Queens
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -2.3 202
Results Rating -2.5 206
Consistency 0.15 147
Pace 72.3 79
Improvement +1.4 135

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 85 B- C B- B- C+
Defense D- 338 D D+ D+ D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 220 B 63% 66 +1.2 131
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 275 C+ 39% 133 -1.2 249
Three Pointers 47% 62 C 34% 169 +3.0 78
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.5 116 B- +2.2 99
1st FG Attempt B- 1.08 92
Second Chance C- 28.7% 230 B- 1.09 94 C 0.31 166
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.0% 136
Other Turnovers B- 6.4% 78
Turnovers B- 15.5% 101
Freethrows C+ 0.31 153 B 76% 58 B- 0.24 115
Total Offense B- +4.1 85

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 37% 330 D+ 12.8% 290
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 199 C+ 4.6% 164
Three Pointers A- 94% 10 C+ 0.6% 122
Total C 55% 192 C 5.8% 211


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 80 D+ 61% 258 +3.6 300
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 213 C- 40% 237 -0.1 180
Three Pointers 38% 272 D- 38% 342 +0.8 229
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 257 D +3.7 319
1st FG Attempt D 1.11 322
Second Chance D 33.6% 309 C- 1.06 241 D+ 0.36 296
Turnovers from Steals D 7.8% 307
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 189
Turnovers D+ 15.0% 285
Freethrows D 0.35 310 C- 74% 260 D 0.26 313
Total Defense D- -6.4 338

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 43% 71 C- 9.4% 232
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 218 C- 4.3% 207
Three Pointers B- 81% 101 D 0.3% 306
Total B- 52% 100 C- 4.9% 224

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 71 17.6 248
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 184 0.18 202
Consistency 0.10 44 0.14 322
Improvement +0.1 179 +1.3 119

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 212 197 174
Results Rating Rank 217 201 157
Conference Record 13 - 5 13 - 5 13 - 5
Conference Finish 3 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19% 26% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 1% 0%
First Round19% 26% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 418 - 418 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 145 Winthrop L 74 - 81 37% -2  16% 0 - 1 D+ -6 D+ -4 D- B+ F C- -2 A- F C-
 Sat, Nov 8 38 @Villanova L 74 - 94 5% -12  0% 0 - 2 C- -3 B+ +8 A+ F D- F -12 C+ F D
 Tue, Nov 11 120 @Duquesne L 81 - 87 OT 22% -9  3% 0 - 3 C -0 D- -6 C- F C- A- +7 C+ A- B-
