Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#128
Expected Predictive Rating+7.9#79
Pace77.8#28
Improvement+0.5#158

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#142
First Shot+3.1#94
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#305
Layup/Dunks+2.8#86
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#298
Freethrows+3.3#31
Improvement+0.2#163

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#135
First Shot-4.1#309
After Offensive Rebounds+5.3#2
Layups/Dunks+5.4#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#312
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#339
Freethrows-1.8#286
Improvement+0.3#166
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.7% 14.7% 10.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.6 13.0
.500 or above 85.9% 92.4% 79.3%
.500 or above in Conference 79.1% 83.6% 74.5%
Conference Champion 14.8% 17.7% 11.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.8% 1.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round12.6% 14.7% 10.5%
Second Round1.3% 1.7% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Away) - 50.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 22 - 32 - 5
Quad 37 - 58 - 10
Quad 411 - 219 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 271 Tennessee Tech W 82-70 84%     1 - 0 +3.3 -1.1 +3.4
  Mon, Nov 10 269 @Eastern Kentucky W 87-79 68%     2 - 0 +5.4 +4.4 +0.3
  Sun, Nov 16 249 Tennessee St. W 95-82 83%     3 - 0 +5.1 +11.8 -7.8
  Wed, Nov 26 11 Vanderbilt L 78-83 7%     3 - 1 +13.6 +1.3 +13.0
  Thu, Nov 27 79 South Florida L 91-97 OT 31%     3 - 2 +1.3 +0.5 +2.2
  Fri, Nov 28 91 Wichita St. W 75-70 36%     4 - 2 +10.8 +12.5 -1.2
  Sat, Dec 6 265 Evansville W 80-79 84%     5 - 2 -7.6 +1.7 -9.3
  Wed, Dec 10 172 @Marshall W 81-80 51%    
  Fri, Dec 19 89 Tulsa L 78-79 47%    
  Mon, Dec 29 239 @Jacksonville St. W 73-69 63%    
  Fri, Jan 2 126 Sam Houston St. W 83-80 60%    
  Sun, Jan 4 193 Louisiana Tech W 74-67 74%    
  Thu, Jan 8 127 @New Mexico St. L 72-75 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 241 @UTEP W 74-70 63%    
  Wed, Jan 14 255 Missouri St. W 78-68 82%    
  Sat, Jan 17 152 Kennesaw St. W 88-83 67%    
  Wed, Jan 21 94 Liberty L 76-77 48%    
  Sat, Jan 24 126 @Sam Houston St. L 80-83 39%    
  Wed, Jan 28 152 @Kennesaw St. L 85-86 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 136 @Middle Tennessee L 77-80 41%    
  Thu, Feb 5 239 Jacksonville St. W 76-66 80%    
  Sat, Feb 7 189 Florida International W 84-77 74%    
  Sat, Feb 14 136 Middle Tennessee W 80-77 62%    
  Wed, Feb 18 296 @Delaware W 80-73 72%    
  Sat, Feb 21 94 @Liberty L 74-80 29%    
  Thu, Feb 26 127 New Mexico St. W 75-72 60%    
  Sat, Feb 28 241 UTEP W 77-67 80%    
  Thu, Mar 5 255 @Missouri St. W 75-71 65%    
  Sat, Mar 7 189 @Florida International W 81-80 53%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.4 4.1 3.1 1.6 0.5 0.1 14.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.0 4.6 1.9 0.4 0.0 15.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.7 3.9 1.0 0.1 14.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.9 3.4 0.7 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.9 3.0 0.5 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 4.3 2.8 0.4 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.3 2.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.0 3.5 5.7 7.8 10.0 11.4 12.9 12.6 11.1 9.0 6.1 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
18-2 97.1% 1.6    1.5 0.1
17-3 88.0% 3.1    2.6 0.5 0.0
16-4 67.5% 4.1    2.7 1.2 0.2 0.0
15-5 37.9% 3.4    1.5 1.5 0.4 0.0
14-6 13.7% 1.5    0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1
13-7 2.8% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 14.8% 14.8 9.2 4.1 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 50.0% 44.1% 5.9% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.5%
19-1 0.5% 48.8% 46.9% 1.9% 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 3.5%
18-2 1.6% 39.5% 39.1% 0.4% 11.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.0 0.7%
17-3 3.6% 33.1% 33.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.4 0.1%
16-4 6.1% 28.0% 28.0% 12.3 0.1 1.1 0.5 0.0 4.4
15-5 9.0% 22.6% 22.6% 12.5 0.0 1.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 7.0
14-6 11.1% 17.8% 17.8% 12.8 0.0 0.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 9.1
13-7 12.6% 14.3% 14.3% 13.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.0 10.8
12-8 12.9% 9.9% 9.9% 13.3 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 11.7
11-9 11.4% 7.0% 7.0% 13.5 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 10.7
10-10 10.0% 4.8% 4.8% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 9.6
9-11 7.8% 3.1% 3.1% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.6
8-12 5.7% 2.0% 2.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.6
7-13 3.5% 1.7% 1.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 3.5
6-14 2.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.9
5-15 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 12.7% 12.7% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 4.6 4.9 1.9 0.4 0.1 87.3 0.0%