Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#319
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#261
Pace66.6#244
Improvement-0.6#233

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#326
First Shot-4.3#306
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#249
Layup/Dunks-0.2#194
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#270
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#187
Freethrows-2.2#300
Improvement+0.4#142

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#287
First Shot-4.6#320
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#87
Layups/Dunks-4.8#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#200
Freethrows-1.3#275
Improvement-1.1#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 4.7% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 22.3% 31.5% 13.1%
.500 or above in Conference 30.9% 36.4% 25.4%
Conference Champion 3.3% 4.3% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 25.2% 21.0% 29.4%
First Four2.6% 3.0% 2.1%
First Round2.3% 3.1% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hampton (Home) - 49.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 6
Quad 412 - 1112 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 183   Columbia L 78-81 32%     0 - 1 -7.1 -6.0 -0.9
  Nov 12, 2024 351   @ NJIT W 68-50 53%     1 - 1 +8.4 -0.4 +10.4
  Nov 16, 2024 55   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-83 3%     1 - 2 -13.2 -8.8 -3.8
  Nov 19, 2024 150   @ Boston College L 61-82 13%     1 - 3 -17.6 -5.6 -13.6
  Nov 26, 2024 350   VMI W 70-67 73%     2 - 3 -12.3 -5.1 -7.0
  Dec 02, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 68-57 73%     3 - 3 -4.1 +2.2 -4.5
  Dec 07, 2024 341   @ Delaware St. L 77-80 48%     3 - 4 -11.3 -1.9 -9.3
  Dec 14, 2024 266   @ Mount St. Mary's W 77-69 28%     4 - 4 +5.3 +1.8 +3.2
  Dec 21, 2024 270   Hampton L 67-68 50%    
  Dec 28, 2024 88   @ DePaul L 62-80 4%    
  Jan 02, 2025 330   @ Holy Cross L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 05, 2025 246   Lehigh L 72-73 46%    
  Jan 08, 2025 305   @ Army L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 11, 2025 301   Navy W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 13, 2025 237   American L 65-67 43%    
  Jan 18, 2025 246   @ Lehigh L 69-76 26%    
  Jan 22, 2025 239   Lafayette L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 25, 2025 330   Holy Cross W 72-68 65%    
  Jan 29, 2025 260   @ Bucknell L 64-70 28%    
  Feb 01, 2025 252   Boston University L 66-67 48%    
  Feb 05, 2025 239   @ Lafayette L 63-71 24%    
  Feb 08, 2025 224   @ Colgate L 63-72 22%    
  Feb 12, 2025 305   Army W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 15, 2025 237   @ American L 62-70 24%    
  Feb 19, 2025 252   @ Boston University L 63-70 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 224   Colgate L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 26, 2025 260   Bucknell L 66-67 49%    
  Mar 01, 2025 301   @ Navy L 69-73 35%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.4 2.5 0.7 0.1 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.5 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 4.8 1.5 0.1 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.0 5.5 2.7 0.2 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.9 4.1 0.3 0.0 12.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.3 6.0 4.7 0.7 0.0 14.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 5.9 4.6 0.9 0.0 15.8 9th
10th 0.2 0.9 2.5 4.5 4.8 3.0 0.7 0.0 16.7 10th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.7 5.4 8.5 11.4 13.4 13.7 12.8 10.7 8.1 5.5 3.4 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 93.2% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-4 84.6% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 54.1% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 25.7% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 4.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 28.3% 28.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 23.6% 23.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.9% 21.9% 21.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7
13-5 1.8% 17.5% 17.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.5
12-6 3.4% 12.2% 12.2% 15.9 0.1 0.4 3.0
11-7 5.5% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5 5.0
10-8 8.1% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 7.5
9-9 10.7% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6 10.1
8-10 12.8% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.4
7-11 13.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 13.5
6-12 13.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 13.2
5-13 11.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.3
4-14 8.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.5
3-15 5.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.4
2-16 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.7
1-17 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.3 96.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%