Marshall
Sun Belt
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#179
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#209
Pace71.4#105
Improvement+1.2#130

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#203
First Shot-1.1#207
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#176
Layup/Dunks-2.2#266
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#64
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#241
Freethrows+1.1#110
Improvement+0.1#172

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#166
First Shot-0.9#205
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#101
Layups/Dunks-1.1#214
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#46
Freethrows-1.8#301
Improvement+1.1#129
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 6.1% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.8
.500 or above 72.6% 82.2% 57.0%
.500 or above in Conference 84.9% 92.0% 73.4%
Conference Champion 3.3% 4.9% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round5.2% 6.0% 3.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Away) - 61.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 63 - 10
Quad 413 - 416 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 194   Toledo L 80-90 63%     0 - 1 -14.3 -4.7 -8.9
  Nov 11, 2024 324   Southern Indiana W 77-63 86%     1 - 1 +1.4 -2.1 +3.4
  Nov 16, 2024 353   Bellarmine W 83-62 92%     2 - 1 +4.8 -1.1 +5.9
  Nov 23, 2024 10   @ Purdue L 45-80 3%     2 - 2 -14.6 -17.0 +0.8
  Nov 27, 2024 243   South Carolina St. W 82-53 73%     3 - 2 +21.8 +7.5 +14.7
  Nov 30, 2024 135   @ Western Kentucky L 82-90 30%     3 - 3 -3.5 +5.6 -8.2
  Dec 04, 2024 259   Morehead St. W 80-77 76%     4 - 3 -5.2 +5.9 -11.1
  Dec 07, 2024 141   @ UNC Wilmington L 69-78 31%     4 - 4 -4.7 -6.0 +1.6
  Dec 11, 2024 177   @ Wright St. L 79-88 39%     4 - 5 -7.1 -1.3 -5.2
  Dec 14, 2024 147   Ohio W 79-70 53%     5 - 5 +7.4 +2.0 +5.2
  Dec 21, 2024 258   @ Southern Miss L 66-68 57%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -4.7 +6.0 -11.1
  Dec 28, 2024 158   @ Elon L 59-73 35%     5 - 7 -10.9 -12.0 +0.8
  Jan 02, 2025 167   Texas St. W 77-71 58%     6 - 7 1 - 1 +3.0 +5.2 -1.9
  Jan 04, 2025 117   Troy L 57-58 47%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -1.0 -8.0 +6.8
  Jan 09, 2025 149   James Madison W 80-78 53%     7 - 8 2 - 2 +0.3 +5.4 -5.2
  Jan 11, 2025 272   Georgia Southern W 81-69 78%     8 - 8 3 - 2 +3.0 +7.7 -4.2
  Jan 16, 2025 149   @ James Madison L 64-67 33%     8 - 9 3 - 3 +0.8 -7.5 +8.2
  Jan 18, 2025 292   @ Coastal Carolina W 77-64 65%     9 - 9 4 - 3 +8.2 +7.4 +1.9
  Jan 23, 2025 280   @ Georgia St. W 76-73 62%    
  Jan 25, 2025 272   @ Georgia Southern W 78-75 59%    
  Jan 30, 2025 280   Georgia St. W 79-70 80%    
  Feb 01, 2025 292   Coastal Carolina W 74-65 82%    
  Feb 05, 2025 100   Arkansas St. L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 13, 2025 126   @ South Alabama L 65-71 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 307   @ Louisiana W 75-70 65%    
  Feb 20, 2025 283   @ Old Dominion W 73-70 62%    
  Feb 22, 2025 123   @ Appalachian St. L 64-70 28%    
  Feb 25, 2025 283   Old Dominion W 76-67 80%    
  Feb 28, 2025 123   Appalachian St. L 66-67 48%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.3 1.4 0.5 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.6 0.8 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 5.7 2.2 0.0 9.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 5.3 5.9 0.5 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 5.5 9.5 2.2 0.0 17.7 5th
6th 0.2 3.6 9.9 5.2 0.2 19.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 7.7 5.4 0.5 15.1 7th
8th 0.3 4.4 3.4 0.3 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 3.1 0.5 4.8 9th
10th 0.2 1.8 0.7 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 4.0 9.9 15.7 21.6 21.7 15.6 7.6 2.3 0.5 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1
14-4 62.6% 1.4    0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
13-5 17.2% 1.3    0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1
12-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.5% 12.8% 12.8% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 2.3% 15.4% 15.4% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.9
13-5 7.6% 11.8% 11.8% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 6.7
12-6 15.6% 8.6% 8.6% 14.5 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 14.3
11-7 21.7% 5.5% 5.5% 14.7 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 20.5
10-8 21.6% 4.1% 4.1% 15.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 20.7
9-9 15.7% 2.4% 2.4% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 15.3
8-10 9.9% 1.3% 1.3% 15.5 0.1 0.1 9.8
7-11 4.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 3.9
6-12 1.0% 1.0
5-13 0.2% 0.0 0.2
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 14.6 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.4 0.6 94.7 0.0%