Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#300
Expected Predictive Rating-10.6#323
Pace74.0#56
Improvement+0.6#152

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#344
First Shot-6.1#335
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#270
Layup/Dunks-7.0#352
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#274
Freethrows-1.6#284
Improvement-2.9#325

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#186
First Shot+1.2#138
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#301
Layups/Dunks+5.1#36
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#155
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#340
Freethrows+0.4#149
Improvement+3.6#24
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.3% 12.3% 7.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 14.3% 21.3% 5.1%
.500 or above in Conference 91.8% 96.7% 85.4%
Conference Champion 7.2% 11.1% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four9.5% 11.0% 7.5%
First Round5.7% 7.0% 4.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Home) - 56.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 40 - 10
Quad 412 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 41   @ Xavier L 69-78 3%     0 - 1 +5.4 +1.7 +4.1
  Nov 10, 2024 34   @ Georgia L 64-92 3%     0 - 2 -12.5 -0.6 -11.0
  Nov 12, 2024 104   @ Georgia Tech L 62-81 10%     0 - 3 -12.5 -10.2 -1.1
  Nov 17, 2024 115   @ Samford L 82-97 11%     0 - 4 -9.3 +3.5 -11.7
  Nov 24, 2024 53   @ New Mexico L 68-99 4%     0 - 5 -17.8 -3.7 -10.8
  Dec 01, 2024 167   Texas St. L 59-72 32%     0 - 6 -16.0 -12.9 -4.1
  Dec 07, 2024 170   @ Sam Houston St. L 71-87 17%     0 - 7 -13.6 +0.9 -15.3
  Dec 14, 2024 68   @ Nevada L 73-105 5%     0 - 8 -21.1 +3.0 -23.1
  Dec 17, 2024 57   @ Boise St. L 51-82 4%     0 - 9 -18.5 -19.8 +3.0
  Dec 21, 2024 242   @ Abilene Christian L 65-69 28%     0 - 10 -5.7 -11.2 +6.0
  Jan 04, 2025 219   Southern L 58-67 43%     0 - 11 0 - 1 -15.0 -14.4 -0.6
  Jan 06, 2025 325   Grambling St. W 71-66 OT 69%     1 - 11 1 - 1 -7.8 -15.2 +6.9
  Jan 13, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 82-53 91%     2 - 11 2 - 1 +6.5 -0.5 +6.9
  Jan 18, 2025 332   Alcorn St. W 66-57 72%     3 - 11 3 - 1 -4.7 -8.8 +4.6
  Jan 20, 2025 278   Jackson St. W 71-69 57%    
  Jan 25, 2025 358   @ Alabama A&M W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 27, 2025 299   @ Alabama St. L 72-75 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 330   Prairie View W 79-73 71%    
  Feb 04, 2025 363   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 84-76 76%    
  Feb 08, 2025 360   Florida A&M W 76-66 84%    
  Feb 10, 2025 255   Bethune-Cookman W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 325   @ Grambling St. L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 17, 2025 219   @ Southern L 65-72 24%    
  Feb 22, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 77-57 97%    
  Feb 24, 2025 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 87-73 90%    
  Mar 01, 2025 278   @ Jackson St. L 68-72 35%    
  Mar 03, 2025 332   @ Alcorn St. W 69-68 51%    
  Mar 08, 2025 330   @ Prairie View W 77-76 50%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 2.4 2.6 1.2 0.2 7.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 6.0 5.6 1.5 0.2 15.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.7 8.5 6.9 1.3 0.1 19.7 3rd
4th 0.1 2.5 9.0 7.0 1.1 0.0 19.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 6.7 6.4 1.2 0.0 15.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.3 4.9 0.8 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.1 0.9 0.0 6.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 1.7 0.6 0.0 3.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 5.3 9.6 15.2 19.0 18.4 14.7 9.3 4.1 1.3 0.2 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-2 88.6% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
15-3 63.6% 2.6    1.4 1.0 0.2
14-4 25.7% 2.4    0.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 5.4% 0.8    0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.2% 7.2 3.1 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1
16-2 1.3% 33.3% 33.3% 15.9 0.1 0.4 0.9
15-3 4.1% 23.3% 23.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0 3.2
14-4 9.3% 19.0% 19.0% 16.0 1.8 7.5
13-5 14.7% 14.6% 14.6% 16.0 2.2 12.6
12-6 18.4% 9.8% 9.8% 16.0 1.8 16.6
11-7 19.0% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 1.6 17.4
10-8 15.2% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 1.0 14.2
9-9 9.6% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.4 9.2
8-10 5.3% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 5.2
7-11 2.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
6-12 0.7% 0.7
5-13 0.2% 0.2
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.2 89.7 0.0%