IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.5	#300
Expected Predictive Rating	-8.3	#306

Pace	70.8	#126
Improvement	-2.6	#324

Offense
Total Offense	-4.1	#290

First Shot	-3.6	#289
After Offensive Rebound	-0.5	#214

Layup/Dunks	-6.5	#350
2 Pt Jumpshots	+6.8	#5
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.4	#287
Freethrows	-0.4	#206

Improvement	-0.4	#212

Defense
Total Defense	-3.4	#284

First Shot	-1.7	#226
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.7	#306

Layups/Dunks	+5.8	#33
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.2	#178
3 Pt Jumpshots	-7.4	#357
Freethrows	-0.3	#213

Improvement	-2.2	#326

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.1%	16.4%	10.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.7	15.9

.500 or above	19.6%	46.0%	18.7%
.500 or above in Conference	82.4%	91.3%	82.1%
Conference Champion	14.2%	22.9%	13.9%
Last Place in Conference	0.5%	0.1%	0.5%

First Four	9.1%	10.0%	9.1%
First Round	6.4%	10.9%	6.3%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Boise St. (Away) - 3.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 10
Quad 4	12 - 7	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	53	@ Xavier	L	69-78	4%	0 - 1			+4.0	+0.3	+4.0
Nov 10, 2024	40	@ Georgia	L	64-92	3%	0 - 2			-13.4	-2.5	-10.0
Nov 12, 2024	110	@ Georgia Tech	L	62-81	10%	0 - 3			-12.1	-9.7	-1.3
Nov 17, 2024	109	@ Samford	L	82-97	9%	0 - 4			-8.0	+3.1	-10.0
Nov 24, 2024	71	@ New Mexico	L	68-99	5%	0 - 5			-20.2	-7.2	-9.8
Dec 01, 2024	138	Texas St.	L	59-72	29%	0 - 6			-14.8	-10.8	-5.0
Dec 07, 2024	128	@ Sam Houston St.	L	71-87	12%	0 - 7			-11.0	+2.2	-14.0
Dec 14, 2024	54	@ Nevada	L	73-105	4%	0 - 8			-19.1	+3.5	-21.6
Dec 17, 2024	58	@ Boise St.	L	62-82	3%
Dec 21, 2024	188	@ Abilene Christian	L	68-77	20%
Jan 04, 2025	223	Southern	L	70-71	45%
Jan 06, 2025	287	Grambling St.	W	71-69	58%
Jan 11, 2025	362	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	85-78	73%
Jan 13, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	73-62	84%
Jan 18, 2025	343	Alcorn St.	W	75-68	74%
Jan 20, 2025	311	Jackson St.	W	74-70	64%
Jan 25, 2025	361	@ Alabama A&M	W	77-73	65%
Jan 27, 2025	275	@ Alabama St.	L	73-78	34%
Feb 01, 2025	340	Prairie View	W	84-77	73%
Feb 08, 2025	355	Florida A&M	W	75-66	78%
Feb 10, 2025	289	Bethune-Cookman	W	73-71	58%
Feb 15, 2025	287	@ Grambling St.	L	68-72	36%
Feb 17, 2025	223	@ Southern	L	67-74	26%
Feb 22, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	76-59	93%
Feb 24, 2025	362	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	88-75	87%
Mar 01, 2025	311	@ Jackson St.	L	71-73	42%
Mar 03, 2025	343	@ Alcorn St.	W	72-71	53%
Mar 08, 2025	340	@ Prairie View	W	81-80	53%
Projected Record						11 - 17	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.4	2.2	4.1	4.0	2.5	0.9	0.2		14.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.6	3.6	5.9	3.8	1.0	0.1				15.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	3.6	6.7	3.3	0.5	0.0					14.5	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	2.8	6.8	3.2	0.4	0.0						13.4	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	1.9	5.7	3.5	0.4	0.0							11.8	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	1.3	4.8	3.7	0.5	0.0								10.4	6th
7th							0.1	0.8	3.4	3.5	0.6	0.0									8.3	7th
8th						0.0	0.5	2.1	2.5	0.6	0.0										5.8	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	1.2	1.7	0.5	0.0											3.8	9th
10th				0.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.3	0.0												1.9	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0													0.8	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0															0.2	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	1.4	2.7	4.9	7.9	11.0	13.3	14.9	14.3	11.7	8.4	5.1	2.6	0.9	0.2			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	0.9		0.9	0.0
16-2	96.4%	2.5		2.2	0.3	0.0
15-3	79.5%	4.0		2.7	1.2	0.1
14-4	48.3%	4.1		1.7	1.8	0.5	0.0	0.0
13-5	18.4%	2.2		0.4	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0
12-6	2.6%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0	0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	14.2%	14.2		8.0	4.4	1.4	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		49.4%	49.4%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
17-1	0.9%		36.3%	36.3%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.6
16-2	2.6%		31.0%	31.0%		15.7															0.0	0.2	0.6	1.8
15-3	5.1%		25.3%	25.3%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.1	3.8
14-4	8.4%		22.0%	22.0%		16.0															0.0	0.1	1.8	6.6
13-5	11.7%		16.7%	16.7%		16.0																0.0	1.9	9.7
12-6	14.3%		12.5%	12.5%		16.0																	1.8	12.5
11-7	14.9%		9.0%	9.0%		16.0																	1.3	13.6
10-8	13.3%		6.8%	6.8%		16.0																	0.9	12.4
9-9	11.0%		4.6%	4.6%		16.0																	0.5	10.5
8-10	7.9%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																	0.2	7.7
7-11	4.9%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	4.9
6-12	2.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.7
5-13	1.4%																							1.4
4-14	0.4%																							0.4
3-15	0.2%																							0.2
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	15.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	10.3	88.9		0.0%