Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#118
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#293
Pace85.6#2
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#151
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#105
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.7% 15.7% 9.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.7 12.5 13.2
.500 or above 66.1% 73.9% 49.8%
.500 or above in Conference 73.0% 77.1% 64.5%
Conference Champion 16.1% 18.8% 10.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 2.5% 5.3%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round13.5% 15.5% 9.3%
Second Round2.8% 3.4% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 0.9% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lipscomb (Home) - 67.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 42 - 7
Quad 36 - 58 - 12
Quad 49 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 86   Wichita St. L 84-91 48%     0 - 1 -3.3 -0.8 -1.4
  Nov 09, 2024 85   @ Grand Canyon L 72-74 26%     0 - 2 +7.8 -2.4 +10.4
  Nov 17, 2024 143   Lipscomb W 86-81 67%    
  Nov 20, 2024 324   Jackson St. W 86-71 93%    
  Nov 26, 2024 12   @ Kentucky L 79-95 7%    
  Nov 30, 2024 200   Marshall W 86-78 78%    
  Dec 07, 2024 248   @ Evansville W 81-77 66%    
  Dec 10, 2024 306   Tennessee St. W 87-73 89%    
  Dec 14, 2024 136   Murray St. W 78-73 66%    
  Dec 17, 2024 152   Seattle W 79-74 68%    
  Dec 29, 2024 25   @ Michigan L 73-86 13%    
  Jan 02, 2025 104   @ Liberty L 72-77 34%    
  Jan 04, 2025 267   @ Florida International W 87-81 68%    
  Jan 09, 2025 210   Jacksonville St. W 80-71 78%    
  Jan 11, 2025 176   Kennesaw St. W 93-86 73%    
  Jan 18, 2025 129   @ Middle Tennessee L 74-76 42%    
  Jan 23, 2025 92   @ Louisiana Tech L 74-80 31%    
  Jan 25, 2025 123   @ Sam Houston St. L 81-84 40%    
  Jan 30, 2025 194   UTEP W 83-75 75%    
  Feb 01, 2025 147   New Mexico St. W 78-73 67%    
  Feb 06, 2025 176   @ Kennesaw St. W 90-89 54%    
  Feb 08, 2025 210   @ Jacksonville St. W 77-74 59%    
  Feb 15, 2025 129   Middle Tennessee W 77-73 63%    
  Feb 20, 2025 123   Sam Houston St. W 84-81 61%    
  Feb 22, 2025 92   Louisiana Tech W 77-76 51%    
  Feb 27, 2025 194   @ UTEP W 80-78 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 147   @ New Mexico St. L 75-76 47%    
  Mar 06, 2025 267   Florida International W 90-78 83%    
  Mar 08, 2025 104   Liberty W 75-74 54%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 2.8 4.3 4.0 2.5 1.3 0.3 16.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.8 4.6 5.0 2.8 0.8 0.1 15.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.5 4.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 14.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.6 4.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.1 3.8 0.6 0.0 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.0 3.1 0.6 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.2 4.7 7.0 8.9 11.0 12.5 12.3 11.3 9.5 7.5 4.8 2.6 1.3 0.3 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.3    1.3 0.0
16-2 97.0% 2.5    2.3 0.2
15-3 83.2% 4.0    3.1 0.9 0.1
14-4 58.3% 4.3    2.4 1.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 29.1% 2.8    0.9 1.3 0.5 0.1
12-6 7.8% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.1% 16.1 10.4 4.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 74.7% 57.0% 17.7% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 41.2%
17-1 1.3% 50.9% 44.1% 6.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 12.2%
16-2 2.6% 45.0% 42.5% 2.4% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 4.3%
15-3 4.8% 37.6% 37.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.0 0.6%
14-4 7.5% 28.8% 28.7% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.3 0.2%
13-5 9.5% 21.7% 21.7% 12.7 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 7.5
12-6 11.3% 15.9% 15.9% 13.0 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 9.5
11-7 12.3% 11.5% 11.5% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 10.9
10-8 12.5% 9.0% 9.0% 13.9 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 11.3
9-9 11.0% 6.1% 6.1% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 10.3
8-10 8.9% 4.2% 4.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.6
7-11 7.0% 2.7% 2.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.8
6-12 4.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.7
5-13 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.2
4-14 1.8% 1.8
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.7% 13.4% 0.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.2 4.6 3.9 1.9 1.0 0.5 86.3 0.3%