Texas Arlington
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#203
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#121
Pace68.6#182
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#192
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#214
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.7% 21.2% 12.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 13.4 14.2
.500 or above 49.7% 73.5% 45.2%
.500 or above in Conference 59.5% 73.9% 56.8%
Conference Champion 15.1% 23.6% 13.5%
Last Place in Conference 11.9% 5.6% 13.0%
First Four1.5% 1.0% 1.6%
First Round13.6% 21.0% 12.1%
Second Round0.8% 1.7% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Away) - 15.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 64 - 10
Quad 410 - 515 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2025 94   @ New Mexico L 71-82 16%    
  Nov 15, 2025 164   Missouri St. W 67-66 55%    
  Nov 18, 2025 234   @ Evansville L 68-69 45%    
  Nov 21, 2025 227   Campbell W 70-69 55%    
  Nov 22, 2025 283   @ Weber St. W 70-69 55%    
  Nov 29, 2025 215   Stephen F. Austin W 71-68 62%    
  Dec 02, 2025 134   @ Arkansas St. L 71-78 28%    
  Dec 11, 2025 257   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 75-76 50%    
  Dec 17, 2025 90   @ Stanford L 64-75 17%    
  Dec 22, 2025 315   @ Oral Roberts W 74-71 61%    
  Dec 29, 2025 265   Tarleton St. W 71-65 70%    
  Jan 01, 2026 186   California Baptist W 71-69 58%    
  Jan 03, 2026 276   @ Southern Utah W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 10, 2026 178   Abilene Christian W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 15, 2026 269   @ Utah Tech W 71-70 52%    
  Jan 17, 2026 118   @ Utah Valley L 67-75 24%    
  Jan 21, 2026 265   Tarleton St. W 71-65 70%    
  Jan 29, 2026 276   Southern Utah W 76-69 70%    
  Jan 31, 2026 186   California Baptist W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 05, 2026 269   @ Utah Tech W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 07, 2026 118   @ Utah Valley L 67-75 25%    
  Feb 12, 2026 178   @ Abilene Christian L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 14, 2026 276   Southern Utah W 76-69 70%    
  Feb 19, 2026 269   Utah Tech W 74-68 70%    
  Feb 21, 2026 118   Utah Valley L 70-72 44%    
  Feb 26, 2026 186   @ California Baptist L 68-72 38%    
  Mar 05, 2026 265   @ Tarleton St. W 68-67 50%    
  Mar 07, 2026 178   @ Abilene Christian L 69-73 37%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.3 3.7 2.9 1.8 0.8 0.3 15.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.5 5.3 3.8 1.7 0.3 0.1 18.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.8 6.3 4.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 17.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.0 5.4 5.5 2.8 0.4 0.0 16.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 3.0 4.9 3.8 1.0 0.1 13.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.6 3.5 3.4 1.9 0.4 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.9 2.1 1.5 0.6 0.0 7.9 7th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.4 3.8 5.8 7.3 8.9 10.4 10.5 11.2 10.1 8.8 7.4 5.4 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.3 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8
16-2 97.0% 1.8    1.7 0.1
15-3 89.6% 2.9    2.5 0.5 0.0
14-4 68.0% 3.7    2.6 1.0 0.1
13-5 44.3% 3.3    1.9 1.2 0.2
12-6 21.2% 1.9    0.7 0.8 0.4 0.0
11-7 5.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.1% 15.1 10.4 3.9 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 72.0% 72.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.8% 62.3% 62.3% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.8% 52.2% 52.2% 12.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9
15-3 3.3% 44.4% 44.4% 13.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8
14-4 5.4% 38.0% 38.0% 13.4 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.4
13-5 7.4% 28.2% 28.2% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 5.3
12-6 8.8% 24.4% 24.4% 14.7 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.3 6.6
11-7 10.1% 17.1% 17.1% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 8.3
10-8 11.2% 10.3% 10.3% 16.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 10.1
9-9 10.5% 5.8% 5.8% 17.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 9.9
8-10 10.4% 4.7% 4.7% 16.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.9
7-11 8.9% 2.7% 2.7% 16.6 0.0 0.2 8.6
6-12 7.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.2
5-13 5.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.7
4-14 3.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.8
3-15 2.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.4
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 13.7% 13.7% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 86.3 0.0%