 Sat, Nov 15 287 Sacred Heart W 81 - 64 77% +13  99% 1 - 3 B- +7 C- -1 A C- F A- +8 B- A+ D+
 Thu, Nov 20 300 UNC Greensboro W 101 - 94 80% +8  98% 2 - 3 C- -4 A+ +20 A B A F -24 F F F
 Sun, Nov 23 185 @Furman L 79 - 90 36% -11  0% 2 - 4 D -10 A +14 C A A+ F -25 F B F
 Fri, Nov 28 21 @Virginia L 69 - 94 3% -18  0% 2 - 5 C- -5 A- +10 C A+ C F -17 F C+ D
 Wed, Dec 3 362 Gardner-Webb W 107 - 74 95% +14  98% 3 - 5 B+ +12 A+ +16 A+ A B- D -6 A+ F F
 Fri, Dec 12 359 South Carolina St. W 102 - 78 93% +19  99% 4 - 5 C+ +5 A+ +16 B- B- A+ F -12 D F D+
 Sun, Dec 14 70 @Wake Forest L 73 - 111 10% -19  1% 4 - 6 F -26 C +0 B D+ B- F -25 F D- C
 Tue, Dec 16 18 @Arkansas L 80 - 108 3% -20  8% 4 - 7 D+ -7 C +1 C B F+ D -5 D- F A+
 Mon, Dec 29 37 @Auburn L 65 - 106 5% -30  0% 4 - 8 F -24 F+ -10 F B- C F -12 F C+ C-
 Thu, Jan 1 288 Eastern Kentucky W 91 - 89 77% +1  53% 5 - 8 1 - 0 D -8 B +7 C- A A+ F -15 F C F
 Sat, Jan 3 285 Bellarmine W 98 - 76 77% +10  87% 6 - 8 2 - 0 B+ +12 B+ +8 B B- D+ B +4 D- A+ A-
 Thu, Jan 8 293 @Jacksonville W 77 - 51 59% +15  96% 7 - 8 3 - 0 A +21 B- +5 A+ F D A+ +18 A C- B
 Sat, Jan 10 339 @North Florida W 89 - 82 75% +2  66% 8 - 8 4 - 0 C- -2 C+ +2 C- B+ C D+ -4 D- C F
 Thu, Jan 15 269 @Florida Gulf Coast W 85 - 74 53% +6  80% 9 - 8 5 - 0 B- +8 B +7 D+ C A C+ +1 A+ D F
 Sat, Jan 17 320 @Stetson W 87 - 81 67% +8  98% 10 - 8 6 - 0 C -1 B +7 C+ D- A D- -8 F+ C- D-
 Wed, Jan 21 342 North Alabama W 87 - 62 89% +10  92% 11 - 8 7 - 0 B +10 B +7 B A- D+ B +4 C+ B- A
 Sat, Jan 24 308 @West Georgia L 66 - 74 63% -4  9% 11 - 9 7 - 1 D- -14 F+ -9 F B D- D -5 F B+ B-
 Wed, Jan 28 171 Central Arkansas L 90 - 100 56% +1  53% 11 - 10 7 - 2 D- -14 B +7 A+ F+ A F -21 F D F+
 Sat, Jan 31 285 @Bellarmine L 75 - 78 56% -0  39% 11 - 11 7 - 3 D+ -7 D+ -3 F B+ B+ D+ -5 C F C
 Thu, Feb 5 293 Jacksonville W 93 - 84 79% +11  96% 12 - 11 8 - 3 C- -2 A +12 B+ C- A+ F -14 F D C-
 Sat, Feb 7 339 North Florida W 91 - 72 88% +5  68% 13 - 11 9 - 3 C+ +4 B- +5 C B- C+ C -1 D+ B+ B-
 Wed, Feb 11 177 Austin Peay L 87 - 95 57% -5  13% 13 - 12 9 - 4 D- -12 B +6 A F A F -17 F F D+
 Sat, Feb 14 195 Lipscomb W 87 - 81 61% +11  91% 14 - 12 10 - 4 C +1 C +0 A+ D+ F C +0 C D B
 Wed, Feb 18 342 @North Alabama W 85 - 78 75% -1  35% 15 - 12 11 - 4 C- -2 B+ +8 A F B- F -10 F F F+
 Sat, Feb 21 308 West Georgia W 91 - 84 81% +4  85% 16 - 12 12 - 4 C- -5 B +7 F+ A+ A+ F -12 F+ F+ D
 Wed, Feb 25 288 @Eastern Kentucky W 96 - 79 57% +0  37% 17 - 12 13 - 4 B+ +13 A +14 A- F A+ C -1 C+ F D+
 Sat, Feb 28 171 @Central Arkansas L 79 - 84 33% -8  0% 17 - 13 13 - 5 C- -3 C+ +3 C+ F A- D -6 C C- D
