Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
153 South Dakota St. 27.6%   15   3 - 5 0 - 0 16 - 12 11 - 5 0.0      -1.2 198 +1.3 131 71.6 133 -3.5 222 0.0 1
155 North Dakota St. 25.7%   5 - 3 0 - 0 17 - 10 11 - 5 -0.2      -1.7 217 +1.4 124 69.3 190 +1.3 147 0.0 1
169 St. Thomas 22.4%   5 - 4 0 - 0 18 - 10 11 - 5 -0.8      -0.1 166 -0.7 185 69.5 183 -0.3 176 0.0 1
233 Nebraska Omaha 9.8%   2 - 7 0 - 0 11 - 16 9 - 7 -4.2      -0.4 174 -3.7 296 68.5 209 -7.0 282 0.0 1
270 South Dakota 6.3%   4 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 15 8 - 8 -5.7      -1.4 205 -4.2 321 78.4 19 -6.3 270 0.0 1
294 Denver 3.5%   3 - 6 0 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 9 -7.4      +1.7 126 -9.0 364 67.4 244 -0.1 174 0.0 1
301 Oral Roberts 3.3%   2 - 7 0 - 0 9 - 19 7 - 9 -7.7      -2.3 233 -5.4 341 72.6 108 -4.9 240 0.0 1
337 North Dakota 0.9%   2 - 8 0 - 0 8 - 21 5 - 11 -10.8      -6.7 342 -4.0 315 71.8 128 -11.1 319 0.0 1
346 UMKC 0.5%   0 - 8 0 - 0 5 - 23 4 - 12 -12.1      -8.0 353 -4.0 316 71.8 127 -14.5 345 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 3 164 Montana St. 82 169 St. Thomas 74   
Wed, Dec 3 157 Northern Colorado 75 233 Nebraska Omaha 70   
Wed, Dec 3 206 Montana 72 155 North Dakota St. 81   
Wed, Dec 3 294 Denver 93 234 Eastern Washington 89   
Wed, Dec 3 168 Idaho St. 68 346 UMKC 59   
Wed, Dec 3 171 Portland St. 77 270 South Dakota 71   
Wed, Dec 3 251 Northern Arizona 62 153 South Dakota St. 75   
Wed, Dec 3 173 Idaho 90 337 North Dakota 58   
Wed, Dec 3 301 Oral Roberts 66 195 Weber St. 92   
Sat, Dec 6 173 Idaho 84 153 South Dakota St. 81   
Sat, Dec 6 233 Nebraska Omaha 60 171 Portland St. 55   
Sat, Dec 6 155 North Dakota St. 69 251 Northern Arizona 68   
Sat, Dec 6 157 Northern Colorado 89 270 South Dakota 87   
Sat, Dec 6 294 Denver 79 168 Idaho St. 93   
Sat, Dec 6 164 Montana St. 68 301 Oral Roberts 72   
Sat, Dec 6 206 Montana 79 337 North Dakota 75   
Sat, Dec 6 234 Eastern Washington 90 346 UMKC 66   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 7 169 St. Thomas 78 195 Weber St. 74 66%   
Tue, Dec 9 270 South Dakota 74 107 Wyoming 87 88%   
Tue, Dec 9 310 Ball St. 67 153 South Dakota St. 72 70%   
Wed, Dec 10 346 UMKC 71 195 Weber St. 78 75%   
Thu, Dec 11 295 Cal St. Bakersfield 72 155 North Dakota St. 76 66%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
South Dakota St. 2.4 37.3 24.6 16.6 10.1 5.8 3.4 1.4 0.6 0.2
North Dakota St. 2.5 34.8 24.4 17.1 10.8 6.4 3.6 1.8 0.8 0.2
St. Thomas 2.7 29.8 24.0 18.4 12.0 7.7 4.4 2.2 1.1 0.3
Nebraska Omaha 4.1 10.6 14.1 17.1 17.8 15.3 11.4 7.7 4.1 1.9
South Dakota 4.8 5.8 9.8 13.3 16.6 17.3 15.0 11.6 7.2 3.3
Denver 5.6 2.8 5.3 8.9 12.9 16.2 17.9 16.6 12.1 7.3
Oral Roberts 5.7 2.3 4.9 7.9 12.0 15.8 17.8 17.0 14.0 8.2
North Dakota 7.0 0.5 1.3 2.7 5.4 8.9 13.6 18.9 25.0 23.7
UMKC 7.5 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.6 6.4 10.6 16.1 25.2 35.3




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
South Dakota St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.8 6.7 10.4 13.7 16.6 16.8 14.3 9.3 4.6 1.0
North Dakota St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 4.3 7.2 10.8 14.4 16.3 16.2 13.3 8.9 3.9 1.1
St. Thomas 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.8 5.2 8.5 12.2 14.7 16.4 15.6 11.6 7.2 3.0 0.6
Nebraska Omaha 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.7 5.4 8.9 12.2 14.6 15.5 14.1 11.2 7.4 4.1 1.6 0.5 0.1
South Dakota 8 - 8 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.5 5.2 8.5 12.2 14.7 15.3 14.2 11.2 7.7 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0
Denver 7 - 9 0.1 0.7 2.4 5.1 8.9 12.8 15.5 15.7 13.8 10.8 7.3 3.8 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Oral Roberts 7 - 9 0.1 0.9 2.9 5.9 10.1 13.4 15.3 15.6 13.4 9.9 6.4 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1
North Dakota 5 - 11 0.9 4.2 9.2 13.5 17.0 17.1 14.3 10.4 6.7 3.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
UMKC 4 - 12 2.1 7.2 13.1 16.8 17.8 15.5 11.7 7.6 4.3 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
South Dakota St. 37.3% 25.6 9.2 2.2 0.3 0.0
North Dakota St. 34.8% 23.7 8.7 2.1 0.3 0.0
St. Thomas 29.8% 19.3 8.2 2.0 0.3 0.0
Nebraska Omaha 10.6% 5.7 3.3 1.3 0.2 0.0
South Dakota 5.8% 2.9 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0
Denver 2.8% 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
Oral Roberts 2.3% 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
North Dakota 0.5% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
UMKC 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
South Dakota St. 27.6% 27.6% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.0 0.6 3.2 8.6 10.0 5.2 72.4 0.0%
North Dakota St. 25.7% 25.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.9 4.0 8.8 8.8 3.1 74.3 0.0%
St. Thomas 22.4% 22.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.6 6.8 8.2 4.2 77.6 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 9.8% 9.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.7 6.1 90.2 0.0%
South Dakota 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.7 4.3 93.7 0.0%
Denver 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.3 96.5 0.0%
Oral Roberts 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.7 96.7 0.0%
North Dakota 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.9 99.1 0.0%
UMKC 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5 99.5 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
South Dakota St. 27.6% 2.1% 26.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 25.7% 1.0% 25.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Thomas 22.4% 1.4% 21.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 9.8% 4.1% 8.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 6.3% 2.7% 5.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 3.5% 1.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 3.3% 2.3% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 92.3% 0.9 7.7 92.3
2nd Round 3.0% 0.0 97.0 3.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0