IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Southeast Missouri St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.2	#297
Expected Predictive Rating	-6.7	#282

Pace	72.6	#78
Improvement	+0.3	#166

Offense
Total Offense	-6.2	#334

First Shot	-3.2	#271
After Offensive Rebound	-3.0	#329

Layup/Dunks	-5.1	#328
2 Pt Jumpshots	+7.1	#3
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.0	#204
Freethrows	-4.2	#353

Improvement	-0.4	#211

Defense
Total Defense	-1.0	#201

First Shot	+0.6	#157
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.6	#298

Layups/Dunks	-0.2	#170
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.0	#199
3 Pt Jumpshots	+4.4	#33
Freethrows	-3.7	#352

Improvement	+0.6	#141

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	10.7%	12.6%	6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	37.9%	45.2%	22.5%
.500 or above in Conference	65.6%	73.6%	48.7%
Conference Champion	12.7%	16.1%	5.5%
Last Place in Conference	5.7%	3.3%	10.8%

First Four	6.8%	7.8%	4.9%
First Round	7.2%	8.6%	4.1%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Illinois (Home) - 67.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 4	13 - 10	13 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	76	@ Bradley	L	60-88	6%	0 - 1			-17.9	-10.9	-6.6
Nov 10, 2024	57	@ Vanderbilt	L	76-85	4%	0 - 2			+3.4	+4.3	-0.5
Nov 17, 2024	178	Chattanooga	L	82-87	37%	0 - 3			-8.9	-5.0	-3.2
Nov 21, 2024	342	@ Central Arkansas	W	77-73 OT	54%	1 - 3			-4.3	-7.3	+2.5
Nov 22, 2024	182	UNC Asheville	L	64-72	28%	1 - 4			-9.1	-9.3	+0.1
Nov 30, 2024	271	UMKC	W	80-59	57%	2 - 4			+12.1	-3.9	+14.1
Dec 05, 2024	107	@ Lipscomb	L	60-78	10%	2 - 5			-10.8	-8.2	-2.8
Dec 08, 2024	116	@ Murray St.	L	53-73	11%	2 - 6			-13.8	-9.2	-7.4
Dec 19, 2024	322	Eastern Illinois	W	71-66	68%
Dec 21, 2024	263	SIU Edwardsville	W	69-68	55%
Jan 02, 2025	321	@ Tennessee St.	L	74-75	46%
Jan 04, 2025	327	@ Tennessee Martin	L	72-73	49%
Jan 09, 2025	281	Southern Indiana	W	73-71	57%
Jan 11, 2025	279	Morehead St.	W	71-69	57%
Jan 14, 2025	244	Arkansas Little Rock	W	70-69	52%
Jan 16, 2025	332	@ Tennessee Tech	W	72-71	50%
Jan 23, 2025	347	@ Lindenwood	W	71-69	56%
Jan 25, 2025	328	@ Western Illinois	L	67-68	49%
Jan 30, 2025	327	Tennessee Martin	W	76-70	69%
Feb 01, 2025	321	Tennessee St.	W	77-72	67%
Feb 06, 2025	279	@ Morehead St.	L	68-72	36%
Feb 08, 2025	281	@ Southern Indiana	L	70-74	36%
Feb 11, 2025	244	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	66-72	31%
Feb 15, 2025	332	Tennessee Tech	W	74-68	70%
Feb 20, 2025	328	Western Illinois	W	71-65	70%
Feb 22, 2025	347	Lindenwood	W	74-66	75%
Feb 27, 2025	263	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	66-71	34%
Mar 01, 2025	322	@ Eastern Illinois	L	68-69	47%
Projected Record						13 - 15	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	1.0	2.7	3.5	2.9	1.6	0.7	0.2	0.0		12.7	1st
2nd												0.2	1.8	4.1	3.9	1.8	0.5	0.1	0.0				12.4	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.9	5.1	3.7	1.2	0.2	0.0						12.2	3rd
4th										0.1	1.5	5.0	3.8	1.0	0.1	0.0							11.5	4th
5th								0.0	0.0	1.0	4.7	4.1	0.9	0.1									10.7	5th
6th								0.0	0.7	3.6	4.6	1.0	0.1										10.0	6th
7th							0.0	0.4	2.7	4.2	1.3	0.1											8.6	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	1.9	3.6	1.5	0.1												7.4	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	1.5	2.9	1.5	0.2	0.0												6.5	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	0.4	1.2	1.8	1.2	0.2	0.0													4.8	10th
11th	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0														3.2	11th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.3	2.5	4.1	6.5	8.6	10.5	12.4	12.3	11.7	9.8	7.9	5.5	3.4	1.7	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2
18-2	99.7%	0.7		0.7	0.0
17-3	95.8%	1.6		1.5	0.1
16-4	85.1%	2.9		2.3	0.6	0.0
15-5	63.3%	3.5		2.0	1.3	0.2	0.0
14-6	33.6%	2.7		1.0	1.1	0.5	0.1
13-7	10.1%	1.0		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	1.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%	0.0							0.0	0.0
10-10	0.0%

Total	12.7%	12.7		7.8	3.6	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																	0.0		0.0	0.0			0.0
19-1	0.2%		50.0%	50.0%		14.2														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
18-2	0.7%		43.3%	43.3%		14.8														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.4
17-3	1.7%		42.7%	42.7%		15.2															0.1	0.4	0.2	1.0
16-4	3.4%		35.5%	35.5%		15.7															0.0	0.4	0.8	2.2
15-5	5.5%		30.2%	30.2%		15.9																0.2	1.5	3.8
14-6	7.9%		25.6%	25.6%		16.0															0.0	0.1	2.0	5.9
13-7	9.8%		17.6%	17.6%		16.0																0.0	1.7	8.0
12-8	11.7%		12.0%	12.0%		16.0																0.0	1.4	10.3
11-9	12.3%		6.4%	6.4%		16.0																	0.8	11.5
10-10	12.4%		3.6%	3.6%		16.0																	0.5	11.9
9-11	10.5%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.3	10.3
8-12	8.6%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	8.5
7-13	6.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.5
6-14	4.1%																							4.1
5-15	2.5%																							2.5
4-16	1.3%																							1.3
3-17	0.6%																							0.6
2-18	0.2%																							0.2
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		10.7%	10.7%	0.0%	15.8												0.0		0.0	0.2	1.2	9.2	89.3		0.0%