Queens
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#199
Expected Predictive Rating-3.8#227
Pace70.7#156
Improvement+0.2#175

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#95
First Shot+3.5#83
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#191
Layup/Dunks-0.3#187
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#226
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#35
Freethrows-0.8#220
Improvement+3.9#4

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#340
First Shot-5.6#340
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#193
Layups/Dunks-6.4#350
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#238
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#98
Freethrows-0.9#243
Improvement-3.7#362
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.1% 13.7% 8.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 54.5% 57.1% 31.6%
.500 or above in Conference 82.1% 83.1% 72.8%
Conference Champion 18.6% 19.3% 12.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 1.0% 2.7%
First Four1.8% 1.8% 2.4%
First Round12.4% 13.0% 7.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Home) - 89.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 32 - 52 - 11
Quad 414 - 516 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 107 Winthrop L 74-81 26%     0 - 1 -2.7 -1.2 -1.3
  Sat, Nov 8 39 @Villanova L 74-94 6%     0 - 2 -5.0 +9.5 -15.0
  Tue, Nov 11 135 @Duquesne L 81-87 OT 25%     0 - 3 -1.3 -4.4 +4.2
  Sat, Nov 15 255 Sacred Heart W 81-64 72%     1 - 3 +8.6 +1.5 +7.2
  Thu, Nov 20 293 UNC Greensboro W 101-94 78%     2 - 3 -3.4 +25.5 -28.7
  Sun, Nov 23 153 @Furman L 79-90 30%     2 - 4 -7.9 +15.5 -24.6
  Fri, Nov 28 26 @Virginia L 69-94 4%     2 - 5 -7.6 +8.0 -17.7
  Wed, Dec 3 360 Gardner-Webb W 107-74 91%     3 - 5 +15.6 +21.2 -7.2
  Fri, Dec 12 352 South Carolina St. W 85-72 90%    
  Sun, Dec 14 53 @Wake Forest L 74-89 7%    
  Tue, Dec 16 22 @Arkansas L 72-92 3%    
  Mon, Dec 29 20 @Auburn L 71-92 3%    
  Thu, Jan 1 258 Eastern Kentucky W 86-80 70%    
  Sat, Jan 3 292 Bellarmine W 84-76 76%    
  Thu, Jan 8 275 @Jacksonville W 75-74 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 343 @North Florida W 89-83 70%    
  Thu, Jan 15 177 @Florida Gulf Coast L 80-84 35%    
  Sat, Jan 17 348 @Stetson W 81-75 72%    
  Wed, Jan 21 200 North Alabama W 78-75 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 285 @West Georgia W 79-78 55%    
  Wed, Jan 28 273 Central Arkansas W 81-74 73%    
  Sat, Jan 31 292 @Bellarmine W 81-79 57%    
  Thu, Feb 5 275 Jacksonville W 78-71 73%    
  Sat, Feb 7 343 North Florida W 92-80 86%    
  Wed, Feb 11 182 Austin Peay W 78-76 58%    
  Sat, Feb 14 164 Lipscomb W 80-79 54%    
  Wed, Feb 18 200 @North Alabama L 75-78 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 285 West Georgia W 82-75 75%    
  Wed, Feb 25 258 @Eastern Kentucky L 82-83 51%    
  Sat, Feb 28 273 @Central Arkansas W 78-77 53%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 3.0 5.4 4.9 3.1 1.2 0.3 18.6 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 4.1 5.8 3.8 1.1 0.2 15.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.3 6.3 2.8 0.5 0.0 14.7 3rd
4th 0.5 3.6 5.7 2.4 0.3 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.2 5.2 2.5 0.2 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.2 2.4 0.2 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.1 2.5 0.4 0.0 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.4 0.5 0.0 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.0 0.4 0.0 3.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.5 2.8 5.2 7.4 10.0 12.4 13.8 13.7 11.9 9.7 6.0 3.2 1.2 0.3 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.2    1.2 0.0
16-2 95.3% 3.1    2.7 0.4 0.0
15-3 81.6% 4.9    3.5 1.3 0.1
14-4 55.6% 5.4    2.6 2.2 0.5 0.0
13-5 25.1% 3.0    0.8 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.4% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 18.6% 18.6 11.1 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 52.9% 52.9% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.2% 38.6% 38.6% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.8
16-2 3.2% 34.5% 34.5% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 2.1
15-3 6.0% 26.9% 26.9% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 4.4
14-4 9.7% 24.8% 24.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.3 7.3
13-5 11.9% 17.8% 17.8% 15.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.6 9.7
12-6 13.7% 14.3% 14.3% 15.3 0.2 1.0 0.7 11.7
11-7 13.8% 10.5% 10.5% 15.6 0.0 0.6 0.8 12.3
10-8 12.4% 7.3% 7.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 11.5
9-9 10.0% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 9.4
8-10 7.4% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.1
7-11 5.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 5.1
6-12 2.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.8
5-13 1.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.5
4-14 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 13.1% 13.1% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 5.2 4.3 86.9 0.0%