Lamar
Southland
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#280
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#143
Pace70.1#160
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#248
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#299
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 5.8% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.8 15.1
.500 or above 33.6% 52.7% 26.0%
.500 or above in Conference 57.0% 69.1% 52.2%
Conference Champion 3.1% 5.1% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 1.8% 4.9%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.6%
First Round3.3% 5.5% 2.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sam Houston St. (Home) - 28.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2024 28   @ Texas A&M L 71-97 3%     0 - 1 -10.4 +3.4 -13.0
  Nov 17, 2024 123   Sam Houston St. L 73-79 28%    
  Nov 22, 2024 135   @ Akron L 67-78 16%    
  Nov 23, 2024 281   Alabama St. W 71-70 50%    
  Nov 24, 2024 266   Nebraska Omaha L 72-73 48%    
  Dec 05, 2024 219   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71-77 29%    
  Dec 07, 2024 269   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-79 38%    
  Dec 14, 2024 188   @ Louisiana L 69-77 25%    
  Dec 17, 2024 231   @ Southern Miss L 72-78 30%    
  Dec 21, 2024 14   @ Texas Tech L 61-85 2%    
  Jan 04, 2025 358   Houston Christian W 82-71 83%    
  Jan 06, 2025 327   Incarnate Word W 81-75 71%    
  Jan 11, 2025 171   Stephen F. Austin L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 13, 2025 347   New Orleans W 82-73 78%    
  Jan 18, 2025 99   @ McNeese St. L 64-78 11%    
  Jan 20, 2025 212   @ Nicholls St. L 69-75 29%    
  Jan 25, 2025 353   Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-65 80%    
  Jan 27, 2025 332   Northwestern St. W 76-69 71%    
  Feb 01, 2025 171   @ Stephen F. Austin L 67-76 23%    
  Feb 03, 2025 276   @ SE Louisiana L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 269   UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-76 59%    
  Feb 10, 2025 219   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 73-74 50%    
  Feb 15, 2025 353   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 72-68 63%    
  Feb 17, 2025 332   @ Northwestern St. W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 358   @ Houston Christian W 79-74 66%    
  Feb 24, 2025 327   @ Incarnate Word W 79-78 51%    
  Mar 01, 2025 99   McNeese St. L 67-75 24%    
  Mar 03, 2025 212   Nicholls St. L 71-72 49%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.5 3.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 10.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.6 3.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.0 3.3 0.6 0.0 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.0 2.9 0.6 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.0 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.4 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 8.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.1 4.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.5 4.0 6.0 7.7 9.7 11.0 11.4 11.1 10.6 8.1 6.4 4.6 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
18-2 86.7% 0.4    0.3 0.1
17-3 62.2% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
16-4 31.8% 0.8    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 12.9% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 43.5% 43.5% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.5% 37.1% 37.1% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.5% 28.7% 28.7% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
16-4 2.6% 20.7% 20.7% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.1
15-5 4.6% 13.7% 13.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 4.0
14-6 6.4% 10.2% 10.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 5.7
13-7 8.1% 5.6% 5.6% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 7.7
12-8 10.6% 3.0% 3.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 10.3
11-9 11.1% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.9
10-10 11.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.3
9-11 11.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.0
8-12 9.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.7
7-13 7.7% 7.7
6-14 6.0% 6.0
5-15 4.0% 4.0
4-16 2.5% 2.5
3-17 1.3% 1.3
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 1.3 96.4 0.0%