Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.3#106
Expected Predictive Rating+4.8#100
Pace82.0#3
Improvement+1.9#63

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#185
First Shot-0.2#176
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#209
Layup/Dunks-1.1#220
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#174
Freethrows+3.7#24
Improvement+0.6#130

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#55
First Shot+4.3#58
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#144
Layups/Dunks+5.6#36
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#203
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#90
Freethrows-3.5#348
Improvement+1.3#78
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.3% 17.6% 13.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.2 12.6
.500 or above 87.6% 91.5% 77.6%
.500 or above in Conference 80.7% 83.0% 74.9%
Conference Champion 20.2% 22.1% 15.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 1.7% 2.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round16.3% 17.5% 13.1%
Second Round2.9% 3.3% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Home) - 71.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 39 - 511 - 11
Quad 48 - 119 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 100   Wichita St. L 84-91 59%     0 - 1 -5.0 -0.7 -3.2
  Nov 09, 2024 102   @ Grand Canyon L 72-74 36%     0 - 2 +5.9 -2.5 +8.6
  Nov 17, 2024 107   Lipscomb W 66-61 62%     1 - 2 +6.2 -10.2 +16.0
  Nov 20, 2024 311   Jackson St. W 79-62 92%     2 - 2 +5.8 -0.6 +5.6
  Nov 26, 2024 11   @ Kentucky L 68-87 8%     2 - 3 +1.4 -4.5 +7.8
  Nov 30, 2024 186   Marshall W 90-82 79%     3 - 3 +3.7 +5.8 -3.0
  Dec 07, 2024 268   @ Evansville W 79-65 75%     4 - 3 +11.3 +4.3 +6.7
  Dec 10, 2024 321   Tennessee St. W 84-60 93%     5 - 3 +11.9 -0.7 +10.9
  Dec 14, 2024 116   Murray St. W 81-76 OT 66%     6 - 3 +5.2 -4.5 +8.8
  Dec 17, 2024 140   Seattle W 78-72 72%    
  Dec 29, 2024 20   @ Michigan L 70-83 11%    
  Jan 02, 2025 77   @ Liberty L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 04, 2025 242   @ Florida International W 79-73 71%    
  Jan 09, 2025 173   Jacksonville St. W 78-70 77%    
  Jan 11, 2025 154   Kennesaw St. W 85-78 74%    
  Jan 18, 2025 130   @ Middle Tennessee L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 23, 2025 101   @ Louisiana Tech L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 128   @ Sam Houston St. L 78-79 47%    
  Jan 30, 2025 132   UTEP W 78-72 70%    
  Feb 01, 2025 199   New Mexico St. W 78-69 80%    
  Feb 06, 2025 154   @ Kennesaw St. W 82-81 54%    
  Feb 08, 2025 173   @ Jacksonville St. W 75-73 58%    
  Feb 15, 2025 130   Middle Tennessee W 78-73 69%    
  Feb 20, 2025 128   Sam Houston St. W 81-76 68%    
  Feb 22, 2025 101   Louisiana Tech W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 27, 2025 132   @ UTEP L 75-76 49%    
  Mar 01, 2025 199   @ New Mexico St. W 75-72 61%    
  Mar 06, 2025 242   Florida International W 82-70 85%    
  Mar 08, 2025 77   Liberty W 71-70 51%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.6 5.7 4.5 2.5 0.8 0.1 20.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.7 5.9 2.6 0.5 0.0 19.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 3.2 7.0 4.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 16.3 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 6.2 3.8 0.6 0.0 13.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 5.1 3.1 0.4 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.7 2.6 0.4 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 5.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 3.2 5.3 8.2 11.0 13.2 14.3 13.6 11.6 8.4 5.0 2.5 0.8 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 98.7% 2.5    2.3 0.1
15-3 89.5% 4.5    3.7 0.8 0.0
14-4 68.0% 5.7    3.5 1.9 0.2 0.0
13-5 39.5% 4.6    1.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
12-6 12.7% 1.7    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-7 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.2% 20.2 12.5 5.8 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 63.6% 56.1% 7.6% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.2%
17-1 0.8% 48.8% 44.6% 4.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 7.5%
16-2 2.5% 41.4% 40.7% 0.7% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 1.2%
15-3 5.0% 35.3% 35.0% 0.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.1 3.3 0.4%
14-4 8.4% 28.6% 28.6% 12.0 0.0 0.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.0
13-5 11.6% 23.1% 23.1% 12.2 0.2 1.8 0.7 0.0 8.9
12-6 13.6% 18.5% 18.5% 12.4 0.1 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 11.1
11-7 14.3% 14.2% 14.2% 12.6 0.0 1.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 12.3
10-8 13.2% 11.8% 11.8% 12.8 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 11.7
9-9 11.0% 9.0% 9.0% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 10.0
8-10 8.2% 6.6% 6.6% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 7.6
7-11 5.3% 4.3% 4.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.0
6-12 3.2% 2.1% 2.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
5-13 1.6% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.6
4-14 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-15 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.3% 16.3% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.8 8.7 4.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 83.7 0.1%