Texas Arlington
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#160
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#298
Pace75.2#50
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#89
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#260
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.0% 13.3% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.4 14.0
.500 or above 54.8% 68.1% 42.6%
.500 or above in Conference 69.5% 76.0% 63.6%
Conference Champion 12.2% 15.8% 9.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 2.8% 5.8%
First Four0.5% 0.3% 0.7%
First Round10.8% 13.2% 8.7%
Second Round1.3% 1.8% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Away) - 47.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 35 - 66 - 12
Quad 49 - 315 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 92   Louisiana Tech L 77-92 42%     0 - 1 -12.3 +8.6 -21.6
  Nov 13, 2024 65   @ USC L 95-98 15%     0 - 2 +8.5 +14.5 -5.7
  Nov 19, 2024 195   @ Missouri St. L 76-77 48%    
  Nov 25, 2024 136   Murray St. L 74-75 47%    
  Nov 27, 2024 215   Austin Peay W 76-73 63%    
  Nov 28, 2024 116   Rhode Island L 81-84 40%    
  Dec 02, 2024 319   @ Louisiana Monroe W 79-73 72%    
  Dec 12, 2024 115   @ Arkansas St. L 77-83 29%    
  Dec 14, 2024 319   Louisiana Monroe W 82-70 86%    
  Dec 18, 2024 248   Evansville W 82-74 75%    
  Dec 21, 2024 104   @ Liberty L 70-77 26%    
  Dec 29, 2024 146   @ Texas St. L 72-76 38%    
  Jan 04, 2025 299   @ Tarleton St. W 79-74 65%    
  Jan 09, 2025 301   @ Utah Tech W 83-78 65%    
  Jan 11, 2025 214   @ Southern Utah W 81-80 52%    
  Jan 16, 2025 124   Utah Valley W 76-75 53%    
  Jan 23, 2025 152   Seattle W 78-75 59%    
  Jan 25, 2025 237   @ Abilene Christian W 78-77 54%    
  Jan 30, 2025 214   Southern Utah W 83-77 71%    
  Feb 01, 2025 301   Utah Tech W 86-75 82%    
  Feb 06, 2025 124   @ Utah Valley L 73-78 33%    
  Feb 08, 2025 152   @ Seattle L 75-78 38%    
  Feb 13, 2025 181   California Baptist W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 15, 2025 85   Grand Canyon L 78-81 39%    
  Feb 22, 2025 299   Tarleton St. W 82-71 81%    
  Feb 27, 2025 85   @ Grand Canyon L 75-84 21%    
  Mar 01, 2025 237   Abilene Christian W 81-74 72%    
  Mar 08, 2025 181   @ California Baptist L 73-75 45%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.0 3.8 2.6 1.2 0.3 12.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.2 6.3 4.9 1.9 0.3 17.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.6 7.2 3.8 0.8 0.0 17.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.9 6.6 2.8 0.3 0.0 15.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 4.7 5.2 1.8 0.2 13.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 3.9 4.5 1.2 0.1 10.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.8 2.9 0.7 0.0 7.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.2 9th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.3 5.4 8.3 10.9 12.2 13.5 13.5 11.5 8.8 5.7 2.9 1.2 0.3 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 100.0% 1.2    1.1 0.1
14-2 90.1% 2.6    2.0 0.5
13-3 66.6% 3.8    2.3 1.4 0.1
12-4 34.3% 3.0    1.2 1.4 0.4 0.0
11-5 10.0% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 12.2% 12.2 7.2 3.9 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 54.2% 49.4% 4.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 9.5%
15-1 1.2% 49.9% 49.9% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-2 2.9% 40.0% 39.9% 0.1% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.7 0.2%
13-3 5.7% 30.0% 30.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.0
12-4 8.8% 25.3% 25.3% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 6.6
11-5 11.5% 19.0% 19.0% 14.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 9.3
10-6 13.5% 11.5% 11.5% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 11.9
9-7 13.5% 5.7% 5.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 12.7
8-8 12.2% 2.9% 2.9% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.9
7-9 10.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.7
6-10 8.3% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.2
5-11 5.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.4
4-12 3.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.3
3-13 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.7
2-14 0.6% 0.6
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.2 2.9 2.0 0.9 89.0 0.0%