Western Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#312
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#299
Pace62.9#341
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#326
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#261
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 9.7% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 41.3% 47.3% 23.1%
.500 or above in Conference 56.7% 60.4% 45.8%
Conference Champion 9.4% 10.8% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 8.7% 7.3% 12.8%
First Four6.0% 6.5% 4.5%
First Round5.6% 6.4% 2.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Arkansas (Home) - 75.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 41 - 4
Quad 413 - 1114 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 251   @ San Jose St. W 59-55 26%     1 - 0 +2.7 -5.3 +8.6
  Nov 06, 2024 229   @ Pepperdine L 64-77 23%     1 - 1 -13.3 -8.3 -5.4
  Nov 13, 2024 290   Green Bay L 73-87 56%     1 - 2 -23.7 -4.5 -19.7
  Nov 16, 2024 346   Central Arkansas W 72-65 75%    
  Nov 19, 2024 128   @ Northern Iowa L 59-73 10%    
  Nov 26, 2024 198   @ South Alabama L 63-72 21%    
  Nov 27, 2024 327   Incarnate Word W 73-72 55%    
  Dec 14, 2024 252   @ South Dakota L 68-75 28%    
  Dec 17, 2024 325   Tennessee Tech W 68-64 65%    
  Dec 21, 2024 351   @ Lindenwood W 67-65 56%    
  Jan 02, 2025 293   @ SIU Edwardsville L 64-68 35%    
  Jan 04, 2025 336   @ Eastern Illinois L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 09, 2025 314   Tennessee Martin W 73-70 62%    
  Jan 11, 2025 306   Tennessee St. W 69-67 58%    
  Jan 16, 2025 274   @ Morehead St. L 60-65 33%    
  Jan 18, 2025 317   @ Southern Indiana L 65-67 41%    
  Jan 23, 2025 279   Arkansas Little Rock W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 25, 2025 321   Southeast Missouri St. W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 30, 2025 336   Eastern Illinois W 72-66 69%    
  Feb 01, 2025 293   SIU Edwardsville W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 06, 2025 306   @ Tennessee St. L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 314   @ Tennessee Martin L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 13, 2025 317   Southern Indiana W 68-64 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 274   @ Morehead St. L 60-65 33%    
  Feb 20, 2025 321   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 22, 2025 279   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 25, 2025 351   Lindenwood W 70-62 74%    
  Feb 27, 2025 325   @ Tennessee Tech L 65-67 44%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.4 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 9.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 2.9 3.3 1.8 0.6 0.1 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.9 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 10.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.4 3.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.2 3.9 1.0 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.6 4.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 3.2 4.2 1.5 0.1 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.8 1.5 0.1 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.5 3.3 1.7 0.1 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.1 2.4 1.1 0.1 7.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.3 0.5 0.1 5.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.2 6.1 8.0 9.4 10.5 11.4 11.1 9.9 8.3 6.3 4.4 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
17-3 94.4% 1.5    1.3 0.2 0.0
16-4 78.6% 2.2    1.7 0.5 0.0
15-5 54.1% 2.4    1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 26.1% 1.6    0.5 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0
13-7 6.9% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-8 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.4% 9.4 5.8 2.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 62.1% 62.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.7% 45.1% 45.1% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4
17-3 1.6% 43.6% 43.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9
16-4 2.9% 37.1% 37.1% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8
15-5 4.4% 27.3% 27.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.2
14-6 6.3% 25.2% 25.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5 4.7
13-7 8.3% 16.2% 16.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3 7.0
12-8 9.9% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 1.0 8.9
11-9 11.1% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.6 10.5
10-10 11.4% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.3 11.1
9-11 10.5% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 10.3
8-12 9.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 9.4
7-13 8.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.0
6-14 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.1
5-15 4.2% 4.2
4-16 2.7% 2.7
3-17 1.4% 1.4
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 7.6 91.4 0.0%