Bucknell
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#265
Expected Predictive Rating-5.5#258
Pace68.6#183
Improvement-1.9#261

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#339
First Shot-4.8#309
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#289
Layup/Dunks-0.1#192
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#357
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#191
Freethrows-0.4#204
Improvement-1.1#252

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#144
First Shot+2.4#102
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#316
Layups/Dunks+2.4#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#296
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#265
Freethrows+3.1#20
Improvement-0.8#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.8% 14.5% 10.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 34.4% 52.4% 28.4%
.500 or above in Conference 82.3% 92.8% 78.8%
Conference Champion 11.3% 25.7% 6.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.5% 2.1%
First Four8.1% 7.8% 8.3%
First Round7.7% 10.3% 6.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Away) - 24.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 414 - 1015 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 196   @ Delaware W 85-73 25%     1 - 0 +13.2 +0.7 +11.2
  Nov 07, 2024 324   @ Southern Indiana W 75-69 OT 55%     2 - 0 -1.1 -3.8 +2.5
  Nov 09, 2024 15   @ Kentucky L 72-100 2%     2 - 1 -8.7 -3.8 -1.7
  Nov 13, 2024 266   Mount St. Mary's L 89-93 2OT 61%     2 - 2 -12.7 -1.2 -10.7
  Nov 16, 2024 209   Richmond W 80-76 2OT 47%     3 - 2 -1.2 -7.3 +5.5
  Nov 21, 2024 355   NJIT W 81-64 83%     4 - 2 +0.7 +4.1 -3.4
  Nov 23, 2024 294   Rider L 53-57 67%     4 - 3 -14.4 -17.2 +2.2
  Nov 27, 2024 25   @ Maryland L 67-91 3%     4 - 4 -6.5 -1.2 -3.8
  Nov 30, 2024 270   Siena L 58-71 51%     4 - 5 -19.2 -8.8 -12.1
  Dec 04, 2024 96   St. Bonaventure L 47-64 21%     4 - 6 -14.3 -20.4 +4.7
  Dec 08, 2024 204   @ Radford L 70-74 OT 26%     4 - 7 -3.4 -6.8 +3.6
  Dec 21, 2024 14   @ Gonzaga L 65-86 2%     4 - 8 -1.6 -7.7 +8.1
  Dec 28, 2024 103   @ Syracuse L 63-75 12%     4 - 9 -5.3 -8.6 +3.7
  Jan 02, 2025 296   @ Lehigh L 64-66 OT 46%     4 - 10 0 - 1 -6.9 -17.2 +10.5
  Jan 05, 2025 198   Colgate W 66-60 44%     5 - 10 1 - 1 +1.6 -1.7 +3.9
  Jan 08, 2025 276   Lafayette W 65-62 OT 63%     6 - 10 2 - 1 -6.2 -12.0 +5.7
  Jan 11, 2025 236   @ American L 58-68 33%     6 - 11 2 - 2 -11.5 -11.7 -0.5
  Jan 15, 2025 319   Holy Cross W 86-82 72%     7 - 11 3 - 2 -7.8 +8.4 -16.0
  Jan 18, 2025 291   Navy W 73-69 66%     8 - 11 4 - 2 -6.2 -0.7 -5.3
  Jan 20, 2025 198   @ Colgate L 63-70 25%    
  Jan 25, 2025 282   @ Boston University L 62-64 43%    
  Jan 29, 2025 315   Loyola Maryland W 71-65 71%    
  Feb 01, 2025 291   @ Navy L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 05, 2025 236   American W 65-64 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 305   @ Army L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 12, 2025 282   Boston University W 65-61 65%    
  Feb 15, 2025 276   @ Lafayette L 64-66 43%    
  Feb 17, 2025 296   Lehigh W 71-66 68%    
  Feb 23, 2025 305   Army W 71-66 67%    
  Feb 26, 2025 315   @ Loyola Maryland W 68-67 49%    
  Mar 01, 2025 319   @ Holy Cross W 70-69 51%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.9 4.0 2.5 1.0 0.1 11.3 1st
2nd 0.0 2.0 8.1 9.1 4.0 0.7 0.1 24.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 8.4 9.1 2.3 0.2 21.3 3rd
4th 0.3 5.9 7.5 1.5 0.0 15.2 4th
5th 0.0 2.6 6.9 1.6 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.6 4.7 2.2 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 2.3 0.2 4.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 1.9 0.4 3.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.9 5.1 10.2 16.5 19.6 19.5 14.3 8.1 3.2 1.1 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 94.4% 1.0    0.9 0.1
14-4 79.0% 2.5    1.8 0.7 0.0
13-5 48.6% 4.0    1.8 1.8 0.4
12-6 20.4% 2.9    0.7 1.3 0.7 0.1
11-7 4.2% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
10-8 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.3% 11.3 5.4 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 1.1% 24.1% 24.1% 14.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.8
14-4 3.2% 25.4% 25.4% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 2.4
13-5 8.1% 22.1% 22.1% 15.8 0.3 1.5 6.3
12-6 14.3% 14.4% 14.4% 15.9 0.2 1.9 12.2
11-7 19.5% 14.1% 14.1% 16.0 0.1 2.7 16.8
10-8 19.6% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 2.0 17.5
9-9 16.5% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 1.4 15.1
8-10 10.2% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.5 9.7
7-11 5.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 5.0
6-12 1.9% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.1 1.9
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.8% 11.8% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 10.7 88.2 0.0%