Nebraska
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.9#49
Expected Predictive Rating+18.3#17
Pace72.2#114
Improvement-2.7#334

Offense
Total Offense+6.1#53
First Shot+9.2#10
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#336
Layup/Dunks+4.5#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.3#10
Freethrows-1.6#263
Improvement-2.7#358

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#53
First Shot+1.5#127
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#19
Layups/Dunks+10.5#5
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#356
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#353
Freethrows+2.1#61
Improvement+0.0#186
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 3.8% 5.2% 1.7%
Top 6 Seed 14.4% 18.3% 8.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 54.3% 61.4% 43.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 54.0% 61.2% 43.4%
Average Seed 7.9 7.7 8.4
.500 or above 91.6% 95.8% 85.4%
.500 or above in Conference 42.3% 47.1% 35.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 2.4% 4.1%
First Four8.3% 8.5% 8.1%
First Round49.9% 56.9% 39.7%
Second Round26.4% 31.1% 19.4%
Sweet Sixteen7.4% 9.2% 4.8%
Elite Eight2.2% 2.6% 1.7%
Final Four0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Home) - 59.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 9
Quad 26 - 210 - 12
Quad 34 - 114 - 12
Quad 46 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 285 West Georgia W 86-53 96%     1 - 0 +23.3 +8.4 +14.7
  Sat, Nov 8 207 Florida International W 96-66 93%     2 - 0 +24.0 +12.6 +8.7
  Tue, Nov 11 341 Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-50 98%     3 - 0 +4.8 -4.7 +10.4
  Sat, Nov 15 41 Oklahoma W 105-99 46%     4 - 0 +17.8 +32.2 -14.5
  Thu, Nov 20 103 New Mexico W 84-72 73%     5 - 0 +16.6 +3.1 +11.8
  Fri, Nov 21 71 Kansas St. W 86-85 62%     6 - 0 +8.8 +8.9 -0.2
  Tue, Nov 25 107 Winthrop W 80-73 82%     7 - 0 +8.3 +6.7 +1.7
  Sat, Nov 29 278 South Carolina Upstate W 72-63 96%     8 - 0 -0.4 -5.8 +5.2
  Sun, Dec 7 45 Creighton W 77-74 60%    
  Wed, Dec 10 36 Wisconsin W 79-78 53%    
  Sat, Dec 13 17 @Illinois L 75-84 20%    
  Sun, Dec 21 340 North Dakota W 88-63 99%    
  Tue, Dec 30 344 New Hampshire W 86-61 99%    
  Fri, Jan 2 10 Michigan St. L 70-75 32%    
  Mon, Jan 5 25 @Ohio St. L 74-81 28%    
  Sat, Jan 10 24 @Indiana L 72-79 27%    
  Tue, Jan 13 80 Oregon W 80-73 73%    
  Sat, Jan 17 60 @Northwestern L 75-76 45%    
  Wed, Jan 21 57 Washington W 79-75 66%    
  Sat, Jan 24 95 @Minnesota W 72-69 60%    
  Tue, Jan 27 1 @Michigan L 70-88 5%    
  Sun, Feb 1 17 Illinois L 78-81 39%    
  Sat, Feb 7 120 @Rutgers W 76-71 66%    
  Tue, Feb 10 2 Purdue L 72-80 23%    
  Sat, Feb 14 60 Northwestern W 78-73 66%    
  Tue, Feb 17 27 @Iowa L 69-75 29%    
  Sat, Feb 21 96 Penn St. W 83-74 78%    
  Wed, Feb 25 86 Maryland W 81-73 76%    
  Sat, Feb 28 32 @USC L 77-83 30%    
  Tue, Mar 3 31 @UCLA L 70-76 31%    
  Sun, Mar 8 27 Iowa L 72-73 49%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.9 0.5 0.1 4.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.0 0.9 0.1 6.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.1 1.9 0.2 7.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.9 3.4 0.4 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.3 3.1 4.6 1.1 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.1 2.2 5.2 2.1 0.2 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 1.0 4.8 3.3 0.5 0.0 9.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 3.4 4.4 0.9 0.0 9.1 12th
13th 0.1 1.7 4.0 1.6 0.1 7.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.8 3.2 2.4 0.2 0.0 6.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 5.6 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.7 0.6 0.0 3.8 16th
17th 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.0 2.8 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.3 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.2 5.7 8.2 11.4 13.5 13.6 12.7 11.0 7.9 5.2 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 87.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 26.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 14.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 3.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 16.9% 83.1% 2.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.6% 100.0% 5.2% 94.8% 3.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.5% 100.0% 4.1% 95.9% 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 3.0% 100.0% 3.2% 96.8% 5.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 100.0%
13-7 5.2% 99.9% 1.9% 97.9% 5.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.4 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-8 7.9% 98.9% 0.7% 98.2% 6.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.9%
11-9 11.0% 95.7% 0.5% 95.3% 7.8 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.6 3.3 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.5 95.7%
10-10 12.7% 86.8% 0.1% 86.7% 8.8 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.6 3.5 2.6 0.8 1.7 86.8%
9-11 13.6% 62.0% 0.1% 61.8% 9.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.9 3.1 2.6 0.1 5.2 61.9%
8-12 13.5% 34.4% 0.2% 34.2% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.7 0.2 8.9 34.3%
7-13 11.4% 9.5% 0.1% 9.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 10.3 9.4%
6-14 8.2% 0.8% 0.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 8.2 0.8%
5-15 5.7% 5.7
4-16 3.2% 3.2
3-17 1.4% 1.4
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 54.3% 0.5% 53.7% 7.9 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.3 4.1 6.4 7.6 8.3 8.5 8.1 7.0 0.3 45.7 54.0%