Fordham
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#221
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#225
Pace74.7#44
Improvement-1.6#253

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#241
First Shot-1.6#220
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#255
Layup/Dunks-2.6#282
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#215
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#94
Freethrows-0.9#241
Improvement-0.1#186

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#198
First Shot-2.7#261
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#39
Layups/Dunks-4.2#322
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#302
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#58
Freethrows-0.3#205
Improvement-1.5#264
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.1 16.0
.500 or above 1.6% 4.4% 0.8%
.500 or above in Conference 0.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 75.1% 56.9% 80.4%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Away) - 22.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 61 - 9
Quad 35 - 86 - 18
Quad 45 - 311 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 16   @ St. John's L 60-92 3%     0 - 1 -12.8 -4.2 -6.7
  Nov 09, 2024 132   @ Seton Hall W 57-56 22%     1 - 1 +5.6 -7.6 +13.3
  Nov 12, 2024 322   Binghamton W 78-63 80%     2 - 1 +2.9 -3.3 +6.0
  Nov 15, 2024 297   @ Manhattan L 76-78 56%     2 - 2 -6.9 -7.7 +0.9
  Nov 22, 2024 193   Drexel L 71-73 53%     2 - 3 -6.1 +3.5 -9.8
  Nov 25, 2024 51   Penn St. L 66-85 10%     2 - 4 -8.5 -4.1 -4.0
  Nov 26, 2024 75   San Francisco L 64-85 16%     2 - 5 -13.6 +0.8 -16.5
  Dec 01, 2024 351   New Hampshire W 83-61 87%     3 - 5 +6.4 +0.6 +4.5
  Dec 04, 2024 328   Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-75 82%     4 - 5 -4.2 -5.4 +0.3
  Dec 08, 2024 202   Maine W 87-72 55%     5 - 5 +10.3 +6.3 +2.6
  Dec 14, 2024 157   Bryant W 86-84 36%     6 - 5 +2.4 +2.5 -0.3
  Dec 21, 2024 260   Albany W 87-83 69%     7 - 5 -4.4 +0.6 -5.4
  Dec 31, 2024 102   Saint Louis L 63-88 33%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -23.7 -10.5 -13.4
  Jan 04, 2025 96   St. Bonaventure L 66-86 28%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -17.3 -1.8 -16.6
  Jan 08, 2025 49   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 61-73 7%     7 - 8 0 - 3 +1.5 -0.6 +1.3
  Jan 11, 2025 121   @ Davidson L 64-74 20%     7 - 9 0 - 4 -4.6 -11.8 +7.7
  Jan 15, 2025 171   Massachusetts L 118-120 3OT 49%     7 - 10 0 - 5 -5.2 +3.4 -7.9
  Jan 22, 2025 136   @ Loyola Chicago L 71-79 23%    
  Jan 26, 2025 116   Duquesne L 68-71 37%    
  Jan 29, 2025 191   @ La Salle L 75-80 31%    
  Feb 01, 2025 96   @ St. Bonaventure L 64-76 14%    
  Feb 05, 2025 109   Rhode Island L 75-79 36%    
  Feb 12, 2025 78   Dayton L 69-77 24%    
  Feb 15, 2025 209   @ Richmond L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 19, 2025 116   @ Duquesne L 65-74 19%    
  Feb 22, 2025 121   Davidson L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 26, 2025 86   @ George Mason L 61-74 12%    
  Mar 01, 2025 90   Saint Joseph's L 71-78 27%    
  Mar 05, 2025 119   George Washington L 74-77 39%    
  Mar 08, 2025 109   @ Rhode Island L 72-82 18%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.5 8th
9th 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 0.3 1.4 10th
11th 0.0 1.0 1.5 0.1 2.6 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.8 0.0 4.8 12th
13th 0.1 1.4 5.1 3.2 0.2 10.0 13th
14th 0.3 3.3 8.0 6.1 1.1 0.0 18.8 14th
15th 3.0 9.5 17.4 18.6 9.8 1.8 0.1 60.2 15th
Total 3.0 9.5 17.7 22.0 19.3 14.2 8.5 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 33.3% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0 0.1
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.4% 0.4
8-10 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 14.0 0.0 1.5
7-11 3.8% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 3.8
6-12 8.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 8.5
5-13 14.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.2
4-14 19.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 19.2
3-15 22.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 22.0
2-16 17.7% 17.7
1-17 9.5% 9.5
0-18 3.0% 3.0
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.3%