Howard
Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.5#315
Expected Predictive Rating-12.0#326
Pace73.0#99
Improvement-1.1#272

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#309
First Shot-5.2#315
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#174
Layup/Dunks-2.5#266
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#144
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#315
Freethrows+1.6#97
Improvement-1.1#266

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#281
First Shot-1.0#208
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#310
Layups/Dunks-4.6#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#15
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#161
Freethrows+0.0#183
Improvement+0.0#195
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.7% 21.7% 17.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 37.6% 48.0% 25.8%
.500 or above in Conference 81.7% 85.5% 77.4%
Conference Champion 23.5% 27.0% 19.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 2.1% 4.6%
First Four18.3% 19.7% 16.7%
First Round9.7% 11.3% 7.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Neutral) - 53.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 413 - 1013 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 37 Missouri L 67-88 5%     0 - 1 -11.2 -4.5 -6.2
  Sun, Nov 9 284 Grambling St. L 70-73 55%     0 - 2 -12.7 -0.4 -12.5
  Thu, Nov 13 333 Alcorn St. W 72-64 69%     1 - 2 -5.5 -3.5 -1.7
  Wed, Nov 19 348 @Stetson L 60-64 51%     1 - 3 -12.7 -15.7 +2.8
  Sat, Nov 22 347 Niagara W 80-70 62%     2 - 3 -1.6 -2.8 +0.4
  Sun, Nov 23 3 @Duke L 56-93 1%     2 - 4 -12.1 -5.1 -6.6
  Sat, Nov 29 307 @Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 37%     2 - 5 -9.1 -0.8 -8.2
  Tue, Dec 9 323 N.C. A&T W 76-75 53%    
  Sat, Dec 13 212 Hampton L 70-75 31%    
  Tue, Dec 16 256 @Drexel L 67-73 29%    
  Sat, Dec 20 109 @UNC Wilmington L 64-80 7%    
  Tue, Dec 30 60 @Northwestern L 64-85 3%    
  Sat, Jan 3 352 @South Carolina St. W 75-74 55%    
  Sat, Jan 10 341 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 65-66 48%    
  Mon, Jan 12 355 Delaware St. W 75-67 77%    
  Sat, Jan 17 336 @NC Central L 72-73 48%    
  Sat, Jan 24 359 Morgan St. W 82-73 78%    
  Mon, Jan 26 364 @Coppin St. W 76-70 69%    
  Sat, Jan 31 231 Norfolk St. L 69-70 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 352 South Carolina St. W 78-71 74%    
  Mon, Feb 9 73 Yale L 71-84 12%    
  Sat, Feb 14 341 Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-63 70%    
  Mon, Feb 16 355 @Delaware St. W 72-70 58%    
  Sat, Feb 21 336 NC Central W 75-69 69%    
  Sat, Feb 28 359 @Morgan St. W 79-76 59%    
  Mon, Mar 2 364 Coppin St. W 79-67 84%    
  Thu, Mar 5 231 @Norfolk St. L 66-73 26%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.4 4.9 7.6 6.0 2.9 0.7 23.5 1st
2nd 0.2 3.4 9.6 9.0 3.9 0.6 26.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.1 8.4 5.7 1.0 0.0 18.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 6.3 3.5 0.3 12.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.6 2.7 0.2 8.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 2.6 2.0 0.2 5.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.1 0.1 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.5 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.7 5.1 8.8 12.5 15.6 17.0 14.9 11.5 6.6 2.9 0.7 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
13-1 100.0% 2.9    2.8 0.1
12-2 90.6% 6.0    4.9 1.1 0.0
11-3 65.8% 7.6    4.5 2.8 0.2
10-4 32.9% 4.9    1.6 2.4 0.9 0.1
9-5 8.0% 1.4    0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 23.5% 23.5 14.6 7.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.7% 52.4% 52.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3
13-1 2.9% 50.2% 50.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.4
12-2 6.6% 42.5% 42.5% 16.0 0.0 2.8 3.8
11-3 11.5% 34.0% 34.0% 16.0 0.0 3.9 7.6
10-4 14.9% 25.2% 25.2% 16.0 0.0 3.7 11.2
9-5 17.0% 18.2% 18.2% 16.0 3.1 13.9
8-6 15.6% 13.2% 13.2% 16.0 2.1 13.5
7-7 12.5% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 1.1 11.3
6-8 8.8% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.7 8.2
5-9 5.1% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.3 4.9
4-10 2.7% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.2 2.6
3-11 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-12 0.4% 0.4
1-13 0.1% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 19.7% 19.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 19.5 80.3 0.0%