Nebraska
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.0#48
Expected Predictive Rating+13.0#40
Pace68.9#160
Improvement-0.2#201

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#55
First Shot+7.5#23
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#300
Layup/Dunks+3.2#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#138
Freethrows+3.5#24
Improvement+2.4#69

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#48
First Shot+5.3#40
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#155
Layups/Dunks+13.5#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#348
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#355
Freethrows+1.4#84
Improvement-2.7#311
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 2.1% 4.3% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 74.2% 87.8% 63.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 74.0% 87.7% 63.3%
Average Seed 9.2 8.7 9.7
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 35.9% 63.3% 14.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four11.0% 4.2% 16.3%
First Round68.2% 85.7% 54.4%
Second Round25.8% 34.3% 19.1%
Sweet Sixteen4.8% 6.2% 3.8%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.8% 1.2%
Final Four0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan (Home) - 44.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b4 - 27 - 10
Quad 24 - 211 - 11
Quad 33 - 114 - 13
Quad 46 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 262   UT Rio Grande Valley W 87-67 95%     1 - 0 +12.0 +3.1 +7.2
  Nov 09, 2024 293   Bethune-Cookman W 63-58 96%     2 - 0 -4.9 -15.9 +10.8
  Nov 13, 2024 318   Fairleigh Dickinson W 86-60 97%     3 - 0 +14.2 +6.2 +7.2
  Nov 17, 2024 30   St. Mary's L 74-77 36%     3 - 1 +11.7 +15.9 -4.4
  Nov 22, 2024 31   @ Creighton W 74-63 28%     4 - 1 +28.0 +8.3 +19.5
  Nov 27, 2024 243   South Dakota W 96-79 94%     5 - 1 +10.0 +7.9 +0.7
  Dec 01, 2024 266   North Florida W 103-72 95%     6 - 1 +22.9 +12.6 +7.5
  Dec 07, 2024 12   @ Michigan St. L 52-89 18%     6 - 2 0 - 1 -16.2 -10.3 -5.5
  Dec 13, 2024 57   Indiana W 85-68 62%     7 - 2 1 - 1 +25.0 +17.7 +7.6
  Dec 22, 2024 156   Murray St. W 66-49 84%     8 - 2 +17.5 -1.4 +20.0
  Dec 23, 2024 207   @ Hawaii W 69-55 85%     9 - 2 +14.0 +6.3 +9.5
  Dec 25, 2024 87   Oregon St. W 78-66 67%     10 - 2 +18.4 +12.7 +6.8
  Dec 30, 2024 224   Southern W 77-43 93%     11 - 2 +28.1 +8.9 +21.0
  Jan 04, 2025 27   UCLA W 66-58 45%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +20.2 -0.6 +20.7
  Jan 07, 2025 61   @ Iowa L 87-97 OT 47%     12 - 3 2 - 2 +1.8 +4.6 -1.6
  Jan 12, 2025 16   @ Purdue L 68-104 20%     12 - 4 2 - 3 -16.0 +1.7 -17.4
  Jan 16, 2025 63   Rutgers L 82-85 69%     12 - 5 2 - 4 +2.8 +19.3 -16.7
  Jan 19, 2025 13   @ Maryland L 66-69 19%     12 - 6 2 - 5 +17.5 +5.6 +11.8
  Jan 22, 2025 59   USC L 73-78 63%     12 - 7 2 - 6 +2.6 +4.7 -2.2
  Jan 26, 2025 7   @ Wisconsin L 55-83 17%     12 - 8 2 - 7 -6.7 -10.5 +3.9
  Jan 30, 2025 18   Illinois W 80-74 OT 40%     13 - 8 3 - 7 +19.6 +3.4 +15.5
  Feb 02, 2025 39   @ Oregon W 77-71 36%     14 - 8 4 - 7 +20.7 +12.2 +8.6
  Feb 05, 2025 90   @ Washington W 86-72 61%     15 - 8 5 - 7 +22.3 +24.9 -1.4
  Feb 09, 2025 33   Ohio St. W 79-71 50%     16 - 8 6 - 7 +19.1 +15.7 +3.9
  Feb 13, 2025 13   Maryland L 75-83 34%     16 - 9 6 - 8 +7.4 +13.8 -6.8
  Feb 16, 2025 58   @ Northwestern W 68-64 43%     17 - 9 7 - 8 +16.8 +3.6 +13.4
  Feb 19, 2025 62   @ Penn St. L 72-89 50%     17 - 10 7 - 9 -5.9 +5.4 -11.7
  Feb 24, 2025 22   Michigan L 74-76 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 76   Minnesota W 71-65 74%    
  Mar 04, 2025 33   @ Ohio St. L 70-75 29%    
  Mar 09, 2025 61   Iowa W 83-79 67%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 1.5 6th
7th 0.1 5.7 4.6 10.4 7th
8th 3.1 14.3 1.5 18.9 8th
9th 0.3 17.2 7.7 0.1 25.3 9th
10th 4.1 15.5 0.5 20.1 10th
11th 0.0 8.4 2.6 11.1 11th
12th 0.3 6.7 0.2 7.2 12th
13th 1.3 1.8 0.0 3.1 13th
14th 1.6 0.2 1.8 14th
15th 0.7 0.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 4.0 21.4 38.7 28.4 7.5 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 7.5% 98.7% 1.2% 97.5% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.1 2.7 1.2 0.1 0.1 98.6%
10-10 28.4% 93.6% 0.8% 92.8% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 8.4 10.0 4.4 0.4 1.8 93.6%
9-11 38.7% 78.0% 0.7% 77.3% 9.7 0.1 0.5 2.7 8.4 13.0 5.6 0.1 8.5 77.9%
8-12 21.4% 45.3% 0.3% 45.0% 10.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.6 5.8 0.5 11.7 45.1%
7-13 4.0% 8.0% 0.2% 7.7% 11.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 3.7 7.8%
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 74.2% 0.7% 73.5% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 5.2 14.0 20.2 20.2 12.0 0.5 25.8 74.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7% 100.0% 6.5 1.5 13.4 32.8 38.8 11.9 1.5
Lose Out 3.4% 5.0% 11.2 4.2 0.9