IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Marshall
Sun Belt
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.3	#200
Expected Predictive Rating	-6.8	#287

Pace	74.6	#59
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.1	#199

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.1	#208

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.5%	4.8%	2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.1	14.1	14.6

.500 or above	47.4%	51.7%	25.9%
.500 or above in Conference	52.7%	55.3%	39.5%
Conference Champion	5.2%	5.7%	2.3%
Last Place in Conference	6.1%	5.1%	10.8%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.3%
First Round	4.4%	4.7%	2.5%
Second Round	0.4%	0.4%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Bellarmine (Home) - 83.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	4 - 8	4 - 11
Quad 4	11 - 5	15 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	149	Toledo	L	80-90	49%	0 - 1			-12.0	-2.9	-8.4
Nov 11, 2024	317	Southern Indiana	W	77-63	81%	1 - 1			+2.4	-1.0	+3.3
Nov 16, 2024	328	Bellarmine	W	77-67	83%
Nov 23, 2024	15	@ Purdue	L	66-86	3%
Nov 27, 2024	310	South Carolina St.	W	80-72	78%
Nov 30, 2024	118	@ Western Kentucky	L	78-86	22%
Dec 04, 2024	274	Morehead St.	W	73-66	73%
Dec 07, 2024	156	@ UNC Wilmington	L	72-78	30%
Dec 11, 2024	189	@ Wright St.	L	80-84	37%
Dec 14, 2024	158	Ohio	W	78-77	50%
Dec 21, 2024	231	@ Southern Miss	L	76-78	43%
Dec 28, 2024	272	@ Elon	W	75-74	52%
Jan 02, 2025	146	Texas St.	L	70-71	49%
Jan 04, 2025	121	Troy	L	73-75	42%
Jan 09, 2025	126	James Madison	L	76-78	44%
Jan 11, 2025	197	Georgia Southern	W	80-77	60%
Jan 16, 2025	126	@ James Madison	L	73-81	25%
Jan 18, 2025	268	@ Coastal Carolina	W	73-72	52%
Jan 23, 2025	223	@ Georgia St.	L	75-77	42%
Jan 25, 2025	197	@ Georgia Southern	L	77-80	39%
Jan 30, 2025	223	Georgia St.	W	78-74	63%
Feb 01, 2025	268	Coastal Carolina	W	75-69	70%
Feb 05, 2025	115	Arkansas St.	L	75-78	40%
Feb 13, 2025	198	@ South Alabama	L	73-76	40%
Feb 15, 2025	188	@ Louisiana	L	72-76	37%
Feb 20, 2025	289	@ Old Dominion	W	78-77	54%
Feb 22, 2025	203	@ Appalachian St.	L	71-74	40%
Feb 25, 2025	289	Old Dominion	W	81-74	74%
Feb 28, 2025	203	Appalachian St.	W	74-71	61%
Projected Record						14 - 15	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.8	1.5	1.5	0.8	0.3	0.0		5.2	1st
2nd												0.2	1.5	2.6	1.7	0.5	0.1				6.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.9	3.1	1.8	0.4	0.0					7.5	3rd
4th										0.1	1.4	3.9	2.1	0.4	0.0	0.0					8.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.9	3.7	3.0	0.5	0.0							8.2	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	3.2	4.0	0.8	0.0								8.4	6th
7th								0.2	2.2	4.4	1.5	0.1									8.3	7th
8th							0.1	1.0	4.6	2.6	0.2	0.0									8.5	8th
9th						0.0	0.6	3.6	3.6	0.5	0.0										8.3	9th
10th					0.0	0.3	2.4	4.0	1.1	0.0											8.0	10th
11th				0.0	0.3	1.9	3.7	1.7	0.1												7.7	11th
12th			0.0	0.3	1.5	2.9	1.8	0.2													6.8	12th
13th	0.0	0.0	0.4	1.3	2.0	1.4	0.2	0.0													5.3	13th
14th	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.0														3.3	14th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.3	2.6	4.5	6.7	8.8	10.8	12.1	11.7	11.0	9.9	7.5	5.7	3.6	2.0	0.9	0.3	0.0			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	92.4%	0.8		0.7	0.1	0.0
15-3	75.0%	1.5		1.0	0.4	0.1
14-4	40.6%	1.5		0.6	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-5	14.9%	0.8		0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.4%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	5.2%	5.2		2.8	1.6	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%										0.0								0.0					0.0
17-1	0.3%		45.1%	44.0%	1.1%	12.3											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.2		2.0%
16-2	0.9%		26.3%	26.3%		12.6											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.6
15-3	2.0%		21.1%	21.1%		13.2												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.6
14-4	3.6%		17.9%	17.9%		13.6													0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	3.0
13-5	5.7%		13.9%	13.9%		14.0													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0	4.9
12-6	7.5%		10.8%	10.8%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	6.7
11-7	9.9%		5.9%	5.9%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	9.3
10-8	11.0%		3.4%	3.4%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	10.6
9-9	11.7%		1.8%	1.8%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	11.5
8-10	12.1%		0.9%	0.9%		15.7																0.0	0.1	12.0
7-11	10.8%		0.7%	0.7%		15.8																0.0	0.1	10.7
6-12	8.8%		0.3%	0.3%		15.7																0.0	0.0	8.8
5-13	6.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.7
4-14	4.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
3-15	2.6%																							2.6
2-16	1.3%																							1.3
1-17	0.5%																							0.5
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		4.5%	4.5%	0.0%	14.1					0.0						0.0	0.0	0.3	0.9	1.4	1.1	0.6	95.5		0.0%