TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#190
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#255
Pace70.8#125
Improvement+1.0#111

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#196
First Shot+0.2#161
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#251
Layup/Dunks+6.4#20
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#324
Freethrows-2.0#295
Improvement-1.2#283

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#189
First Shot-1.0#199
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#148
Layups/Dunks-0.9#206
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#121
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#137
Freethrows-2.1#309
Improvement+2.3#30
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 16.1% 9.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 13.7 14.5
.500 or above 72.0% 91.3% 71.7%
.500 or above in Conference 85.7% 93.9% 85.6%
Conference Champion 6.8% 9.9% 6.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Four0.4% 0.0% 0.4%
First Round9.5% 16.1% 9.4%
Second Round0.5% 1.8% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston (Away) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 414 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 22   @ Purdue L 73-90 5%     0 - 1 +0.3 +3.0 -2.0
  Nov 12, 2024 71   @ New Mexico L 81-100 13%     0 - 2 -8.2 -0.8 -4.2
  Nov 14, 2024 199   @ New Mexico St. L 82-83 40%     0 - 3 +0.2 +5.4 -5.1
  Nov 21, 2024 327   Tennessee Martin W 81-77 86%     1 - 3 -8.8 +2.4 -11.2
  Nov 23, 2024 338   Le Moyne W 82-61 88%     2 - 3 +6.9 +4.7 +2.6
  Nov 30, 2024 340   Prairie View W 109-74 88%     3 - 3 +20.8 +21.2 -1.8
  Dec 05, 2024 179   Lamar L 61-65 60%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -8.0 -10.1 +2.0
  Dec 07, 2024 214   Stephen F. Austin W 67-48 66%     4 - 4 1 - 1 +13.3 +3.5 +11.8
  Dec 14, 2024 174   @ Hawaii L 62-71 36%     4 - 5 -6.8 -4.8 -2.7
  Dec 21, 2024 6   @ Houston L 55-78 1%    
  Jan 04, 2025 230   @ SE Louisiana L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 06, 2025 346   @ New Orleans W 79-72 76%    
  Jan 11, 2025 233   UT Rio Grande Valley W 81-76 69%    
  Jan 13, 2025 296   Northwestern St. W 74-65 79%    
  Jan 18, 2025 307   @ Incarnate Word W 75-72 63%    
  Jan 20, 2025 356   @ Houston Christian W 76-67 79%    
  Jan 25, 2025 243   Nicholls St. W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 27, 2025 92   McNeese St. L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 01, 2025 233   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 78-79 48%    
  Feb 03, 2025 357   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-66 79%    
  Feb 08, 2025 214   @ Stephen F. Austin L 65-67 44%    
  Feb 10, 2025 179   @ Lamar L 69-72 38%    
  Feb 15, 2025 307   Incarnate Word W 78-69 80%    
  Feb 17, 2025 356   Houston Christian W 79-64 91%    
  Feb 22, 2025 92   @ McNeese St. L 66-76 18%    
  Feb 24, 2025 243   @ Nicholls St. W 73-72 51%    
  Mar 01, 2025 230   SE Louisiana W 72-67 68%    
  Mar 03, 2025 346   New Orleans W 82-69 88%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.2 1.9 0.8 0.1 6.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.7 6.2 3.3 0.8 0.1 19.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.6 7.8 6.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 20.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.8 4.4 0.9 0.1 15.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.7 3.6 0.6 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.3 3.1 0.6 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.9 2.5 0.5 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.9 0.5 0.0 4.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.2 4.0 6.7 10.0 13.1 15.0 15.4 13.1 9.8 5.7 2.7 0.9 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 94.4% 0.8    0.7 0.1
17-3 69.9% 1.9    1.2 0.6 0.0
16-4 38.3% 2.2    1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0
15-5 14.6% 1.4    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.7% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 3.5 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 50.8% 50.8% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.9% 38.3% 38.3% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5
17-3 2.7% 34.5% 34.5% 13.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.7
16-4 5.7% 27.6% 27.6% 13.9 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 4.1
15-5 9.8% 20.4% 20.4% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.1 7.8
14-6 13.1% 13.8% 13.8% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.2 11.3
13-7 15.4% 8.9% 8.9% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.3 14.1
12-8 15.0% 5.6% 5.6% 15.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 14.1
11-9 13.1% 3.3% 3.3% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 12.6
10-10 10.0% 2.3% 2.3% 15.8 0.1 0.2 9.7
9-11 6.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 6.7
8-12 4.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.0
7-13 2.2% 2.2
6-14 0.9% 0.9
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.1 3.7 1.3 90.3 0.0%