Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#272
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#211
Pace75.0#41
Improvement-2.6#299

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#259
First Shot-5.5#325
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#62
Layup/Dunks-0.4#201
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#341
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#123
Freethrows-3.6#352
Improvement+0.9#122

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#260
First Shot-0.2#187
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#343
Layups/Dunks+1.9#102
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#123
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#219
Freethrows-2.3#325
Improvement-3.5#340
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.7
.500 or above 28.3% 35.9% 13.7%
.500 or above in Conference 26.5% 34.1% 11.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.8%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Home) - 65.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 413 - 515 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 356   Northern Illinois W 80-65 83%     1 - 0 -1.5 -4.5 +2.1
  Nov 08, 2024 141   @ UNC Wilmington L 84-92 16%     1 - 1 -3.7 +3.7 -6.6
  Nov 15, 2024 306   NC Central W 80-75 57%     2 - 1 -3.0 -4.8 +1.5
  Nov 16, 2024 197   @ Winthrop W 89-87 24%     3 - 1 +3.1 -2.5 +5.2
  Nov 17, 2024 189   William & Mary L 87-102 31%     3 - 2 -16.3 -1.0 -13.3
  Nov 23, 2024 349   West Georgia W 64-54 80%     4 - 2 -5.3 -17.6 +12.1
  Nov 30, 2024 80   @ Drake L 47-61 7%     4 - 3 -4.1 -15.9 +10.5
  Dec 04, 2024 49   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 54-89 4%     4 - 4 -21.5 -9.7 -12.8
  Dec 07, 2024 245   North Florida W 93-91 OT 54%     5 - 4 -5.4 -4.0 -1.7
  Dec 13, 2024 120   @ Louisiana Tech L 63-77 14%     5 - 5 -8.6 -2.9 -6.8
  Dec 17, 2024 239   Gardner-Webb W 86-81 53%     6 - 5 -2.1 +2.7 -5.2
  Dec 21, 2024 167   @ Texas St. L 61-83 20%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -19.5 -12.0 -7.8
  Jan 02, 2025 347   Louisiana Monroe W 90-82 79%     7 - 6 1 - 1 -6.8 +12.9 -19.5
  Jan 04, 2025 126   South Alabama L 47-76 29%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -29.4 -23.4 -6.7
  Jan 08, 2025 280   @ Georgia St. L 78-82 OT 42%     7 - 8 1 - 3 -8.2 -7.8 +0.2
  Jan 11, 2025 179   @ Marshall L 69-81 22%     7 - 9 1 - 4 -10.1 +0.9 -11.6
  Jan 16, 2025 292   @ Coastal Carolina W 88-87 OT 44%     8 - 9 2 - 4 -3.8 +5.6 -9.4
  Jan 18, 2025 283   @ Old Dominion W 67-63 43%     9 - 9 3 - 4 -0.3 +2.1 -1.9
  Jan 22, 2025 292   Coastal Carolina W 73-69 66%    
  Jan 25, 2025 179   Marshall L 75-78 41%    
  Jan 30, 2025 117   @ Troy L 67-79 13%    
  Feb 01, 2025 258   @ Southern Miss L 75-79 36%    
  Feb 05, 2025 307   Louisiana W 77-72 68%    
  Feb 08, 2025 304   @ Western Michigan L 77-78 45%    
  Feb 13, 2025 149   James Madison L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 15, 2025 283   Old Dominion W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 20, 2025 123   @ Appalachian St. L 62-74 14%    
  Feb 22, 2025 149   @ James Madison L 70-80 17%    
  Feb 25, 2025 123   Appalachian St. L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 28, 2025 280   Georgia St. W 78-75 63%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.2 1.4 4th
5th 0.2 1.7 1.1 0.1 3.1 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 3.2 0.4 6.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 6.3 2.0 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.9 9.0 5.6 0.4 0.0 16.8 8th
9th 0.8 7.6 8.2 1.0 17.5 9th
10th 0.2 4.7 9.1 2.1 0.1 16.2 10th
11th 0.0 2.4 7.7 3.6 0.1 13.8 11th
12th 0.1 1.2 5.0 3.5 0.4 10.1 12th
13th 0.4 1.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 3.8 13th
14th 0.1 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.5 2.7 9.3 16.9 22.6 21.5 15.4 7.5 2.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 28.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.8% 0.8
11-7 2.7% 1.5% 1.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 2.7
10-8 7.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 7.5
9-9 15.4% 0.8% 0.8% 15.5 0.1 0.1 15.3
8-10 21.5% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 21.5
7-11 22.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 22.6
6-12 16.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 16.9
5-13 9.3% 9.3
4-14 2.7% 2.7
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.1 0.3 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%