Utah Valley
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#118
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#121
Pace69.8#140
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#165
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#98
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.6% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 37.5% 48.8% 35.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.2 12.3 13.2
.500 or above 83.1% 94.9% 80.8%
.500 or above in Conference 89.4% 95.5% 88.2%
Conference Champion 49.8% 64.1% 47.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 0.7% 2.5%
First Four1.1% 0.6% 1.2%
First Round37.6% 48.8% 35.4%
Second Round4.5% 8.2% 3.8%
Sweet Sixteen1.0% 1.9% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boise St. (Away) - 16.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 36 - 57 - 8
Quad 412 - 319 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2025 53   @ Boise St. L 64-74 16%    
  Nov 15, 2025 202   @ Fresno St. W 75-73 58%    
  Nov 19, 2025 105   UC Irvine W 71-69 56%    
  Nov 25, 2025 147   South Dakota St. W 74-72 59%    
  Nov 26, 2025 182   Samford W 78-74 65%    
  Dec 03, 2025 36   @ San Diego St. L 61-74 12%    
  Dec 06, 2025 152   @ Bowling Green L 70-71 49%    
  Dec 10, 2025 288   Idaho St. W 75-62 86%    
  Dec 13, 2025 121   UC Santa Barbara W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 17, 2025 283   Weber St. W 75-63 85%    
  Dec 29, 2025 186   California Baptist W 73-65 74%    
  Jan 01, 2026 265   @ Tarleton St. W 69-64 67%    
  Jan 03, 2026 178   @ Abilene Christian W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 08, 2026 276   Southern Utah W 77-65 84%    
  Jan 10, 2026 269   Utah Tech W 75-64 83%    
  Jan 17, 2026 203   Texas Arlington W 75-67 76%    
  Jan 21, 2026 276   @ Southern Utah W 74-68 68%    
  Jan 24, 2026 186   @ California Baptist W 70-68 55%    
  Jan 29, 2026 265   @ Tarleton St. W 69-64 66%    
  Feb 05, 2026 178   Abilene Christian W 74-67 72%    
  Feb 07, 2026 203   Texas Arlington W 75-67 75%    
  Feb 12, 2026 269   @ Utah Tech W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 19, 2026 186   California Baptist W 73-65 74%    
  Feb 21, 2026 203   @ Texas Arlington W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 26, 2026 265   Tarleton St. W 72-61 82%    
  Feb 28, 2026 178   Abilene Christian W 74-67 72%    
  Mar 05, 2026 276   @ Southern Utah W 74-68 68%    
  Mar 07, 2026 269   @ Utah Tech W 72-67 67%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 3.2 6.4 10.0 11.1 9.3 6.3 2.7 49.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.7 6.7 5.4 2.5 0.7 0.0 21.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.3 3.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 11.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.0 1.9 0.4 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.6 0.7 0.1 4.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.2 2.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.3 7th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.8 2.8 4.0 5.9 7.9 9.3 11.5 12.2 12.6 11.8 9.3 6.3 2.7 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 2.7    2.7
17-1 100.0% 6.3    6.3
16-2 99.7% 9.3    9.0 0.3
15-3 94.1% 11.1    9.9 1.2 0.0
14-4 79.9% 10.0    7.6 2.3 0.1
13-5 52.8% 6.4    3.7 2.4 0.3
12-6 27.6% 3.2    1.1 1.5 0.5 0.0
11-7 7.7% 0.7    0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 49.8% 49.8 40.4 8.1 1.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 2.7% 78.0% 76.5% 1.5% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.6 6.4%
17-1 6.3% 70.7% 70.1% 0.6% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.7 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.9 2.1%
16-2 9.3% 62.3% 62.3% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.9 2.8 1.6 0.4 0.1 3.5 0.1%
15-3 11.8% 55.3% 55.3% 12.8 0.4 2.3 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 5.3
14-4 12.6% 45.4% 45.4% 13.3 0.1 1.2 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 6.9
13-5 12.2% 39.1% 39.1% 13.7 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.7 0.8 0.1 7.4
12-6 11.5% 33.8% 33.8% 14.5 0.3 0.9 1.6 1.0 0.3 7.6
11-7 9.3% 22.3% 22.3% 15.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.4 7.3
10-8 7.9% 13.1% 13.1% 16.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 6.9
9-9 5.9% 11.4% 11.4% 16.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 5.2
8-10 4.0% 8.9% 8.9% 18.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.7
7-11 2.8% 5.2% 5.2% 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.6
6-12 1.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.8
5-13 0.9% 0.9
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.0 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 37.5% 37.5% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 4.0 9.6 10.0 7.6 4.0 2.1 62.5 0.1%