Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#235
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#170
Pace77.6#19
Improvement-0.3#207

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#254
First Shot-5.5#330
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#51
Layup/Dunks+3.0#81
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#341
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#183
Freethrows-5.0#362
Improvement-1.2#279

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#194
First Shot+1.3#133
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#324
Layups/Dunks+0.8#139
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#86
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#161
Freethrows-1.3#273
Improvement+0.9#120
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 2.9% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 14.8
.500 or above 48.7% 58.2% 33.4%
.500 or above in Conference 52.3% 56.4% 45.8%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.5% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 3.4% 5.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round2.4% 2.8% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Home) - 61.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 54 - 10
Quad 412 - 515 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 344   Northern Illinois W 80-65 84%     1 - 0 +0.6 -3.5 +3.2
  Nov 08, 2024 142   @ UNC Wilmington L 84-92 23%     1 - 1 -4.0 +4.0 -7.2
  Nov 15, 2024 258   NC Central W 80-75 56%     2 - 1 -0.5 -3.6 +2.6
  Nov 16, 2024 181   @ Winthrop W 89-87 29%     3 - 1 +4.0 -0.7 +4.3
  Nov 17, 2024 225   William & Mary L 87-102 48%     3 - 2 -18.3 -1.4 -15.0
  Nov 23, 2024 348   West Georgia W 64-54 85%     4 - 2 -5.1 -17.1 +11.8
  Nov 30, 2024 70   @ Drake L 47-61 9%     4 - 3 -3.1 -14.5 +10.1
  Dec 04, 2024 55   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 54-89 7%     4 - 4 -22.2 -8.9 -14.3
  Dec 07, 2024 167   North Florida W 93-91 OT 49%     5 - 4 -1.5 -0.9 -1.0
  Dec 13, 2024 101   @ Louisiana Tech L 63-77 14%     5 - 5 -6.0 -0.7 -6.4
  Dec 17, 2024 240   Gardner-Webb W 79-76 62%    
  Dec 21, 2024 138   @ Texas St. L 70-78 22%    
  Jan 02, 2025 326   Louisiana Monroe W 77-69 78%    
  Jan 04, 2025 201   South Alabama W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 08, 2025 253   @ Georgia St. L 76-78 44%    
  Jan 11, 2025 186   @ Marshall L 75-81 30%    
  Jan 16, 2025 274   @ Coastal Carolina L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 18, 2025 318   @ Old Dominion W 78-76 57%    
  Jan 22, 2025 274   Coastal Carolina W 73-68 68%    
  Jan 25, 2025 186   Marshall W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 30, 2025 127   @ Troy L 70-79 20%    
  Feb 01, 2025 282   @ Southern Miss L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 05, 2025 304   Louisiana W 80-73 73%    
  Feb 13, 2025 112   James Madison L 74-78 35%    
  Feb 15, 2025 318   Old Dominion W 81-73 76%    
  Feb 20, 2025 171   @ Appalachian St. L 67-73 29%    
  Feb 22, 2025 112   @ James Madison L 71-81 17%    
  Feb 25, 2025 171   Appalachian St. L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 28, 2025 253   Georgia St. W 79-75 65%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 2.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.7 2.6 0.4 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.3 3.7 0.7 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.8 4.9 1.3 0.1 10.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.9 6.1 2.1 0.1 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.7 5.7 3.4 0.3 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.5 4.2 0.5 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.1 4.3 1.0 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.8 1.5 0.1 7.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.6 1.5 0.1 5.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.9 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.3 6.1 9.4 12.4 14.4 14.8 13.0 10.4 7.0 4.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 87.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 66.9% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 34.6% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 11.7% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 28.6% 28.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 24.6% 24.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.9% 14.8% 14.8% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
14-4 2.0% 9.8% 9.8% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.8
13-5 4.0% 8.9% 8.9% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.7
12-6 7.0% 6.2% 6.2% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.6
11-7 10.4% 4.3% 4.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 9.9
10-8 13.0% 2.5% 2.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.7
9-9 14.8% 1.4% 1.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.6
8-10 14.4% 0.8% 0.8% 15.6 0.1 0.1 14.2
7-11 12.4% 0.5% 0.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 12.3
6-12 9.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.4
5-13 6.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.1
4-14 3.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.3 97.6 0.0%