Totals 17 - 13 13 - 5 -2 B- +4 D- B- C+ D- -6 C B B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B C+ C B- 37% 29% 47% C+ B- C- B- C B- C+ B B- D- D+ C- D- D 43% 19% 38% D+ D D C- D+ D+ D C- D
1.14 63% 39% 34% +2 0 1.08 29% 1.1 .31 15% .31 76% .24 1.18 61% 40% 38% +4 0 1.11 34% 1.1 .36 15% .35 74% .23
Nov
3		 Winthrop D+ B- A+ F D- 35% 18% 47% C D- A C- B+ F D A+ C+ C- B+ A B B+ 33% 22% 45% A A- F+ F F C- F F+ F
1.03 61% 56% 21% -5 0 0.92 38% 1.1 .41 24% .29 88% .25 1.12 47% 27% 30% -8 0 0.84 39% 1.3 .49 14% .50 81% .40
Nov
8		 Villanova B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 49% 13% 38% A+ A+ F F F D- A- B+ A F F A+ A+ B- 54% 14% 32% F C+ F B+ F D F C- F
1.08 64% 67% 47% +14 +2 1.33 13% 0.7 .09 23% .31 75% .23 1.38 80% 13% 22% +2 +2 1.11 56% 0.9 .51 12% .42 72% .30
Nov
11		 Duquesne D- D- B C- C- 32% 21% 47% C C- C+ F F C- B C+ B A- F D- A+ B- 52% 12% 37% D+ C+ A C+ A- B- F A+ C+
0.94 50% 42% 33% -2 -1 0.96 30% 0.4 .13 19% .39 74% .29 1.01 71% 43% 18% -2 +2 1.03 22% 1.0 .22 19% .43 57% .24
Nov
15		 Sacred Heart C- C- F A+ A 30% 8% 62% C+ A C D+ C- F F A+ D- A- A C- C B 33% 15% 53% D+ B- D A+ A+ D+ A B+ A
1.17 60% 25% 48% +13 +1 1.30 32% 1.0 .32 23% .15 88% .13 0.92 44% 38% 34% -4 0 0.95 30% 0.3 .09 17% .19 73% .14
Nov
20		 UNC Greensboro A+ B C A+ A 36% 9% 55% B+ A A D B A A+ A+ A+ F F+ F C+ F 58% 12% 30% F F C- F F F F B- F
1.49 65% 40% 48% +15 +1 1.34 40% 1.0 .40 9% .37 87% .32 1.38 66% 50% 33% +5 +3 1.18 27% 1.6 .42 6% .56 67% .37
Nov
23		 Furman A C+ B+ C- C+ 27% 25% 48% D- C D- A+ A A+ B A+ A F F F F F 41% 6% 53% D- F F A+ B F F+ C+ D-
1.25 57% 46% 32% 0 -1 1.00 24% 1.9 .45 6% .29 82% .24 1.43 81% 67% 41% +16 +2 1.39 37% 0.6 .23 6% .36 67% .24
Nov
28		 Virginia A- D C F+ C- 34% 22% 44% B- C A+ A A+ C A- F B- F F+ F F F 33% 10% 57% C+ F F+ A C+ D F B+ D-
1.07 47% 36% 27% -9 0 0.84 40% 1.1 .44 17% .34 67% .22 1.46 69% 60% 50% +19 +1 1.43 45% 0.9 .42 12% .39 68% .27
Dec
3		 Gardner-Webb A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 36% 19% 45% D+ A+ D A+ A B- D+ F F+ D A+ B- B A+ 40% 24% 36% B+ A+ F F F F D+ F F
1.46 71% 64% 50% +20 0 1.43 31% 1.7 .52 14% .27 59% .16 1.01 27% 31% 30% -16 0 0.69 38% 1.3 .49 14% .28 89% .25
Dec
12		 South Carolina St. A+ A+ A- C- B- 35% 8% 58% C- B- B- C+ B- A+ B B B+ F A+ F F D+ 50% 23% 27% F D F F F D+ C+ C C+
1.42 78% 50% 33% +7 +1 1.19 41% 1.2 .49 8% .44 76% .34 1.09 35% 50% 50% -3 +1 0.98 44% 1.2 .51 20% .31 67% .21
Dec
14		 Wake Forest C A+ F D B 25% 10% 65% C+ B F A+ D+ B- D C D F F+ F F F 25% 14% 61% C+ F D D- D- C F F F
1.02 85% 20% 30% +1 0 1.06 19% 1.3 .25 18% .26 73% .19 1.55 69% 100% 52% +27 0 1.57 35% 1.3 .45 14% .39 92% .36
