Drake
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#143
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#204
Pace63.5#328
Improvement+0.6#139

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#132
First Shot+2.7#96
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#264
Layup/Dunks+0.0#192
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#178
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#98
Freethrows+0.3#154
Improvement+1.8#66

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#172
First Shot-1.7#225
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#75
Layups/Dunks+1.7#117
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#254
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#327
Freethrows+1.8#69
Improvement-1.1#269
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 5.1% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.1 13.6
.500 or above 41.2% 56.4% 31.1%
.500 or above in Conference 53.1% 68.9% 42.6%
Conference Champion 2.0% 4.1% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 0.8% 3.6%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round3.8% 5.1% 2.9%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois St. (Home) - 40.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 52 - 7
Quad 36 - 68 - 13
Quad 47 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 289 Northern Arizona W 77-71 77%     1 - 0 -0.7 +3.1 -3.7
  Thu, Nov 6 185 Robert Morris L 79-81 OT 71%     1 - 1 -6.7 -1.2 -5.4
  Fri, Nov 14 249 SIU Edwardsville L 59-61 81%     1 - 2 -10.0 -6.2 -4.1
  Mon, Nov 17 169 @College of Charleston W 71-62 45%     2 - 2 +11.4 +0.0 +11.6
  Fri, Nov 28 39 LSU L 62-71 15%     2 - 3 +3.4 -4.8 +7.9
  Sat, Nov 29 129 Georgia Tech W 84-74 47%     3 - 3 +12.0 +20.4 -7.7
  Tue, Dec 2 356 Western Illinois W 108-57 94%     4 - 3 +34.2 +38.3 +0.9
  Fri, Dec 5 107 UAB L 69-74 50%     4 - 4 -3.8 -2.3 -1.6
  Sat, Dec 13 155 North Dakota St. L 94-99 64%     4 - 5 -7.6 +17.0 -24.5
  Thu, Dec 18 100 @Murray St. L 72-81 25%     4 - 6 0 - 1 -0.7 +3.8 -5.0
  Sun, Dec 21 252 @Evansville W 66-65 63%     5 - 6 1 - 1 -1.2 -1.1 -0.1
  Mon, Dec 29 82 Illinois St. L 69-72 40%    
  Sun, Jan 4 201 Indiana St. W 76-69 73%    
  Wed, Jan 7 108 @Bradley L 67-73 30%    
  Sat, Jan 10 69 Belmont L 73-77 36%    
  Wed, Jan 14 130 @Southern Illinois L 70-74 36%    
  Sat, Jan 17 200 @Illinois-Chicago W 72-71 53%    
  Wed, Jan 21 100 Murray St. L 78-79 46%    
  Sat, Jan 24 201 @Indiana St. W 73-72 53%    
  Wed, Jan 28 252 Evansville W 73-64 81%    
  Sat, Jan 31 108 Bradley W 70-69 51%    
  Tue, Feb 3 69 @Belmont L 70-80 19%    
  Fri, Feb 6 82 @Illinois St. L 66-75 22%    
  Mon, Feb 9 219 Valparaiso W 73-65 77%    
  Thu, Feb 12 200 Illinois-Chicago W 75-68 73%    
  Sun, Feb 15 93 @Northern Iowa L 59-67 24%    
  Wed, Feb 18 130 Southern Illinois W 73-71 58%    
  Wed, Feb 25 219 @Valparaiso W 70-68 57%    
  Sun, Mar 1 93 Northern Iowa L 62-64 43%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.8 2.5 0.4 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.3 6.2 3.5 0.5 0.0 15.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.7 7.3 3.5 0.6 0.0 19.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.5 6.3 6.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 18.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.6 3.7 1.1 0.1 11.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.8 2.0 0.5 0.0 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.2 6.0 9.3 12.4 13.9 14.9 13.1 10.8 7.2 4.0 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 95.0% 0.3    0.3 0.1
16-4 68.2% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
15-5 35.0% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 7.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.3% 26.7% 26.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.8% 21.3% 21.3% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
15-5 2.0% 13.8% 13.8% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.7
14-6 4.0% 11.7% 11.7% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.5
13-7 7.2% 7.8% 7.8% 12.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 6.6
12-8 10.8% 7.0% 7.0% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 10.1
11-9 13.1% 4.2% 4.2% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 12.6
10-10 14.9% 3.2% 3.2% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 14.4
9-11 13.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.1 0.2 0.0 13.7
8-12 12.4% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.3
7-13 9.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 9.3
6-14 6.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.0
5-15 3.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.2
4-16 1.4% 1.4
3-17 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 13.3 0.1 1.0 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 96.2 0.0%