Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#205
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#129
Pace66.7#263
Improvement+1.6#71

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#236
First Shot-0.9#204
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#279
Layup/Dunks+0.4#158
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#107
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#266
Freethrows+0.2#167
Improvement+1.7#55

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#173
First Shot+0.0#174
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#216
Layups/Dunks+0.3#157
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#340
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#166
Freethrows+2.0#67
Improvement-0.1#192
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.2% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.5 13.8
.500 or above 41.1% 54.2% 30.3%
.500 or above in Conference 43.3% 49.3% 38.4%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.2% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 5.3% 3.9% 6.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.8% 2.2% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Away) - 44.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 49 - 414 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 338 Georgia St. W 71-49 86%     1 - 0 +7.9 -4.2 +12.6
  Mon, Nov 10 95 @Pittsburgh L 66-78 15%     1 - 1 -3.7 -2.5 -1.3
  Fri, Nov 14 356 IU Indianapolis L 83-90 90%     1 - 2 -23.8 -8.8 -14.2
  Tue, Nov 18 293 @Detroit Mercy W 72-62 56%     2 - 2 +5.6 -2.7 +8.4
  Fri, Nov 21 146 Oakland W 97-91 48%     3 - 2 +3.9 +12.8 -9.2
  Mon, Nov 24 13 @Louisville L 46-87 2%     3 - 3 -19.7 -16.6 -4.9
  Wed, Nov 26 68 @Cincinnati W 64-56 10%     4 - 3 +19.3 +6.3 +13.5
  Fri, Nov 28 348 NJIT W 73-55 88%     5 - 3 +2.7 -0.7 +4.4
  Tue, Dec 2 55 @Butler L 68-84 8%     5 - 4 -2.9 +4.4 -8.2
  Wed, Dec 10 238 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-75 45%    
  Fri, Dec 19 54 @Akron L 71-87 7%    
  Mon, Dec 22 159 @Wright St. L 67-72 31%    
  Tue, Dec 30 167 Massachusetts W 73-72 54%    
  Sat, Jan 3 190 Ohio W 76-74 58%    
  Tue, Jan 6 310 @Ball St. W 69-66 60%    
  Sat, Jan 10 245 @Western Michigan L 72-73 46%    
  Tue, Jan 13 333 Northern Illinois W 78-67 83%    
  Sat, Jan 17 129 @Bowling Green L 67-75 24%    
  Sat, Jan 24 121 Kent St. L 77-80 41%    
  Tue, Jan 27 309 @Central Michigan W 72-70 59%    
  Sat, Jan 31 167 @Massachusetts L 70-75 33%    
  Tue, Feb 3 54 Akron L 74-84 19%    
  Wed, Feb 11 121 @Kent St. L 74-83 22%    
  Sat, Feb 14 245 Western Michigan W 75-70 67%    
  Tue, Feb 17 309 Central Michigan W 75-67 77%    
  Sat, Feb 21 163 @Toledo L 73-78 32%    
  Tue, Feb 24 112 Miami (OH) L 73-76 38%    
  Tue, Mar 3 223 @Buffalo L 71-73 43%    
  Fri, Mar 6 129 Bowling Green L 70-72 44%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.8 1.3 0.1 8.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 5.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.9 3.0 0.3 11.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 5.5 4.4 0.5 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 5.0 5.3 0.9 0.0 12.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.8 1.5 0.1 0.0 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.8 1.9 0.1 0.0 9.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.7 1.9 0.2 7.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.4 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.3 4.9 8.1 11.4 14.2 14.5 14.0 11.5 8.2 5.2 2.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 75.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 63.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 27.8% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 17.9% 17.9% 12.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 17.5% 17.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.1% 12.7% 12.7% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0
13-5 2.9% 8.4% 8.4% 12.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.7
12-6 5.2% 5.7% 5.7% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.9
11-7 8.2% 3.9% 3.9% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.9
10-8 11.5% 2.4% 2.4% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.2
9-9 14.0% 2.1% 2.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 13.7
8-10 14.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.4
7-11 14.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 14.2
6-12 11.4% 11.4
5-13 8.1% 8.1
4-14 4.9% 4.9
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 98.2 0.0%