Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.9 #230
Expected Predictive Rating -5.4 #249
Pace 64.5 #297
Improvement +3.9 #34

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #279 D- C D+ B+ F
Defense #170 C- C+ C D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #316 1.12 #227 -3.7 #303
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% #37 0.69 #275 +2.3 #71
Three Pointers 38% #252 0.92 #292 -3.4 #300
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #318 -4.9 #319
Freethrows 20.2 #66 73% #147 14.8 #66
Second Chance 33.4% #105 0.95 #302 0.32 #182
Turnovers 18.0% #276
Total Offense -3.8 #279

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #76 1.30 #330 -5.4 #343
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #237 0.70 #90 +1.3 #91
Three Pointers 39% #241 0.96 #109 +2.0 #112
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #242 -2.0 #242
Freethrows 21.3 #331 66% #11 14.2 #278
Second Chance 30.2% #158 1.01 #141 0.31 #142
Turnovers 16.3% #194
Total Defense -0.1 #170

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.9% #330 1.1% #274
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.9% #291 2.7% #229
Possession Length 18.5 #293 17.3 #182
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #155 0.20 #276
Improvement -0.4 #201 +4.3 #15

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 3.5% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 17.6% 29.9% 9.9%
.500 or above in Conference 50.3% 69.0% 38.7%
Conference Champion 1.9% 4.3% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 0.5% 2.9%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round2.3% 3.3% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Wilmington (Home) - 38.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 410 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 248 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 86 - 90 42% -6  0 - 1 -6 +1 C D+ F -6 C- C- F
 Tue, Nov 11 16 @Virginia L 53 - 91 2% -24  0 - 2 -17 -8 F C+ C- -11 D F A+
 Fri, Nov 14 264 @Brown W 72 - 63 45% +4  1 - 2 +6 +9 F A+ D- -2 F D- A+
 Sun, Nov 16 320 Holy Cross L 61 - 67 72% -0  1 - 3 -16 -5 F B- F -12 F F A-
 Tue, Nov 18 134 @Boston College L 52 - 63 21% -12  1 - 4 -6 -11 F B- F +3 A+ D+ C
 Fri, Nov 21 291 @Norfolk St. L 60 - 62 52% -2  1 - 5 -6 -5 C D- F -2 D+ A- F
 Tue, Nov 25 330 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 74 - 68 64% +10  2 - 5 -2 +10 B D+ A+ -11 C F F
 Wed, Dec 3 324 Loyola Maryland W 93 - 71 81% +15  3 - 5 +9 +8 A+ F D -0 A+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 265 Howard L 57 - 61 57% -3  3 - 6 -10 -13 F F B +3 D+ A+ C-
 Thu, Dec 18 325 Jackson St. W 84 - 77 73% +5  4 - 6 -3 +4 D- A+ F -7 F C D
 Fri, Dec 19 287 Grambling St. L 72 - 81 63% -7  4 - 7 -16 +1 B- F D -18 F F C+
 Mon, Dec 29 242 Stony Brook W 62 - 59 64% -2  5 - 7 1 - 0 -4 -9 F B D- +5 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 157 Towson W 63 - 62 46% +1  6 - 7 2 - 0 -2 +1 C- C+ F -3 A D+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 125 @UNC Wilmington L 45 - 49 19% -4  6 - 8 2 - 1 +1 -17 F F C +18 A- A+ B+
 Thu, Jan 8 190 @Campbell L 72 - 86 31% -13  6 - 9 2 - 2 -13 -6 D- D F -6 D A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 10 164 @College of Charleston L 70 - 74 26% -5  6 - 10 2 - 3 -1 +6 F B+ C+ -8 D- D+ D-
 Mon, Jan 19 304 N.C. A&T W 82 - 61 76% +5  7 - 10 3 - 3 +10 +10 D A+ A+ +2 C A+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 202 Monmouth W 65 - 63 57% +3  8 - 10 4 - 3 -4 -3 F A C- -1 C- D A+
 Sat, Jan 24 125 UNC Wilmington L 66 - 69 38%
 Thu, Jan 29 203 @Drexel L 62 - 66 35%
 Sat, Jan 31 157 @Towson L 60 - 67 25%
 Thu, Feb 5 184 Elon W 74 - 73 53%
 Sat, Feb 7 138 William & Mary L 74 - 76 41%
 Fri, Feb 13 304 N.C. A&T W 74 - 70 65%
 Thu, Feb 19 126 @Hofstra L 64 - 73 20%
 Sat, Feb 21 242 @Stony Brook L 66 - 68 42%
 Thu, Feb 26 164 College of Charleston L 71 - 72 48%
 Sat, Feb 28 259 Northeastern W 76 - 72 65%
 Tue, Mar 3 138 @William & Mary L 71 - 79 23%
Totals 13 - 16 9 - 9 -4 -4 D- C D+ +0 C- C+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 2.1 0.5 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 3.9 0.9 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.3 4.5 2.6 0.1 7.4 4th
5th 0.0 2.5 6.3 0.5 9.3 5th
6th 0.6 6.8 2.9 0.1 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 3.5 7.7 0.4 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 8.0 3.0 0.0 12.2 8th
9th 0.3 4.9 6.9 0.4 12.5 9th
10th 0.1 2.4 7.1 1.8 11.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 4.7 2.7 0.1 8.9 11th
12th 0.3 1.5 1.4 0.2 3.4 12th
13th 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 13th
Total 0.6 3.2 8.9 16.1 21.0 20.8 15.5 8.7 3.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 95.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-5 60.2% 0.7    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 21.0% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 6.4% 6.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 1.2% 10.6% 10.6% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1
12-6 3.8% 7.1% 7.1% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.6
11-7 8.7% 7.6% 7.6% 15.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 8.0
10-8 15.5% 3.5% 3.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 15.0
9-9 20.8% 2.0% 2.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 20.4
8-10 21.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 20.7
7-11 16.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 15.9
6-12 8.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.9
5-13 3.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.2
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 15.2 97.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%