Bucknell
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#260
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#272
Pace68.3#197
Improvement-3.2#336

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#331
First Shot-4.2#303
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#270
Layup/Dunks+0.7#154
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#338
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#229
Freethrows+0.2#168
Improvement-2.6#347

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#164
First Shot+0.8#151
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#227
Layups/Dunks+1.1#133
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#316
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#231
Freethrows+2.7#33
Improvement-0.5#230
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.9% 20.8% 9.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 29.2% 59.7% 29.1%
.500 or above in Conference 62.8% 78.0% 62.7%
Conference Champion 12.1% 22.0% 12.1%
Last Place in Conference 7.2% 1.3% 7.2%
First Four5.6% 3.8% 5.6%
First Round7.2% 18.2% 7.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 412 - 1014 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 207   @ Delaware W 85-73 28%     1 - 0 +12.6 +1.9 +9.4
  Nov 07, 2024 281   @ Southern Indiana W 75-69 OT 41%     2 - 0 +2.8 -2.4 +5.0
  Nov 09, 2024 11   @ Kentucky L 72-100 2%     2 - 1 -7.6 -1.6 -2.9
  Nov 13, 2024 266   Mount St. Mary's L 89-93 2OT 62%     2 - 2 -12.7 -3.2 -8.8
  Nov 16, 2024 205   Richmond W 80-76 2OT 49%     3 - 2 -1.2 -7.7 +5.8
  Nov 21, 2024 351   NJIT W 81-64 83%     4 - 2 +1.4 +3.2 -1.8
  Nov 23, 2024 288   Rider L 53-57 66%     4 - 3 -13.7 -16.8 +2.5
  Nov 27, 2024 19   @ Maryland L 67-91 3%     4 - 4 -6.6 -0.8 -4.3
  Nov 30, 2024 283   Siena L 58-71 54%     4 - 5 -19.6 -9.3 -12.0
  Dec 04, 2024 89   St. Bonaventure L 47-64 21%     4 - 6 -13.9 -19.3 +4.0
  Dec 08, 2024 202   @ Radford L 70-74 OT 26%     4 - 7 -2.8 -6.3 +3.6
  Dec 21, 2024 3   @ Gonzaga L 58-87 0.3%   
  Dec 28, 2024 97   @ Syracuse L 66-80 10%    
  Jan 02, 2025 246   @ Lehigh L 70-74 36%    
  Jan 05, 2025 224   Colgate W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 08, 2025 239   Lafayette W 66-64 56%    
  Jan 11, 2025 237   @ American L 62-67 34%    
  Jan 15, 2025 330   Holy Cross W 73-65 76%    
  Jan 18, 2025 301   Navy W 73-68 68%    
  Jan 20, 2025 224   @ Colgate L 64-69 32%    
  Jan 25, 2025 252   @ Boston University L 64-67 38%    
  Jan 29, 2025 319   Loyola Maryland W 70-64 72%    
  Feb 01, 2025 301   @ Navy L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 05, 2025 237   American W 65-64 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 305   @ Army L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 12, 2025 252   Boston University W 67-64 60%    
  Feb 15, 2025 239   @ Lafayette L 63-67 34%    
  Feb 17, 2025 246   Lehigh W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 23, 2025 305   Army W 70-65 68%    
  Feb 26, 2025 319   @ Loyola Maryland W 67-66 51%    
  Mar 01, 2025 330   @ Holy Cross W 70-68 56%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.6 3.0 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 12.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.9 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.8 5.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.2 3.3 6.2 2.5 0.3 12.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.3 6.4 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.4 3.3 0.3 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.4 3.5 0.5 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.3 3.3 0.5 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.2 2.3 0.6 0.0 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 4.3 7.1 10.0 12.0 13.9 13.7 12.0 9.8 6.7 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 99.2% 0.7    0.7 0.0
15-3 96.0% 1.8    1.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 80.6% 3.0    2.2 0.8 0.1
13-5 54.3% 3.6    1.8 1.5 0.3 0.0
12-6 22.5% 2.2    0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
11-7 3.9% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.1% 12.1 7.1 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 47.5% 47.5% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 35.8% 35.8% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.9% 28.8% 28.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.4
14-4 3.7% 25.6% 25.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 2.8
13-5 6.7% 19.5% 19.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 5.4
12-6 9.8% 15.9% 15.9% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.3 8.2
11-7 12.0% 13.1% 13.1% 15.9 0.1 1.5 10.5
10-8 13.7% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4 12.3
9-9 13.9% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 1.2 12.8
8-10 12.0% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.5 11.5
7-11 10.0% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 9.7
6-12 7.1% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 7.0
5-13 4.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 4.2
4-14 2.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.3
3-15 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.0
2-16 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.9% 9.9% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.7 7.7 90.1 0.0%