Western Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#281
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#83
Pace69.8#138
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#274
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#275
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 2.0% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.0 14.4
.500 or above 20.0% 34.8% 13.6%
.500 or above in Conference 25.1% 34.4% 21.1%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.7% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 18.4% 12.1% 21.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.2% 2.0% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Campbell (Away) - 30.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 49 - 611 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 282   Coastal Carolina W 76-71 62%     1 - 0 -4.4 -7.4 +2.6
  Nov 09, 2025 227   @ Campbell L 67-73 30%    
  Nov 12, 2025 208   Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-75 47%    
  Nov 16, 2025 301   @ South Dakota L 80-82 43%    
  Nov 20, 2025 26   @ Ohio St. L 68-91 2%    
  Nov 23, 2025 253   Mount St. Mary's W 72-70 56%    
  Nov 29, 2025 279   @ Valparaiso L 71-74 39%    
  Dec 03, 2025 305   Southern Indiana W 74-70 65%    
  Dec 06, 2025 236   @ SIU Edwardsville L 66-71 33%    
  Dec 14, 2025 34   @ Iowa L 65-87 3%    
  Dec 20, 2025 321   Buffalo W 78-72 69%    
  Dec 30, 2025 195   @ Toledo L 73-80 27%    
  Jan 06, 2026 113   @ Miami (OH) L 67-80 14%    
  Jan 10, 2026 256   Eastern Michigan W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 13, 2026 187   Massachusetts L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 17, 2026 92   @ Akron L 70-85 10%    
  Jan 20, 2026 152   Bowling Green L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 24, 2026 275   Central Michigan W 73-70 59%    
  Jan 27, 2026 306   @ Northern Illinois L 73-75 45%    
  Feb 03, 2026 150   @ Ohio L 72-81 21%    
  Feb 11, 2026 195   Toledo L 76-77 47%    
  Feb 14, 2026 256   @ Eastern Michigan L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 17, 2026 92   Akron L 73-82 23%    
  Feb 21, 2026 275   @ Central Michigan L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 24, 2026 152   @ Bowling Green L 67-76 22%    
  Feb 28, 2026 113   Miami (OH) L 70-77 28%    
  Mar 03, 2026 225   Ball St. W 72-71 51%    
  Mar 06, 2026 136   @ Kent St. L 67-78 19%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 2.9 3rd
4th 0.2 1.2 2.0 0.9 0.1 4.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 2.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 3.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.5 2.9 0.5 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.1 4.0 0.8 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.8 1.4 0.1 10.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.7 5.4 2.1 0.2 12.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 3.7 5.4 2.5 0.2 0.0 12.8 11th
12th 0.2 1.5 4.0 4.8 2.4 0.4 0.0 13.3 12th
13th 0.6 2.1 3.7 3.1 1.5 0.2 11.2 13th
Total 0.6 2.4 5.2 8.0 10.7 12.4 12.9 12.3 10.4 8.5 6.3 4.7 2.7 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 93.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 63.8% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 41.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 18.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 13.8% 13.8% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 17.4% 17.4% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.7% 10.8% 10.8% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
13-5 1.7% 11.7% 11.7% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5
12-6 2.7% 6.3% 6.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.5
11-7 4.7% 4.2% 4.2% 14.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.5
10-8 6.3% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.2
9-9 8.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.3
8-10 10.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.3
7-11 12.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.3
6-12 12.9% 12.9
5-13 12.4% 12.4
4-14 10.7% 10.7
3-15 8.0% 8.0
2-16 5.2% 5.2
1-17 2.4% 2.4
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 98.8 0.0%