Lamar
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#195
Expected Predictive Rating+1.7#153
Pace64.1#316
Improvement-0.9#255

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#286
First Shot-7.0#349
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#43
Layup/Dunks-6.5#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+10.1#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#342
Freethrows-4.0#346
Improvement-1.0#254

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#116
First Shot+3.6#68
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#291
Layups/Dunks+0.3#163
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#75
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#163
Freethrows+1.0#120
Improvement+0.0#184
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 7.1% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 14.3
.500 or above 63.6% 71.7% 45.8%
.500 or above in Conference 64.7% 72.6% 47.2%
Conference Champion 5.4% 7.0% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 2.3% 7.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round5.8% 7.1% 3.1%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TX A&M Corpus Christi (Home) - 68.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 54 - 9
Quad 413 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 10 48 @TCU L 65-78 7%     0 - 1 +0.9 +6.1 -6.3
  Mon, Nov 17 357 @Louisiana Monroe W 79-66 80%     1 - 1 +1.9 -0.7 +2.2
  Sun, Nov 23 197 @Montana W 68-63 39%     2 - 1 +5.6 -8.0 +13.5
  Mon, Nov 24 141 Oakland L 68-83 36%     2 - 2 -13.5 -9.2 -4.2
  Wed, Dec 3 318 Louisiana W 65-55 82%     3 - 2 -1.9 -1.6 +1.2
  Sat, Dec 6 237 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 68-63 69%    
  Wed, Dec 10 52 @San Diego St. L 61-76 7%    
  Tue, Dec 16 213 UT Rio Grande Valley W 72-68 64%    
  Sat, Dec 20 252 Nebraska Omaha W 74-68 70%    
  Mon, Dec 29 302 @Northwestern St. W 67-65 59%    
  Wed, Dec 31 300 @East Texas A&M W 66-64 58%    
  Sat, Jan 3 78 @McNeese St. L 58-71 12%    
  Mon, Jan 5 248 @SE Louisiana L 63-64 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 171 Incarnate Word W 68-66 56%    
  Mon, Jan 12 282 Houston Christian W 69-62 74%    
  Sat, Jan 17 265 @Nicholls St. W 67-66 52%    
  Mon, Jan 19 216 @New Orleans L 68-70 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 144 Stephen F. Austin L 65-66 48%    
  Mon, Jan 26 300 East Texas A&M W 69-61 78%    
  Sat, Jan 31 78 McNeese St. L 61-68 28%    
  Mon, Feb 2 248 SE Louisiana W 66-61 69%    
  Sat, Feb 7 144 @Stephen F. Austin L 62-68 29%    
  Mon, Feb 9 302 Northwestern St. W 70-62 77%    
  Sat, Feb 14 237 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 65-66 47%    
  Mon, Feb 16 213 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 69-71 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 216 New Orleans W 71-67 64%    
  Mon, Feb 23 265 Nicholls St. W 70-64 72%    
  Sat, Feb 28 171 @Incarnate Word L 65-69 35%    
  Mon, Mar 2 282 @Houston Christian W 66-65 55%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.0 3.3 2.2 0.9 0.1 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 2.5 4.1 3.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 13.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.3 5.0 3.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.4 4.9 2.5 0.5 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.3 2.5 4.4 2.1 0.3 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.8 2.7 4.6 6.3 8.5 10.0 11.3 11.3 10.7 9.6 8.2 6.0 4.0 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
21-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
20-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
19-3 89.8% 1.0    0.8 0.1 0.0
18-4 60.4% 1.4    0.9 0.4 0.0
17-5 35.2% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
16-6 14.5% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1
15-7 4.3% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 5.4% 5.4 3.1 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
21-1 0.1% 35.5% 35.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
20-2 0.3% 44.8% 44.8% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
19-3 1.1% 34.8% 34.8% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7
18-4 2.3% 23.4% 23.4% 13.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7
17-5 4.0% 23.5% 23.5% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 3.1
16-6 6.0% 17.5% 17.5% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 4.9
15-7 8.2% 11.6% 11.6% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 7.2
14-8 9.6% 8.6% 8.6% 14.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 8.7
13-9 10.7% 4.9% 4.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 10.2
12-10 11.3% 2.2% 2.2% 14.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.0
11-11 11.3% 1.4% 1.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.2
10-12 10.0% 0.5% 0.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 10.0
9-13 8.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 8.5
8-14 6.3% 6.3
7-15 4.6% 4.6
6-16 2.7% 2.7
5-17 1.8% 1.8
4-18 0.8% 0.8
3-19 0.4% 0.4
2-20 0.2% 0.2
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.3 1.7 0.2 94.2 0.0%