Marquette
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.5#29
Expected Predictive Rating+11.2#35
Pace71.5#114
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.9#38
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.7#17
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
#1 Seed 2.4% 4.0% 1.3%
Top 2 Seed 6.6% 10.4% 4.0%
Top 4 Seed 20.1% 28.7% 14.4%
Top 6 Seed 36.1% 48.0% 28.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 70.5% 81.8% 63.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 67.4% 79.4% 59.7%
Average Seed 6.4 5.9 6.9
.500 or above 88.3% 94.8% 84.0%
.500 or above in Conference 79.1% 84.7% 75.4%
Conference Champion 9.6% 12.5% 7.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.7% 1.7%
First Four5.3% 3.8% 6.3%
First Round67.9% 79.8% 59.9%
Second Round44.6% 55.2% 37.6%
Sweet Sixteen20.7% 27.3% 16.3%
Elite Eight9.1% 12.7% 6.7%
Final Four3.9% 5.5% 2.8%
Championship Game1.6% 2.3% 1.2%
National Champion0.7% 0.9% 0.5%

Next Game: Maryland (Away) - 40.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 8
Quad 26 - 311 - 11
Quad 36 - 117 - 12
Quad 44 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 287   Stony Brook W 102-62 97%     1 - 0 +30.4 +24.2 +6.5
  Nov 08, 2024 95   George Mason W 82-63 83%     2 - 0 +21.4 +7.7 +12.8
  Nov 11, 2024 201   Central Michigan W 70-62 94%     3 - 0 +2.7 -7.1 +9.3
  Nov 15, 2024 31   @ Maryland L 68-71 40%    
  Nov 19, 2024 15   Purdue W 75-74 54%    
  Nov 23, 2024 68   Georgia W 77-73 66%    
  Nov 27, 2024 359   Stonehill W 86-56 99.7%   
  Nov 30, 2024 263   Western Carolina W 80-59 97%    
  Dec 04, 2024 11   @ Iowa St. L 67-74 27%    
  Dec 07, 2024 38   Wisconsin W 73-69 66%    
  Dec 14, 2024 58   @ Dayton W 72-71 53%    
  Dec 18, 2024 93   Butler W 79-69 81%    
  Dec 21, 2024 41   @ Xavier L 78-79 46%    
  Dec 31, 2024 84   @ Providence W 70-67 59%    
  Jan 03, 2025 16   Creighton W 75-73 55%    
  Jan 07, 2025 105   Georgetown W 79-68 83%    
  Jan 14, 2025 114   @ DePaul W 77-71 69%    
  Jan 18, 2025 41   Xavier W 81-76 66%    
  Jan 21, 2025 97   @ Seton Hall W 67-63 65%    
  Jan 24, 2025 77   Villanova W 75-67 76%    
  Jan 28, 2025 93   @ Butler W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 01, 2025 1   Connecticut L 67-72 34%    
  Feb 04, 2025 18   @ St. John's L 73-77 35%    
  Feb 08, 2025 16   @ Creighton L 72-76 35%    
  Feb 11, 2025 114   DePaul W 80-68 84%    
  Feb 18, 2025 97   Seton Hall W 70-60 81%    
  Feb 21, 2025 77   @ Villanova W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 25, 2025 84   Providence W 73-64 77%    
  Mar 01, 2025 105   @ Georgetown W 76-71 66%    
  Mar 04, 2025 1   @ Connecticut L 64-75 18%    
  Mar 08, 2025 18   St. John's W 76-74 55%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.5 2.7 1.7 0.7 0.1 9.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.7 5.5 3.5 1.5 0.2 18.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 3.7 6.2 5.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 18.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.2 5.9 3.7 1.0 0.1 16.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.3 4.7 2.0 0.4 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 3.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 2.6 2.3 0.7 0.0 6.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.8 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.3 3.7 5.3 7.6 9.7 11.1 12.2 12.5 11.1 9.1 6.4 4.2 1.8 0.7 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
18-2 90.4% 1.7    1.4 0.3 0.0
17-3 64.7% 2.7    1.8 0.9 0.1
16-4 39.5% 2.5    1.1 1.2 0.2 0.0
15-5 15.1% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0
14-6 3.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.6% 9.6 5.6 3.3 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 52.5% 47.5% 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.7% 100.0% 45.1% 54.9% 1.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.8% 100.0% 34.6% 65.4% 2.0 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 4.2% 100.0% 27.2% 72.8% 2.6 0.7 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 6.4% 99.9% 21.6% 78.3% 3.5 0.4 1.1 2.0 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
15-5 9.1% 99.5% 16.6% 82.8% 4.7 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.3 1.9 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.3%
14-6 11.1% 98.2% 12.5% 85.7% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 2.3 2.2 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 97.9%
13-7 12.5% 94.5% 10.3% 84.2% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.3 2.3 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.7 93.9%
12-8 12.2% 84.8% 6.5% 78.3% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.0 1.4 1.0 0.1 1.9 83.8%
11-9 11.1% 72.0% 5.0% 67.0% 9.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.7 1.6 1.5 0.2 3.1 70.6%
10-10 9.7% 49.5% 2.5% 47.0% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.5 0.3 4.9 48.2%
9-11 7.6% 22.7% 1.5% 21.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.9 21.5%
8-12 5.3% 7.8% 1.3% 6.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.9 6.5%
7-13 3.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6 0.7%
6-14 2.3% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 2.3
5-15 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 70.5% 9.6% 60.9% 6.4 2.4 4.2 6.2 7.3 7.6 8.3 7.8 7.3 7.1 5.7 5.6 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.5 67.4%