IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Gardner-Webb
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating	-18.9	#363
Expected Predictive Rating	-21.1	#361

Pace	74.8	#45
Improvement	-2.7	#301

	Overall	1st FGA	Second Chance	TOs	Free throws	Shot Selection
Offense	#359	F	F	F	D+	C+
Defense	#364	F	F	D-	B-	C-

Offense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	39%	#156	1.01	#333	-2.5	#273
2 Pt. Jumpers	18%	#220	0.58	#352	-2.5	#299
Three Pointers	43%	#149	0.92	#291	-1.2	#223
1st FG Attempt			0.89	#339	-6.2	#339
Freethrows	16.2	#269	71%	#230	11.4	#266
Second Chance	23.5%	#340	0.97	#275	0.23	#342
Turnovers					20.3%	#352
Total Offense					-9.4	#359

Defense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	40%	#141	1.38	#363	-5.5	#346
2 Pt. Jumpers	20%	#195	0.84	#299	-0.5	#216
Three Pointers	40%	#211	1.14	#326	-1.9	#272
1st FG Attempt			1.18	#358	-7.9	#358
Freethrows	15.7	#77	73%	#232	11.5	#94
Second Chance	36.0%	#339	1.17	#320	0.42	#350
Turnovers					14.1%	#317
Total Defense					-9.5	#364

Miscellaneous

	Offense		Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect	0.7%	#143	0.4%	#202
Shot Type Accuracy Effect	-12.8%	#354	15.0%	#361
Possession Length	16.7	#113	16.5	#49
Fast Break Points Per Possession	0.17	#158	0.21	#295
Improvement	-1.7	#280	-1.0	#255

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	99.2%	96.8%	99.9%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Home) - 23.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 5	0 - 8
Quad 3	0 - 6	0 - 14
Quad 4	1 - 13	1 - 27

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Record		Total Rating	Offense				Defense
Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Overall	Conf	Total Rating	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs
Mon, Nov 3	71 @Minnesota	L	60 - 87	1%	-25	0 - 1		-16	-9	F	F	D+	-6	F	C-	A
Fri, Nov 7	32 @Clemson	L	59 - 97	0%	-21	0 - 2		-21	-3	C	D	F	-18	B-	F	F
Sat, Nov 15	184 @Elon	L	84 - 95	4%	-16	0 - 3		-10	+2	C	F	F	-11	F	F	A
Tue, Nov 18	99 @DePaul	L	62 - 93	1%	-16	0 - 4		-23	-12	F	D+	F	-7	F	A+	B
Sat, Nov 22	120 @Richmond	L	67 - 102	2%	-28	0 - 5		-29	-8	B	F	F	-19	F	F	F
Wed, Nov 26	194 Navy	L	51 - 84	7%	-16	0 - 6		-35	-18	F	F	F	-19	F	F	A-
Fri, Nov 28	272 SE Louisiana	L	68 - 76	12%	+2	0 - 7		-14	-6	D+	C+	F	-8	C	C	D
Sat, Nov 29	125 @UNC Wilmington	L	62 - 88	2%	-12	0 - 8		-21	-7	C-	F	F	-14	F	C+	F
Wed, Dec 3	177 @Queens	L	74 - 107	4%	-14	0 - 9		-31	-6	F	A+	C	-24	F	F	D
Sat, Dec 6	251 Georgia Southern	L	84 - 88	15%	-3	0 - 10		-12	+0	C+	F	D+	-12	F	C	F
Mon, Dec 15	215 Wofford	L	57 - 83	12%	-11	0 - 11		-32	-21	F	F	F	-12	C-	F	C+
Sun, Dec 21	22 @Tennessee	L	52 - 94	0%	-26	0 - 12		-22	-10	D	D-	C	-12	F	C+	F
Wed, Dec 31	234 Charleston Southern	L	79 - 89	14%	+1	0 - 13	0 - 1	-17	-1	F	B+	D-	-16	F	F	C
Sat, Jan 3	130 @Winthrop	L	77 - 88	2%	+5	0 - 14	0 - 2	-6	+8	A	F	A+	-15	F	A+	F
Wed, Jan 7	98 @High Point	L	49 - 104	1%	-38	0 - 15	0 - 3	-47	-29	F	F	F	-11	C	F	D-
Wed, Jan 14	253 Radford	L	80 - 89	15%	-5	0 - 16	0 - 4	-17	+0	D	D	A	-17	D	C-	F
Sat, Jan 17	266 Presbyterian	L	55 - 92	17%	-20	0 - 17	0 - 5	-46	-22	F	F	F	-24	F	D-	F
Wed, Jan 21	262 @Longwood	L	56 - 91	7%	-17	0 - 18	0 - 6	-38	-19	F	D-	F	-19	F	F	D
Fri, Jan 23	303 South Carolina Upstate	L	72 - 80	23%
Thu, Jan 29	205 @UNC Asheville	L	66 - 85	4%
Wed, Feb 4	262 Longwood	L	74 - 84	17%
Sat, Feb 7	266 @Presbyterian	L	65 - 81	7%
Thu, Feb 12	130 Winthrop	L	71 - 89	5%
Sat, Feb 14	98 @High Point	L	69 - 96	0%
Thu, Feb 19	253 @Radford	L	75 - 92	6%
Thu, Feb 26	205 UNC Asheville	L	69 - 82	11%
Sat, Feb 28	303 @South Carolina Upstate	L	69 - 83	11%
Totals						1 - 26	1 - 14	-19	-9	F	F	F	-10	F	F	D-

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0	Total
1st																			1st
2nd																			2nd
3rd																			3rd
4th																			4th
5th																			5th
6th						0.0	0.0											0.0	6th
7th				0.0	0.1	0.0												0.1	7th
8th			1.2	1.2	0.5	0.0												2.9	8th
9th	43.0	36.6	14.4	2.8	0.2													97.0	9th

Total	43.0	36.6	15.5	4.0	0.8	0.0	0.0												Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8

Total

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10	0.0%																					0.0
5-11	0.0%																					0.0
4-12	0.8%																					0.8
3-13	4.0%																					4.0
2-14	15.5%																					15.5
1-15	36.6%																					36.6
0-16	43.0%																					43.0

Total	100%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																	100.0	0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	38.3%