ B- 54% 17% 29% B B- D- F F D F+ F F C- F B A+ D- 51% 27% 22% D+ D- F A+ B- B- F C- F
0.98 58% 38% 43% +4 +2 1.13 24% 0.5 .12 17% .23 33% .08 1.07 74% 33% 20% +2 0 1.07 41% 0.7 .28 21% .46 70% .32
Feb
12		 Winthrop C C+ C- A+ A- 49% 9% 42% A A D- C+ D F C- F D- F C F F F 44% 2% 55% F F F F F C+ F+ C- F+
1.11 59% 40% 43% +7 +2 1.20 23% 1.1 .26 21% .31 63% .20 1.34 54% 100% 47% +10 +3 1.27 42% 1.3 .53 16% .43 75% .32
Feb
14		 High Point C C+ A+ A+ A+ 56% 11% 33% A- A+ F F F A+ A- F C+ F F F F F 33% 10% 57% C+ F F A+ F A+ F F F
1.11 60% 67% 50% +12 +2 1.31 0% 0.0 .00 13% .38 62% .24 1.43 79% 67% 39% +14 +1 1.33 52% 0.9 .48 20% .47 90% .42
Feb
17		 Charleston Southern F A- F+ F C- 43% 17% 40% B+ C F F F D+ F B- F B B+ A+ B+ A+ 59% 7% 34% F A C F D- F D- C+ D
0.89 65% 30% 25% -4 +1 0.97 18% 0.1 .02 13% .17 73% .12 1.01 50% 0% 30% -9 +3 0.90 28% 1.2 .33 13% .31 65% .20
Feb
19		 Radford D B- B+ F C- 53% 18% 29% B- C- F+ A+ C+ D F+ F F D- F A+ B- C- 31% 10% 58% D+ C- D F F B- F+ F F
1.01 63% 44% 27% 0 +1 1.06 24% 1.6 .38 20% .25 57% .15 1.19 73% 0% 32% -1 +1 1.02 32% 1.3 .42 19% .43 92% .39
Feb
26		 UNC Asheville C C A D- D 49% 4% 47% A C- F A+ C- A+ C B C+ F C- F D D 36% 19% 45% F F+ F F F C- F A- F
1.15 58% 50% 30% -2 +3 1.04 17% 1.6 .28 10% .32 72% .23 1.24 60% 50% 37% +5 0 1.12 45% 1.3 .61 16% .46 63% .29
Feb
28		 South Carolina Upstate F D F D- F 53% 11% 36% A- F+ F A+ D- D- F F F C D B- A+ B- 54% 11% 35% F C B F D- F+ A+ F B+
0.87 52% 0% 30% -10 +2 0.87 17% 1.7 .28 18% .14 38% .05 1.01 61% 33% 20% -6 +2 0.95 24% 1.4 .33 14% .17 90% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15 100.0% 100.0
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 83.6%