Dec
16		 Arkansas C B+ A+ F B- 31% 30% 39% D- C A+ F B F+ A- C+ A- D C- F F D 47% 7% 45% F D- C- F F A+ F F+ F
1.00 65% 50% 19% -3 -2 0.93 41% 1.0 .41 21% .32 70% .22 1.36 65% 50% 44% +11 +2 1.29 36% 1.9 .68 18% .41 81% .34
Dec
29		 Auburn F+ C F F F 55% 18% 27% A- F D+ A+ B- C A+ B A+ F F+ A+ F F 38% 13% 48% C F D A- C+ C- F+ B+ D+
0.88 56% 22% 8% -15 +1 0.76 25% 1.3 .33 19% .45 78% .35 1.43 70% 14% 60% +20 +1 1.44 43% 0.9 .40 14% .47 70% .33
Jan
1		 Eastern Kentucky B A+ F F D 53% 8% 40% A+ C- C- A+ A A+ A+ B A+ F C+ C- F F 38% 9% 53% F F A+ F C F F+ C D-
1.30 75% 25% 24% +2 +3 1.11 32% 1.5 .48 9% .49 77% .38 1.27 55% 40% 43% +6 +1 1.17 23% 1.5 .34 7% .32 71% .23
Jan
3		 Bellarmine B+ A+ A+ B+ B- 16% 2% 82% B- B C B+ B- D+ F F F B D+ A+ F D- 50% 9% 41% D- D- A+ A- A+ A- F A+ F+
1.37 78% 100% 40% +12 +1 1.28 35% 1.3 .46 17% .22 62% .13 1.06 65% 0% 47% +9 +2 1.24 10% 1.0 .10 20% .43 68% .30
Jan
8		 Jacksonville B- D+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 4% 52% A- A+ D F F D D- F F A+ A A A+ A+ 48% 16% 36% F+ A D B- C- B F A+ B
1.18 57% 50% 52% +14 +3 1.35 25% 0.4 .11 17% .31 59% .18 0.78 43% 29% 25% -14 +1 0.77 32% 1.0 .32 20% .38 45% .17
Jan
10		 North Florida C+ B+ F D- D 45% 5% 49% A- C- C A B+ C A+ B A+ D+ F D B- D- 38% 15% 47% C D- B- F+ C F B+ D- B
1.23 68% 0% 30% -1 +2 1.05 38% 1.4 .54 12% .38 75% .28 1.13 70% 44% 32% +4 +1 1.12 23% 1.3 .29 12% .19 83% .16
Jan
15		 Florida Gulf Coast B B- A F D 40% 8% 53% B+ D+ C C C A A B A+ C+ B C A+ A+ 42% 25% 32% D A+ C+ F D F F F F
1.20 62% 50% 29% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.1 .33 11% .45 79% .35 1.04 52% 40% 16% -11 0 0.80 29% 1.3 .36 10% .34 100% .34
Jan
17		 Stetson B A+ A+ F C 38% 9% 54% B C+ C+ F D- A B- A- B D- F+ A- F+ F+ 43% 20% 37% D F+ F A C- D- F A F
1.25 81% 60% 27% +5 +1 1.14 35% 0.8 .29 10% .30 79% .24 1.16 67% 30% 39% +5 0 1.12 34% 0.8 .29 16% .58 62% .36
Jan
21		 North Alabama B A- A+ F B- 58% 11% 31% B+ B A+ D+ A- D+ A+ A+ A+ B C+ A+ A B- 54% 13% 33% F C+ D A B- A F D- F
1.29 69% 80% 21% +5 +3 1.18 46% 1.1 .50 16% .44 96% .42 0.92 52% 17% 27% -10 +2 0.87 34% 0.8 .29 24% .43 73% .31
Jan
24		 West Georgia F+ F F C+ F 56% 8% 35% A- F B B B D- D+ F F+ D D D+ F F 30% 38% 32% B F F A+ B+ B- F A- F
0.99 44% 25% 35% -8 +3 0.92 35% 1.1 .38 18% .31 59% .18 1.11 60% 42% 50% +10 -3 1.16 37% 0.6 .23 18% .40 64% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Central Arkansas B A+ A+ A+ A+ 23% 9% 68% C- A+ F B- F+ A B+ C- B F F F F F 29% 20% 51% B F B+ F D F+ F F F
1.22 75% 60% 44% +17 0 1.36 17% 1.2 .20 15% .33 71% .24 1.35 80% 50% 42% +15 -1 1.31 22% 1.5 .33 12% .52 82% .43
