Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#255
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#298
Pace80.6#6
Improvement+2.9#31

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#186
First Shot+2.9#96
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#346
Layup/Dunks+3.8#59
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#186
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#133
Freethrows-2.0#294
Improvement+0.8#117

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#317
First Shot-4.2#310
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#220
Layups/Dunks-5.6#346
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#216
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#110
Freethrows-0.3#214
Improvement+2.1#37
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 9.6% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 34.6% 56.4% 31.5%
.500 or above in Conference 58.1% 68.3% 56.7%
Conference Champion 6.8% 10.3% 6.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 2.8% 5.0%
First Four3.0% 2.8% 3.0%
First Round5.2% 8.4% 4.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Tech (Away) - 12.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 411 - 814 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 31   @ Penn St. L 54-103 4%     0 - 1 -33.3 -18.4 -8.4
  Nov 14, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 92-67 92%     1 - 1 +3.9 +9.6 -6.4
  Nov 16, 2024 221   St. Peter's L 61-69 52%     1 - 2 -13.9 -2.5 -12.8
  Nov 19, 2024 270   Hampton L 68-78 64%     1 - 3 -18.8 -2.5 -17.2
  Nov 23, 2024 252   Boston University L 71-75 61%     1 - 4 -12.2 -7.0 -5.1
  Nov 25, 2024 254   Howard W 95-77 61%     2 - 4 +9.8 +16.5 -6.5
  Nov 27, 2024 349   Morgan St. W 92-69 82%     3 - 4 +7.8 -0.3 +5.6
  Dec 02, 2024 90   @ Georgetown L 62-86 10%     3 - 5 -14.9 -13.6 +1.6
  Dec 07, 2024 209   @ Towson W 84-71 29%     4 - 5 +13.6 +9.7 +3.3
  Dec 18, 2024 110   @ Georgia Tech L 76-88 13%    
  Dec 21, 2024 236   @ Marist L 73-77 35%    
  Dec 29, 2024 237   @ American L 73-77 34%    
  Jan 04, 2025 310   @ Binghamton L 77-78 50%    
  Jan 09, 2025 351   @ NJIT W 77-73 66%    
  Jan 16, 2025 354   New Hampshire W 83-72 84%    
  Jan 18, 2025 213   Maine W 77-76 51%    
  Jan 23, 2025 248   @ Albany L 84-87 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 194   @ Vermont L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 30, 2025 176   Bryant L 88-89 45%    
  Feb 01, 2025 151   Umass Lowell L 85-88 41%    
  Feb 06, 2025 354   @ New Hampshire W 80-75 67%    
  Feb 08, 2025 213   @ Maine L 73-79 30%    
  Feb 13, 2025 310   Binghamton W 80-74 70%    
  Feb 15, 2025 176   @ Bryant L 85-92 25%    
  Feb 20, 2025 151   @ Umass Lowell L 82-91 22%    
  Feb 22, 2025 351   NJIT W 80-70 83%    
  Feb 27, 2025 248   Albany W 87-84 59%    
  Mar 01, 2025 194   Vermont L 71-72 48%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.4 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.3 2.1 0.4 0.0 9.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.6 6.1 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.2 7.3 2.8 0.2 0.0 15.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.2 7.8 3.2 0.2 17.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 5.8 7.2 2.7 0.2 17.4 6th
7th 0.2 1.4 4.4 4.7 1.6 0.1 12.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 1.9 0.5 0.0 6.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.3 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.4 7.9 11.9 14.6 15.4 14.6 11.8 8.4 4.7 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 98.3% 0.8    0.8 0.1
13-3 83.5% 1.8    1.3 0.5 0.0 0.0
12-4 50.0% 2.4    0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0
11-5 16.3% 1.4    0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 3.3 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 37.9% 37.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.8% 28.5% 28.5% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
13-3 2.1% 24.5% 24.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.6
12-4 4.7% 16.0% 16.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 4.0
11-5 8.4% 13.7% 13.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 7.2
10-6 11.8% 9.9% 9.9% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 10.7
9-7 14.6% 6.7% 6.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 13.6
8-8 15.4% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7 14.6
7-9 14.6% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5 14.1
6-10 11.9% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 11.6
5-11 7.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 7.8
4-12 4.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.4
3-13 2.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.1
2-14 0.8% 0.8
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 4.6 93.4 0.0%