Arkansas Little Rock
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#315
Expected Predictive Rating-10.7#314
Pace65.6#283
Improvement+0.5#153

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#303
First Shot-6.1#335
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#109
Layup/Dunks+4.2#58
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#313
Freethrows-5.1#357
Improvement-0.1#191

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#295
First Shot-3.9#304
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#179
Layups/Dunks-2.8#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#21
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#352
Freethrows+2.6#46
Improvement+0.6#139
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 6.5% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 16.0
.500 or above 8.4% 24.9% 7.8%
.500 or above in Conference 41.0% 58.8% 40.4%
Conference Champion 4.2% 9.8% 4.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.0% 4.5% 10.2%
First Four2.7% 3.4% 2.7%
First Round2.4% 4.8% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: West Virginia (Away) - 3.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 410 - 1110 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 10 219 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-92 22%     0 - 1 -20.7 -1.4 -19.4
  Wed, Nov 12 88 @Marquette L 49-89 6%     0 - 2 -31.0 -16.4 -16.4
  Sat, Nov 15 310 @Ball St. W 68-62 37%     1 - 2 +0.7 -3.5 +4.4
  Tue, Nov 18 111 @Murray St. L 68-89 8%     1 - 3 -14.3 +0.8 -16.2
  Fri, Nov 21 237 @Texas St. L 56-65 24%     1 - 4 -10.3 -10.8 -0.2
  Sat, Nov 29 143 @Southern Illinois L 65-74 12%     1 - 5 -4.8 +0.2 -5.9
  Wed, Dec 3 279 @Central Arkansas L 47-85 30%     1 - 6 -41.2 -26.6 -13.7
  Sat, Dec 6 149 Arkansas St. L 78-90 28%     1 - 7 -14.7 +1.8 -16.2
  Tue, Dec 9 71 @West Virginia L 56-76 3%    
  Tue, Dec 16 325 @Morehead St. L 69-71 42%    
  Thu, Dec 18 314 @Southern Indiana L 72-75 39%    
  Thu, Jan 1 271 Tennessee Tech W 73-72 51%    
  Sat, Jan 3 249 Tennessee St. L 71-72 47%    
  Thu, Jan 8 230 @SIU Edwardsville L 63-71 24%    
  Sat, Jan 10 236 @Lindenwood L 70-77 25%    
  Thu, Jan 15 329 Eastern Illinois W 70-66 65%    
  Sat, Jan 17 361 Western Illinois W 72-63 78%    
  Thu, Jan 22 216 @Southeast Missouri St. L 68-76 23%    
  Sat, Jan 24 240 @Tennessee Martin L 64-71 26%    
  Thu, Jan 29 249 @Tennessee St. L 68-75 27%    
  Sat, Jan 31 271 @Tennessee Tech L 69-75 30%    
  Thu, Feb 5 236 Lindenwood L 73-74 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 230 SIU Edwardsville L 66-68 44%    
  Thu, Feb 12 361 @Western Illinois W 69-66 60%    
  Sat, Feb 14 329 @Eastern Illinois L 67-69 44%    
  Thu, Feb 19 240 Tennessee Martin L 67-68 46%    
  Sat, Feb 21 216 Southeast Missouri St. L 71-73 43%    
  Thu, Feb 26 325 Morehead St. W 72-68 64%    
  Sat, Feb 28 314 Southern Indiana W 75-72 60%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 2.1 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 3.2 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 4.0 2.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.3 3.3 0.7 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.5 4.7 0.9 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.5 4.7 1.3 0.1 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.5 5.1 1.6 0.1 12.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.1 4.7 1.5 0.1 12.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.6 3.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 10.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.0 5.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 4.0 6.4 8.9 11.7 12.5 12.4 11.9 9.8 7.7 5.1 3.4 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 98.2% 0.4    0.3 0.0
16-4 89.9% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
15-5 66.7% 1.2    0.7 0.4 0.1
14-6 35.0% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-7 10.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 24.1% 24.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 29.1% 29.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
16-4 0.8% 26.6% 26.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6
15-5 1.8% 25.5% 25.5% 15.9 0.0 0.4 1.3
14-6 3.4% 18.5% 18.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6 2.7
13-7 5.1% 13.1% 13.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7 4.5
12-8 7.7% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.5 7.1
11-9 9.8% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.4 9.4
10-10 11.9% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 11.6
9-11 12.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 12.2
8-12 12.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.4
7-13 11.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.6
6-14 8.9% 8.9
5-15 6.4% 6.4
4-16 4.0% 4.0
3-17 2.1% 2.1
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.4 96.4 0.0%