Fordham
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#204
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#207
Pace72.9#59
Improvement+0.4#169

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#192
First Shot+0.1#168
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#233
Layup/Dunks-2.2#263
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#81
Freethrows-0.6#211
Improvement+2.3#75

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#224
First Shot-3.8#300
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#45
Layups/Dunks-4.8#334
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#303
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#60
Freethrows-0.5#223
Improvement-1.9#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.5 14.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 73.9% 57.1% 88.1%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Home) - 46.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 60 - 9
Quad 36 - 76 - 16
Quad 46 - 312 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 14   @ St. John's L 60-92 3%     0 - 1 -11.6 -1.8 -7.9
  Nov 09, 2024 167   @ Seton Hall W 57-56 33%     1 - 1 +3.2 -7.3 +10.6
  Nov 12, 2024 299   Binghamton W 78-63 77%     2 - 1 +4.8 -0.4 +4.9
  Nov 15, 2024 263   @ Manhattan L 76-78 52%     2 - 2 -4.9 -6.2 +1.4
  Nov 22, 2024 195   Drexel L 71-73 58%     2 - 3 -6.5 +3.7 -10.3
  Nov 25, 2024 62   Penn St. L 66-85 15%     2 - 4 -10.4 -4.8 -5.3
  Nov 26, 2024 69   San Francisco L 64-85 16%     2 - 5 -12.9 +2.5 -17.4
  Dec 01, 2024 355   New Hampshire W 83-61 90%     3 - 5 +5.7 -1.6 +6.1
  Dec 04, 2024 318   Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-75 81%     4 - 5 -2.8 -2.0 -1.7
  Dec 08, 2024 209   Maine W 87-72 60%     5 - 5 +9.9 +6.0 +2.5
  Dec 14, 2024 161   Bryant W 86-84 41%     6 - 5 +2.1 +2.0 -0.2
  Dec 21, 2024 267   Albany W 87-83 71%     7 - 5 -4.1 +1.6 -6.1
  Dec 31, 2024 109   Saint Louis L 63-88 38%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -24.2 -9.1 -15.2
  Jan 04, 2025 106   St. Bonaventure L 66-86 35%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -18.5 -1.1 -18.5
  Jan 08, 2025 34   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 61-73 6%     7 - 8 0 - 3 +3.7 +0.2 +2.8
  Jan 11, 2025 129   @ Davidson L 64-74 26%     7 - 9 0 - 4 -5.7 -12.1 +6.9
  Jan 15, 2025 168   Massachusetts L 118-120 3OT 52%     7 - 10 0 - 5 -4.9 +5.0 -9.2
  Jan 22, 2025 110   @ Loyola Chicago L 66-70 22%     7 - 11 0 - 6 +1.9 +3.0 -1.4
  Jan 26, 2025 132   Duquesne W 65-63 44%     8 - 11 1 - 6 +1.1 -0.4 +1.7
  Jan 29, 2025 236   @ La Salle W 88-72 46%     9 - 11 2 - 6 +14.5 +13.8 +0.5
  Feb 01, 2025 106   @ St. Bonaventure L 72-74 20%     9 - 12 2 - 7 +4.6 +12.7 -8.3
  Feb 05, 2025 121   Rhode Island W 80-79 42%     10 - 12 3 - 7 +0.7 +7.2 -6.4
  Feb 12, 2025 83   Dayton L 76-93 26%     10 - 13 3 - 8 -12.8 +9.6 -23.9
  Feb 15, 2025 218   @ Richmond L 66-70 43%     10 - 14 3 - 9 -4.6 -1.9 -3.0
  Feb 19, 2025 132   @ Duquesne L 64-73 26%     10 - 15 3 - 10 -4.8 -4.9 +0.1
  Feb 22, 2025 129   Davidson L 75-77 46%    
  Feb 26, 2025 75   @ George Mason L 61-74 12%    
  Mar 01, 2025 78   Saint Joseph's L 72-79 26%    
  Mar 05, 2025 117   George Washington L 73-76 42%    
  Mar 08, 2025 121   @ Rhode Island L 75-82 24%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 0.2 8th
9th 0.7 0.1 0.7 9th
10th 0.2 1.1 0.0 1.3 10th
11th 2.1 0.9 3.0 11th
12th 1.1 5.6 0.2 6.9 12th
13th 13.5 4.8 0.0 18.3 13th
14th 13.3 13.2 0.6 27.1 14th
15th 17.2 22.5 2.9 42.5 15th
Total 17.2 35.8 30.7 13.3 3.0 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.2% 0.2
7-11 3.0% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 3.0
6-12 13.3% 0.2% 0.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 13.2
5-13 30.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 30.6
4-14 35.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 35.8
3-15 17.2% 17.2
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 12.1%