Preseason Rankings
Queens
Atlantic Sun
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#245
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.7#106
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#173
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#307
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 12.3% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 41.6% 60.0% 31.8%
.500 or above in Conference 72.4% 82.0% 67.4%
Conference Champion 11.4% 16.4% 8.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 1.0% 3.1%
First Four1.7% 1.6% 1.8%
First Round8.9% 12.4% 7.1%
Second Round0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Neutral) - 34.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 32 - 42 - 11
Quad 413 - 615 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 161   Winthrop L 79-83 35%    
  Nov 08, 2025 39   @ Villanova L 59-80 3%    
  Nov 11, 2025 115   @ Duquesne L 65-76 16%    
  Nov 15, 2025 254   Sacred Heart W 81-78 62%    
  Nov 20, 2025 225   UNC Greensboro W 70-68 56%    
  Nov 23, 2025 133   @ Furman L 69-78 20%    
  Nov 28, 2025 46   @ Virginia L 57-77 5%    
  Dec 03, 2025 307   Gardner-Webb W 79-72 71%    
  Dec 12, 2025 311   South Carolina St. W 79-72 72%    
  Dec 14, 2025 67   @ Wake Forest L 65-81 8%    
  Dec 16, 2025 17   @ Arkansas L 64-88 2%    
  Dec 29, 2025 22   @ Auburn L 64-88 2%    
  Jan 01, 2026 174   Eastern Kentucky L 76-77 48%    
  Jan 03, 2026 320   Bellarmine W 79-71 75%    
  Jan 08, 2026 253   @ Jacksonville L 71-74 41%    
  Jan 10, 2026 330   @ North Florida W 84-82 58%    
  Jan 15, 2026 181   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 17, 2026 350   @ Stetson W 78-73 65%    
  Jan 21, 2026 195   North Alabama W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 24, 2026 345   @ West Georgia W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 28, 2026 358   Central Arkansas W 80-67 86%    
  Jan 31, 2026 320   @ Bellarmine W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 05, 2026 253   Jacksonville W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 07, 2026 330   North Florida W 87-79 75%    
  Feb 11, 2026 276   Austin Peay W 75-70 66%    
  Feb 14, 2026 188   Lipscomb W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 18, 2026 195   @ North Alabama L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 21, 2026 345   West Georgia W 80-70 80%    
  Feb 25, 2026 174   @ Eastern Kentucky L 73-79 30%    
  Feb 28, 2026 358   @ Central Arkansas W 77-70 71%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.7 3.4 2.7 1.3 0.3 11.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.1 3.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 12.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.8 3.8 1.1 0.1 12.7 3rd
4th 0.3 2.4 5.2 3.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.1 3.4 0.6 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.8 3.4 0.6 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.9 2.8 0.6 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.2 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.2 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 3.3 4.9 7.1 9.0 10.6 11.9 11.9 11.1 9.7 7.5 5.2 3.0 1.3 0.3 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 98.7% 1.3    1.2 0.1
16-2 90.6% 2.7    2.1 0.5 0.0
15-3 66.1% 3.4    2.0 1.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 35.3% 2.7    1.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
13-5 10.1% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.4% 11.4 6.8 3.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 50.0% 50.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.3% 46.3% 46.3% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7
16-2 3.0% 35.2% 35.2% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.9
15-3 5.2% 27.6% 27.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 3.7
14-4 7.5% 19.4% 19.4% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 6.1
13-5 9.7% 14.0% 14.0% 16.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 8.4
12-6 11.1% 10.5% 10.5% 17.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 9.9
11-7 11.9% 6.3% 6.3% 18.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 11.2
10-8 11.9% 4.8% 4.8% 18.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.3
9-9 10.6% 2.6% 2.6% 17.6 0.0 0.3 10.4
8-10 9.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.9
7-11 7.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.0
6-12 4.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.9
5-13 3.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.3
4-14 1.8% 1.8
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.2 2.8 3.0 91.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%