Jan
31		 Bellarmine D+ C- D+ D F 25% 22% 53% D F C+ A B+ B+ F+ F F D+ C F D- D+ 39% 22% 39% A C F F F C D F F
1.18 62% 36% 33% 0 -1 1.00 36% 1.4 .50 13% .25 57% .14 1.23 61% 50% 39% +7 0 1.15 31% 1.5 .46 16% .34 89% .30
Feb
5		 Jacksonville A A F A+ A 43% 26% 30% D B+ D B- C- A+ B- B B F C+ F F F 38% 27% 36% B F B+ F D C- F F F
1.32 74% 29% 50% +12 0 1.25 25% 1.0 .25 7% .40 73% .29 1.19 53% 50% 44% +6 -1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 17% .50 86% .43
Feb
7		 North Florida B- A A- D C+ 33% 15% 53% C- C B- C+ B- C+ D+ A+ B+ C B+ A+ F D 26% 19% 55% A- D+ B- A+ B+ B- F A- F
1.32 72% 50% 31% +4 0 1.11 41% 1.2 .50 12% .25 100% .25 1.04 50% 11% 46% +3 -1 1.06 24% 0.9 .21 20% .45 72% .33
Feb
11		 Austin Peay B B A+ A+ A 47% 16% 37% B- A F F F A A+ F A+ F F F A F 52% 25% 23% C F D- F F D+ F F F
1.18 67% 50% 42% +10 +1 1.25 22% 0.4 .08 14% .53 62% .33 1.29 68% 50% 27% +6 0 1.15 33% 1.5 .50 15% .51 81% .41
Feb
14		 Lipscomb C A+ F A+ A+ 43% 14% 43% B+ A+ F A+ D+ F A+ D A C C- F A C+ 54% 7% 39% F C F A- D B D- A D+
1.11 81% 29% 43% +14 +1 1.33 19% 1.4 .26 23% .40 67% .26 1.03 61% 50% 27% -1 +3 1.05 35% 0.8 .30 19% .28 67% .19
Feb
18		 North Alabama B+ B- F A+ A- 49% 7% 44% B+ A F B F B- A+ A- A+ F D+ A+ F F 60% 10% 29% F F D+ F F F+ D+ A+ B+
1.26 64% 33% 45% +10 +3 1.27 15% 1.3 .19 13% .48 82% .39 1.16 59% 0% 43% 0 +3 1.08 32% 1.5 .50 15% .35 50% .17
Feb
21		 West Georgia B A+ A F F 53% 16% 31% C+ F+ C- A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ F D F A+ F+ 36% 32% 32% C- F+ D- D- F+ D D D D-
1.26 74% 50% 0% -6 +2 0.94 29% 1.9 .56 8% .54 78% .42 1.17 60% 61% 22% +2 -2 1.04 34% 1.2 .40 14% .31 74% .23
Feb
25		 Eastern Kentucky A A C- A+ A+ 23% 40% 38% F A- F+ F F A+ A+ A- A+ C C- D C+ D+ 15% 40% 45% A+ C+ C F F D+ F C F
1.36 73% 42% 56% +17 -4 1.29 25% 0.5 .13 10% .60 79% .47 1.12 57% 42% 33% +1 -4 0.96 32% 1.4 .46 16% .47 71% .34
Feb
28		 Central Arkansas C+ A A+ D- C+ 29% 8% 63% C+ C+ D- F F A- B- A+ A+ D F A+ A+ C+ 48% 12% 40% F+ C D- B- C- D F F F
1.11 73% 75% 30% +4 +1 1.12 22% 0.6 .13 16% .30 94% .28 1.18 71% 17% 25% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.0 .31 14% .43 88% .38



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 19.0% 19.0% 15.0 0.1 3.8 11.6 3.5 81.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 19.0% 19.0% 0.0% 15.0 81.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 19.0% 100.0% 15.0 0.6 20.0 61.1 18.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 18.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 35.7%
Lose Out 26.6%