Mississippi
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#58
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#119
Pace65.7#282
Improvement-1.0#262

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#56
First Shot+3.7#77
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#59
Layup/Dunks-2.7#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#75
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#161
Freethrows+3.3#34
Improvement-1.5#299

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#76
First Shot+7.3#20
After Offensive Rebounds-3.9#347
Layups/Dunks+8.7#11
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#231
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#294
Freethrows+2.3#59
Improvement+0.5#138
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 1.7% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 2.8% 7.7% 2.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.2% 34.3% 15.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 17.8% 33.5% 15.4%
Average Seed 8.5 8.0 8.7
.500 or above 39.3% 61.6% 35.8%
.500 or above in Conference 21.1% 30.8% 19.5%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.1% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 15.7% 10.9% 16.4%
First Four3.6% 4.3% 3.5%
First Round16.4% 32.2% 14.0%
Second Round8.4% 17.1% 7.0%
Sweet Sixteen2.0% 4.0% 1.7%
Elite Eight0.6% 1.1% 0.6%
Final Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Away) - 13.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 54 - 13
Quad 23 - 36 - 16
Quad 33 - 19 - 17
Quad 46 - 015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 248 SE Louisiana W 88-58 94%     1 - 0 +22.2 +18.9 +4.9
  Fri, Nov 7 357 Louisiana Monroe W 86-65 98%     2 - 0 +3.9 +0.7 +2.0
  Tue, Nov 11 75 Memphis W 83-77 68%     3 - 0 +10.6 +16.5 -5.7
  Fri, Nov 14 280 Cal St. Bakersfield W 82-60 95%     4 - 0 +12.5 +15.3 -0.1
  Tue, Nov 18 182 Austin Peay W 72-65 90%     5 - 0 +2.4 +0.9 +1.7
  Tue, Nov 25 27 Iowa L 69-74 32%     5 - 1 +9.1 +8.3 +0.3
  Wed, Nov 26 117 Utah L 74-75 72%     5 - 2 +2.2 +7.2 -5.0
  Tue, Dec 2 34 Miami (FL) L 66-75 47%     5 - 3 +1.1 +2.0 -1.3
  Sat, Dec 6 13 @St. John's L 72-84 14%    
  Sat, Dec 13 219 Southern Miss W 80-67 89%    
  Wed, Dec 17 266 Alabama A&M W 77-62 92%    
  Sat, Dec 20 35 North Carolina St. L 77-81 37%    
  Mon, Dec 29 333 Alcorn St. W 85-62 99%    
  Sat, Jan 3 41 @Oklahoma L 73-78 31%    
  Wed, Jan 7 22 Arkansas L 74-77 41%    
  Sat, Jan 10 37 Missouri L 75-76 50%    
  Wed, Jan 14 19 @Georgia L 77-86 20%    
  Sat, Jan 17 81 @Mississippi St. L 74-75 47%    
  Tue, Jan 20 20 Auburn L 74-77 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 23 @Kentucky L 71-80 22%    
  Sat, Jan 31 12 Vanderbilt L 75-81 29%    
  Tue, Feb 3 16 @Tennessee L 67-78 17%    
  Sat, Feb 7 50 @Texas L 73-77 35%    
  Wed, Feb 11 11 Alabama L 80-86 29%    
  Sat, Feb 14 81 Mississippi St. W 77-72 68%    
  Wed, Feb 18 38 @Texas A&M L 74-80 31%    
  Sat, Feb 21 15 Florida L 73-78 31%    
  Wed, Feb 25 29 LSU L 74-75 45%    
  Sat, Feb 28 20 @Auburn L 71-80 21%    
  Wed, Mar 4 12 @Vanderbilt L 72-84 14%    
  Sat, Mar 7 89 South Carolina W 75-68 72%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.2 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.1 0.6 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 1.7 0.2 4.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 2.8 0.6 0.0 4.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.5 1.9 0.1 6.2 9th
10th 0.2 2.7 4.0 0.5 7.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.6 5.3 1.9 0.0 8.9 11th
12th 0.0 1.1 5.0 3.8 0.3 10.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 4.5 5.6 1.3 0.0 12.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.9 4.2 5.8 2.1 0.1 0.0 13.1 14th
15th 0.1 1.1 3.9 4.9 2.4 0.3 0.0 12.8 15th
16th 0.3 1.3 2.8 2.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 8.9 16th
Total 0.3 1.4 4.0 7.7 11.3 14.1 14.8 13.9 11.4 8.5 6.0 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 83.8% 0.1    0.1 0.1
14-4 67.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
13-5 17.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.4% 100.0% 9.8% 90.2% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
13-5 0.7% 100.0% 5.4% 94.6% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 1.8% 97.7% 3.6% 94.2% 6.6 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.7%
11-7 3.6% 93.9% 2.6% 91.3% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 93.8%
10-8 6.0% 81.4% 1.3% 80.1% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.5 1.1 81.1%
9-9 8.5% 53.1% 1.0% 52.1% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 0.0 0.0 4.0 52.7%
8-10 11.4% 17.1% 0.2% 16.8% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.1 9.4 16.9%
7-11 13.9% 3.5% 0.2% 3.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 13.4 3.3%
6-12 14.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.8 0.3%
5-13 14.1% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 14.1
4-14 11.3% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 11.3
3-15 7.7% 7.7
2-16 4.0% 4.0
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 18.2% 0.5% 17.7% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 2.6 3.3 3.1 3.1 3.2 0.2 0.0 81.8 17.8%