Fordham
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#211
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#275
Pace62.5#346
Improvement+3.5#16

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#219
First Shot-1.9#225
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#173
Layup/Dunks+3.7#64
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#299
Freethrows-3.3#333
Improvement+1.5#63

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#210
First Shot-0.9#203
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#216
Layups/Dunks+1.5#119
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#265
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#293
Freethrows+1.9#75
Improvement+1.9#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.8 13.0
.500 or above 18.5% 22.3% 6.2%
.500 or above in Conference 10.1% 11.5% 5.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 21.7% 19.6% 28.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Home) - 76.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 33 - 64 - 14
Quad 49 - 312 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 351 NJIT L 61-72 87%     0 - 1 -26.3 -11.6 -15.6
  Tue, Nov 11 297 Wagner W 63-61 76%     1 - 1 -8.6 -3.2 -5.1
  Fri, Nov 14 174 @Iona L 71-76 32%     1 - 2 -3.2 -1.2 -2.0
  Thu, Nov 20 230 LIU Brooklyn W 69-53 65%     2 - 2 +9.0 -2.9 +12.8
  Sat, Nov 29 324 Albany W 88-68 72%     3 - 2 +10.8 +13.7 -2.2
  Sun, Nov 30 176 Colgate L 62-72 43%     3 - 3 -11.3 -6.3 -5.9
  Sat, Dec 6 301 Holy Cross W 72-64 77%    
  Wed, Dec 10 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 79-64 92%    
  Sat, Dec 13 310 Manhattan W 76-68 77%    
  Mon, Dec 22 346 New Haven W 70-59 85%    
  Wed, Dec 31 67 @Dayton L 61-76 9%    
  Sun, Jan 4 104 Richmond L 68-73 33%    
  Wed, Jan 7 66 George Mason L 62-71 22%    
  Sat, Jan 10 111 @St. Bonaventure L 62-72 18%    
  Wed, Jan 14 46 @Saint Louis L 64-81 6%    
  Sat, Jan 17 135 Duquesne L 72-74 43%    
  Wed, Jan 21 137 @Davidson L 64-72 25%    
  Wed, Jan 28 229 La Salle W 69-65 64%    
  Sat, Jan 31 62 @George Washington L 68-83 8%    
  Tue, Feb 3 43 Virginia Commonwealth L 64-76 15%    
  Sat, Feb 7 111 St. Bonaventure L 65-69 37%    
  Tue, Feb 10 184 @Saint Joseph's L 67-71 35%    
  Sat, Feb 14 110 @Rhode Island L 64-74 19%    
  Wed, Feb 18 259 Loyola Chicago W 71-66 69%    
  Sat, Feb 21 137 Davidson L 67-69 43%    
  Sat, Feb 28 43 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61-79 6%    
  Wed, Mar 4 229 @La Salle L 66-68 43%    
  Sat, Mar 7 110 Rhode Island L 67-71 36%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.7 6th
7th 0.2 1.1 2.0 0.6 0.0 3.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.3 1.4 0.1 6.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.2 2.8 0.2 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 5.2 4.2 0.8 0.0 11.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.9 6.6 5.7 1.4 0.0 15.8 11th
12th 0.3 2.4 6.9 6.5 1.8 0.1 17.9 12th
13th 0.3 2.7 6.6 5.4 1.5 0.1 16.7 13th
14th 1.0 3.1 4.7 3.1 0.9 0.1 13.0 14th
Total 1.0 3.4 7.7 12.2 15.2 16.3 14.4 11.6 8.2 4.9 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 6.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 21.4% 21.4% 12.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 6.1% 6.1% 12.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.7% 3.1% 3.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.6
11-7 1.4% 2.2% 2.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
10-8 2.8% 0.8% 0.8% 12.7 0.0 0.0 2.8
9-9 4.9% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 4.9
8-10 8.2% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
7-11 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 11.6
6-12 14.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.4
5-13 16.3% 16.3
4-14 15.2% 15.2
3-15 12.2% 12.2
2-16 7.7% 7.7
1-17 3.4% 3.4
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%