Ivy League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
73 Yale 57.1%   12   7 - 1 0 - 0 21 - 5 11 - 3 +7.7      +8.7 23 -1.0 199 66.2 269 +12.0 50 0.0 1
130 Columbia 18.4%   8 - 1 0 - 0 19 - 7 9 - 5 +2.1      +2.2 115 -0.1 165 69.7 177 +14.4 32 0.0 1
150 Cornell 11.2%   4 - 4 0 - 0 13 - 12 8 - 6 +0.2      +4.0 82 -3.8 299 79.9 11 +0.2 168 0.0 1
202 Harvard 4.6%   4 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 15 6 - 8 -2.6      -1.5 210 -1.1 204 64.5 309 -5.3 248 0.0 1
226 Brown 3.1%   4 - 6 0 - 0 10 - 16 6 - 8 -3.8      -6.1 331 +2.2 104 65.3 292 -7.2 284 0.0 1
248 Penn 2.4%   4 - 4 0 - 0 11 - 15 5 - 9 -4.9      -0.7 183 -4.1 319 71.9 123 -1.1 189 0.0 1
250 Princeton 1.9%   2 - 9 0 - 0 9 - 19 5 - 9 -4.9      -4.2 286 -0.7 184 67.0 254 -9.5 302 0.0 1
268 Dartmouth 1.7%   2 - 4 0 - 0 8 - 17 5 - 9 -5.6      -2.8 245 -2.8 262 75.2 48 -10.0 305 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 3 150 Cornell 80 125 Towson 93   
Wed, Dec 3 207 Monmouth 63 250 Princeton 58   
Wed, Dec 3 130 Columbia 72 139 Hofstra 70   
Wed, Dec 3 268 Dartmouth 69 335 New Hampshire 68   
Wed, Dec 3 202 Harvard 71 167 Massachusetts 78   
Fri, Dec 5 226 Brown 75 297 Bryant 56   
Sat, Dec 6 148 Furman 79 202 Harvard 69   
Sat, Dec 6 260 Loyola Chicago 73 250 Princeton 68   
Sat, Dec 6 268 Dartmouth 80 107 Wyoming 93   
Sat, Dec 6 248 Penn 63 38 Villanova 90   
Sat, Dec 6 130 Columbia 93 330 Albany 65   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 7 150 Cornell 84 231 Samford 83 55%   
Sun, Dec 7 204 Illinois-Chicago 71 73 Yale 84 89%   
Mon, Dec 8 327 Lafayette 71 248 Penn 79 78%   
Tue, Dec 9 130 Columbia 74 221 Stony Brook 71 61%   
Tue, Dec 9 226 Brown 66 65 Providence 81 92%   
Tue, Dec 9 72 Colorado St. 85 268 Dartmouth 68 93%   
Wed, Dec 10 283 Merrimack 64 250 Princeton 69 67%   
Wed, Dec 10 330 Albany 68 73 Yale 85 94%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.4 74.6 16.4 5.6 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Columbia 2.7 20.7 33.8 20.1 11.6 6.8 4.0 2.1 0.9
Cornell 3.4 11.8 24.4 22.4 16.3 11.2 6.9 4.6 2.5
Harvard 4.5 4.1 12.5 17.1 18.5 16.6 13.9 10.3 7.1
Brown 5.0 2.4 8.0 13.3 16.0 17.3 16.7 15.1 11.2
Penn 5.5 1.6 6.1 10.2 13.8 16.0 17.4 18.1 16.9
Princeton 5.5 1.3 5.6 10.3 14.1 16.4 18.0 18.3 16.0
Dartmouth 5.7 1.2 5.0 8.7 11.8 14.7 16.8 19.2 22.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 4.1 7.5 13.4 19.5 23.2 19.8 9.7
Columbia 9 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.2 7.5 11.3 15.6 17.9 16.9 12.8 7.4 2.9 0.6
Cornell 8 - 6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.4 7.7 11.7 15.4 17.0 15.9 12.2 7.7 3.7 1.2 0.2
Harvard 6 - 8 0.1 0.7 2.4 6.0 10.0 14.3 16.9 16.7 13.9 9.9 5.5 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0
Brown 6 - 8 0.2 1.6 4.4 9.0 13.4 16.8 17.2 14.8 11.1 6.5 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Penn 5 - 9 0.6 2.6 6.8 11.8 16.3 17.3 15.5 12.7 8.3 4.8 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
Princeton 5 - 9 0.5 2.5 6.5 11.8 15.9 18.2 16.1 12.7 8.5 4.6 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Dartmouth 5 - 9 1.2 4.3 9.1 13.7 16.5 16.7 14.3 10.9 6.8 3.9 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 74.6% 61.6 11.3 1.6 0.2 0.0
Columbia 20.7% 12.2 7.2 1.2 0.1 0.0
Cornell 11.8% 6.3 4.4 1.0 0.1 0.0
Harvard 4.1% 1.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
Brown 2.4% 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
Penn 1.6% 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Princeton 1.3% 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
Dartmouth 1.2% 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 57.1% 56.7% 0.4% 12   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.3 14.0 29.8 9.3 1.1 0.0 42.9 0.8%
Columbia 18.4% 18.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 7.1 7.6 2.6 0.2 81.6 0.0%
Cornell 11.2% 11.2% 0.0% 0.1 1.2 3.6 3.7 2.4 0.3 88.9 0.0%
Harvard 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 1.2 95.4 0.0%
Brown 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 96.9 0.0%
Penn 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 0.5 97.6 0.0%
Princeton 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.6 98.1 0.0%
Dartmouth 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 98.3 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 57.1% 0.3% 56.9% 13.2% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 18.4% 0.0% 18.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 11.2% 0.1% 11.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 4.6% 0.6% 4.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 3.1% 1.0% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 2.4% 0.2% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 1.9% 1.4% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 1.7% 0.6% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.6 0.4
1st Round 98.6% 1.0 1.4 98.4 0.2
2nd Round 15.8% 0.2 84.2 15.8 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 3.4% 0.0 96.6 3.4
Elite Eight 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0