IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.4	#203
Expected Predictive Rating	-15.2	#345

Pace	67.5	#240
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.9	#266

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.5	#151

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.5%	5.2%	2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.4	14.3	15.0

.500 or above	35.7%	41.4%	17.8%
.500 or above in Conference	55.0%	58.8%	42.8%
Conference Champion	5.6%	6.6%	2.5%
Last Place in Conference	6.2%	5.0%	9.7%

First Four	0.4%	0.4%	0.5%
First Round	4.4%	5.1%	2.3%
Second Round	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Queens (Home) - 76.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 6	4 - 11
Quad 4	9 - 6	13 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	213	Miami (OH)	L	63-77	63%	0 - 1			-19.9	-13.9	-5.7
Nov 10, 2024	38	@ Wisconsin	L	56-87	7%	0 - 2			-16.9	-10.1	-7.1
Nov 19, 2024	297	Queens	W	78-70	76%
Nov 24, 2024	244	William & Mary	W	73-68	66%
Nov 27, 2024	123	Sam Houston St.	L	70-75	31%
Nov 29, 2024	172	Colgate	L	66-68	43%
Nov 30, 2024	156	@ UNC Wilmington	L	67-73	29%
Dec 14, 2024	125	High Point	L	71-76	32%
Dec 18, 2024	188	@ Louisiana	L	67-71	36%
Dec 20, 2024	73	@ North Texas	L	55-68	12%
Jan 02, 2025	121	Troy	L	68-70	41%
Jan 04, 2025	146	Texas St.	L	65-66	48%
Jan 08, 2025	268	Coastal Carolina	W	70-64	71%
Jan 11, 2025	126	James Madison	L	71-73	43%
Jan 16, 2025	289	@ Old Dominion	W	73-72	55%
Jan 18, 2025	126	@ James Madison	L	68-76	24%
Jan 23, 2025	115	@ Arkansas St.	L	67-76	22%
Jan 25, 2025	319	@ Louisiana Monroe	W	69-66	61%
Jan 29, 2025	289	Old Dominion	W	76-69	73%
Feb 01, 2025	223	Georgia St.	W	72-68	62%
Feb 05, 2025	231	Southern Miss	W	74-70	63%
Feb 13, 2025	268	@ Coastal Carolina	W	68-67	50%
Feb 15, 2025	223	@ Georgia St.	L	69-71	43%
Feb 20, 2025	197	Georgia Southern	W	75-72	59%
Feb 22, 2025	200	Marshall	W	74-71	60%
Feb 25, 2025	197	@ Georgia Southern	L	72-75	39%
Feb 28, 2025	200	@ Marshall	L	71-74	39%
Projected Record						12 - 15	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.9	1.6	1.6	0.8	0.3	0.1		5.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.5	2.7	1.7	0.5	0.1	0.0			6.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.7	3.3	1.9	0.4	0.0					7.6	3rd
4th										0.1	1.3	4.0	2.2	0.4	0.0						8.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.8	3.9	3.2	0.6	0.0							8.6	5th
6th									0.4	3.2	4.3	0.9	0.0								8.7	6th
7th								0.1	2.3	4.8	1.7	0.1									9.0	7th
8th							0.1	1.2	4.4	2.7	0.2										8.4	8th
9th						0.0	0.6	3.3	3.6	0.6	0.0										8.1	9th
10th						0.3	2.2	3.9	1.0	0.0											7.6	10th
11th				0.0	0.2	1.6	3.4	1.5	0.1												6.8	11th
12th			0.0	0.2	1.4	2.8	1.7	0.2	0.0												6.3	12th
13th		0.0	0.3	1.1	2.0	1.5	0.2	0.0													5.1	13th
14th	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.1	0.7	0.2	0.0														3.3	14th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.4	4.4	6.4	8.2	10.2	11.8	12.1	11.6	10.1	7.8	5.9	3.8	2.2	0.9	0.3	0.1			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	99.0%	0.3		0.3
16-2	91.2%	0.8		0.7	0.1	0.0
15-3	74.2%	1.6		1.1	0.5	0.1
14-4	42.4%	1.6		0.6	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-5	14.8%	0.9		0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.6%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	5.6%	5.6		3.0	1.7	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		40.0%	40.0%		11.6										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1
17-1	0.3%		32.4%	32.4%		12.5									0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0			0.2
16-2	0.9%		27.2%	27.2%		12.9												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.7
15-3	2.2%		21.8%	21.8%		13.3													0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	1.7
14-4	3.8%		18.3%	18.3%		13.8													0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	3.1
13-5	5.9%		13.4%	13.4%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	5.1
12-6	7.8%		9.2%	9.2%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	7.1
11-7	10.1%		6.2%	6.2%		15.0														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	9.5
10-8	11.6%		3.7%	3.7%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	11.2
9-9	12.1%		1.5%	1.5%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	11.9
8-10	11.8%		1.2%	1.2%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.1	11.7
7-11	10.2%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	10.2
6-12	8.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	8.2
5-13	6.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.4
4-14	4.4%																							4.4
3-15	2.4%																							2.4
2-16	1.1%																							1.1
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		4.5%	4.5%	0.0%	14.4									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.2	1.3	0.9	95.5		0.0%