Lamar
Southland
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#231
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#254
Pace66.0#240
Improvement-0.4#202

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#276
First Shot-8.0#354
After Offensive Rebound+4.2#11
Layup/Dunks-3.1#293
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#305
Freethrows-3.6#351
Improvement-0.7#221

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#178
First Shot-0.1#182
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#197
Layups/Dunks+0.4#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#226
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#85
Freethrows-2.5#329
Improvement+0.2#173
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 4.6% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 34.1% 51.9% 25.8%
.500 or above in Conference 76.3% 89.9% 70.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round3.0% 4.4% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Away) - 31.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 33 - 43 - 8
Quad 410 - 814 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2024 21   @ Texas A&M L 71-97 3%     0 - 1 -7.9 +6.0 -13.2
  Nov 17, 2024 170   Sam Houston St. L 72-85 47%     0 - 2 -16.1 -1.3 -15.4
  Nov 22, 2024 124   @ Akron L 72-79 19%     0 - 3 -1.7 -3.6 +2.4
  Nov 23, 2024 299   Alabama St. L 75-77 64%     0 - 4 -9.7 -0.6 -9.2
  Nov 24, 2024 222   Nebraska Omaha L 59-65 48%     0 - 5 -9.4 -12.5 +2.7
  Dec 05, 2024 169   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 65-61 27%     1 - 5 1 - 0 +6.4 -5.0 +11.5
  Dec 07, 2024 247   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 84-52 43%     2 - 5 2 - 0 +30.0 +13.6 +17.8
  Dec 14, 2024 307   @ Louisiana W 74-45 56%     3 - 5 +23.6 +8.5 +18.9
  Dec 17, 2024 258   @ Southern Miss W 69-65 45%     4 - 5 +1.3 -2.8 +4.1
  Dec 21, 2024 17   @ Texas Tech L 57-101 3%     4 - 6 -24.8 -7.1 -18.4
  Jan 04, 2025 316   Houston Christian W 63-61 77%     5 - 6 3 - 0 -9.6 -12.3 +2.8
  Jan 06, 2025 303   Incarnate Word W 72-58 74%     6 - 6 4 - 0 +3.3 -2.2 +6.8
  Jan 11, 2025 249   Stephen F. Austin L 63-72 64%     6 - 7 4 - 1 -16.7 -3.0 -14.4
  Jan 13, 2025 343   New Orleans L 62-68 84%     6 - 8 4 - 2 -20.5 -13.9 -7.1
  Jan 18, 2025 74   @ McNeese St. L 64-75 10%     6 - 9 4 - 3 -0.8 +3.5 -5.5
  Jan 20, 2025 205   @ Nicholls St. L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 25, 2025 354   Texas A&M - Commerce W 73-61 88%    
  Jan 27, 2025 289   Northwestern St. W 69-63 72%    
  Feb 01, 2025 249   @ Stephen F. Austin L 62-64 43%    
  Feb 03, 2025 220   @ SE Louisiana L 65-68 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 247   UT Rio Grande Valley W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 10, 2025 169   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 354   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 70-63 73%    
  Feb 17, 2025 289   @ Northwestern St. W 66-65 51%    
  Feb 22, 2025 316   @ Houston Christian W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 24, 2025 303   @ Incarnate Word W 70-69 55%    
  Mar 01, 2025 74   McNeese St. L 62-71 22%    
  Mar 03, 2025 205   Nicholls St. W 71-70 54%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.4 2.2 0.6 0.1 9.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 5.4 6.4 3.0 0.5 0.0 16.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.8 8.1 2.9 0.2 0.0 18.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 6.1 9.3 3.1 0.2 19.3 5th
6th 0.3 3.6 8.4 2.5 0.2 15.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 5.7 2.5 0.2 10.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.1 2.0 0.1 6.1 8th
9th 0.2 1.5 1.7 0.3 3.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.2 7.0 12.2 18.1 18.7 17.3 12.0 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 50.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-4 19.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.8% 17.3% 17.3% 14.4 0.1 0.1 0.7
15-5 2.7% 11.3% 11.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.4
14-6 6.7% 9.3% 9.3% 14.8 0.2 0.4 0.1 6.1
13-7 12.0% 4.8% 4.8% 15.4 0.3 0.3 11.4
12-8 17.3% 4.8% 4.8% 15.6 0.4 0.5 16.5
11-9 18.7% 2.0% 2.0% 15.8 0.1 0.3 18.3
10-10 18.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 17.9
9-11 12.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.1
8-12 7.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.0
7-13 3.2% 3.2
6-14 1.1% 1.1
5-15 0.2% 0.2
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.4 96.8 0.0%