IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.0	#219
Expected Predictive Rating	+1.0	#173

Pace	71.8	#107
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.9	#234

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.1	#207

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.1%	12.7%	7.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.3	14.8

.500 or above	64.9%	82.2%	59.0%
.500 or above in Conference	79.0%	87.2%	76.2%
Conference Champion	8.9%	12.4%	7.6%
Last Place in Conference	0.9%	0.3%	1.2%

First Four	0.8%	0.5%	0.8%
First Round	8.7%	12.3%	7.5%
Second Round	0.4%	0.8%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico St. (Away) - 25.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 4	2 - 8
Quad 4	14 - 5	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	15	@ Purdue	L	73-90	4%	0 - 1			+0.5	+3.5	-2.3
Nov 12, 2024	56	@ New Mexico	L	81-100	9%	0 - 2			-7.0	+1.1	-4.9
Nov 14, 2024	147	@ New Mexico St.	L	67-74	25%
Nov 21, 2024	314	Tennessee Martin	W	81-73	78%
Nov 23, 2024	337	Le Moyne	W	79-68	84%
Nov 30, 2024	345	Prairie View	W	82-70	86%
Dec 05, 2024	280	Lamar	W	77-71	71%
Dec 07, 2024	171	Stephen F. Austin	W	72-71	52%
Dec 15, 2024	175	@ Hawaii	L	68-73	32%
Dec 21, 2024	2	@ Houston	L	54-80	1%
Jan 04, 2025	276	@ SE Louisiana	W	71-70	50%
Jan 06, 2025	347	@ New Orleans	W	80-74	71%
Jan 11, 2025	269	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	81-75	70%
Jan 13, 2025	332	Northwestern St.	W	77-67	80%
Jan 18, 2025	327	@ Incarnate Word	W	80-77	62%
Jan 20, 2025	358	@ Houston Christian	W	80-72	75%
Jan 25, 2025	212	Nicholls St.	W	73-70	60%
Jan 27, 2025	99	McNeese St.	L	68-73	32%
Feb 01, 2025	269	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	77-78	49%
Feb 03, 2025	353	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	W	73-66	73%
Feb 08, 2025	171	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	69-74	32%
Feb 10, 2025	280	@ Lamar	W	74-73	50%
Feb 15, 2025	327	Incarnate Word	W	83-74	79%
Feb 17, 2025	358	Houston Christian	W	83-69	88%
Feb 22, 2025	99	@ McNeese St.	L	65-76	17%
Feb 24, 2025	212	@ Nicholls St.	L	70-73	39%
Mar 01, 2025	276	SE Louisiana	W	73-67	69%
Mar 03, 2025	347	New Orleans	W	83-71	85%
Projected Record						15 - 13	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.3	1.1	2.1	2.5	2.0	0.7	0.2		8.9	1st
2nd													0.2	1.3	3.9	5.3	4.1	1.6	0.2				16.5	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	2.3	5.5	5.5	2.6	0.5	0.0					16.9	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.7	5.7	4.5	1.3	0.2	0.0						14.8	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	2.5	5.1	3.5	0.8	0.0								12.5	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	2.2	4.0	2.8	0.6	0.0									9.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	1.6	3.4	2.0	0.3	0.0										7.6	7th
8th						0.0	0.2	1.2	2.5	1.4	0.3	0.0											5.5	8th
9th					0.0	0.2	1.0	1.4	1.1	0.2													3.9	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.6	0.1														2.2	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1															1.1	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0																0.5	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	1.2	2.2	3.5	5.7	7.6	9.2	11.4	12.2	12.1	11.1	9.2	6.6	4.1	2.2	0.7	0.2			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
19-1	100.0%	0.7		0.7	0.1
18-2	89.9%	2.0		1.6	0.4	0.0
17-3	60.6%	2.5		1.5	0.9	0.1
16-4	31.2%	2.1		0.8	1.0	0.2	0.0
15-5	11.6%	1.1		0.3	0.5	0.3	0.0
14-6	3.0%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0			0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	8.9%	8.9		5.0	3.0	0.7	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.2%		51.1%	51.1%		11.7						0.0			0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
19-1	0.7%		43.7%	43.7%		13.0												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.4
18-2	2.2%		36.9%	36.9%		13.5													0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1		1.4
17-3	4.1%		32.5%	32.5%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.0	2.8
16-4	6.6%		24.0%	24.0%		14.4													0.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.1	5.1
15-5	9.2%		19.1%	19.1%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	0.3	7.4
14-6	11.1%		12.5%	12.5%		15.1														0.0	0.2	0.7	0.4	9.7
13-7	12.1%		6.9%	6.9%		15.4															0.1	0.3	0.4	11.3
12-8	12.2%		4.2%	4.2%		15.5															0.0	0.2	0.3	11.7
11-9	11.4%		2.3%	2.3%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	11.1
10-10	9.2%		1.5%	1.5%		15.9																0.0	0.1	9.0
9-11	7.6%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	7.5
8-12	5.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	5.7
7-13	3.5%																							3.5
6-14	2.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.2
5-15	1.2%																							1.2
4-16	0.5%																							0.5
3-17	0.3%																							0.3
2-18	0.1%																							0.1
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		9.1%	9.1%	0.0%	14.6						0.0			0.0			0.0	0.2	1.2	2.4	3.3	2.0	90.9		0.0%