Chicago St.
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.8#352
Expected Predictive Rating-11.9#327
Pace71.0#146
Improvement-1.7#296

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#320
First Shot-6.3#340
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#140
Layup/Dunks-6.6#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.8#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.5#357
Freethrows+1.0#129
Improvement-0.5#222

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#354
First Shot-7.4#360
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#174
Layups/Dunks-1.4#228
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.3#362
Freethrows-1.4#268
Improvement-1.1#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 5.5% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.6% 2.1% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 41.3% 50.8% 39.4%
Conference Champion 2.7% 4.9% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 18.2% 12.8% 19.3%
First Four3.6% 5.4% 3.3%
First Round1.4% 2.4% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Away) - 16.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 50 - 12
Quad 47 - 128 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 134 @DePaul L 62-92 6%     0 - 1 -25.2 -10.0 -14.1
  Thu, Nov 6 45 @Saint Louis L 86-108 2%     0 - 2 -8.1 +5.1 -9.2
  Tue, Nov 11 55 @Butler L 66-98 2%     0 - 3 -18.9 -4.5 -13.0
  Sat, Nov 15 204 Illinois-Chicago L 63-67 25%     0 - 4 -9.6 -5.4 -4.6
  Tue, Nov 18 102 @Minnesota L 54-66 4%     0 - 5 -4.1 -8.7 +3.2
  Thu, Nov 20 25 @Iowa L 54-93 1%     0 - 6 -21.4 -3.0 -24.2
  Tue, Nov 25 238 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-90 14%     0 - 7 -14.4 +4.2 -18.9
  Fri, Nov 28 162 @Youngstown St. L 64-87 9%     0 - 8 -20.6 -6.2 -14.3
  Sat, Dec 6 92 @Illinois St. L 53-95 3%     0 - 9 -33.2 -13.5 -21.6
  Sun, Dec 14 260 @Loyola Chicago L 69-79 16%    
  Tue, Dec 16 129 @Bowling Green L 66-84 5%    
  Sat, Dec 20 28 @Indiana L 61-91 0.4%   
  Fri, Jan 2 298 Wagner L 73-75 42%    
  Sun, Jan 4 227 LIU Brooklyn L 74-80 30%    
  Thu, Jan 8 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson L 77-78 46%    
  Sat, Jan 10 339 @Stonehill L 69-74 34%    
  Sat, Jan 17 306 Le Moyne L 79-81 44%    
  Mon, Jan 19 332 New Haven W 70-69 52%    
  Fri, Jan 23 357 @St. Francis (PA) L 75-77 43%    
  Sun, Jan 25 324 @Mercyhurst L 67-73 29%    
  Thu, Jan 29 357 St. Francis (PA) W 78-74 64%    
  Sat, Jan 31 324 Mercyhurst L 70-71 49%    
  Thu, Feb 5 243 @Central Connecticut St. L 65-76 16%    
  Sat, Feb 7 332 @New Haven L 67-72 31%    
  Thu, Feb 12 339 Stonehill W 72-71 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 306 @Le Moyne L 76-84 24%    
  Thu, Feb 19 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 80-75 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 243 Central Connecticut St. L 68-73 32%    
  Thu, Feb 26 227 @LIU Brooklyn L 71-83 15%    
  Sat, Feb 28 298 @Wagner L 70-78 23%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 2.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 2.2 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 3.4 2.1 0.4 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 4.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 9.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 5.2 3.6 0.5 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 5.2 4.8 0.7 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.2 5.7 1.1 0.0 13.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.9 5.8 1.5 0.1 13.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.7 5.1 1.5 0.1 13.6 9th
10th 0.2 1.0 2.4 3.8 3.0 0.9 0.1 11.3 10th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.7 5.6 9.1 12.2 13.8 14.1 12.8 10.6 7.7 5.1 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 94.8% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 77.2% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
13-3 60.2% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-4 26.8% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-5 7.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
10-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 45.0% 45.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 25.9% 25.9% 16.0 0.1 0.1
14-2 0.6% 25.7% 25.7% 16.0 0.1 0.4
13-3 1.4% 16.4% 16.4% 16.0 0.2 1.2
12-4 2.8% 13.7% 13.7% 16.0 0.4 2.5
11-5 5.1% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 0.5 4.6
10-6 7.7% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.5 7.2
9-7 10.6% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.5 10.1
8-8 12.8% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.4 12.4
7-9 14.1% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 13.8
6-10 13.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 13.6
5-11 12.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 12.0
4-12 9.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 9.0
3-13 5.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.6
2-14 2.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.7
1-15 1.0% 1.0
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.6 96.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%