IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.9	#186
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.5	#109
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.1	#265

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.2	#127

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	26.0%	41.8%	26.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.3	13.4	14.6

.500 or above	62.4%	88.7%	61.8%
.500 or above in Conference	91.0%	92.7%	90.9%
Conference Champion	42.9%	65.4%	42.4%
Last Place in Conference	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

First Four	5.2%	1.6%	5.3%
First Round	26.8%	41.4%	26.5%
Second Round	1.1%	2.8%	1.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 4	0 - 4
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 6
Quad 3	2 - 3	2 - 10
Quad 4	14 - 5	17 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	17	@ Arkansas	L	61-83	2%
Nov 05, 2025	43	@ Marquette	L	61-78	6%
Nov 18, 2025	48	@ Washington	L	64-80	7%
Nov 21, 2025	159	@ San Jose St.	L	66-71	34%
Nov 29, 2025	255	@ Northwestern St.	W	66-65	51%
Dec 08, 2025	36	@ Texas	L	62-80	6%
Dec 10, 2025	193	@ Texas St.	L	67-70	40%
Dec 16, 2025	169	@ California Baptist	L	66-70	37%
Dec 21, 2025	23	@ Baylor	L	58-78	4%
Dec 29, 2025	15	@ Illinois	L	65-87	3%
Dec 31, 2025	326	@ Alcorn St.	W	69-64	66%
Jan 03, 2026	285	Texas Southern	W	75-67	75%
Jan 05, 2026	341	Prairie View	W	79-66	86%
Jan 10, 2026	332	@ Florida A&M	W	72-67	68%
Jan 12, 2026	246	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	71-72	49%
Jan 17, 2026	283	@ Grambling St.	W	65-63	57%
Jan 24, 2026	364	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	87-63	98%
Jan 26, 2026	365	Mississippi Valley	W	78-52	99%
Jan 31, 2026	326	@ Alcorn St.	W	69-64	66%
Feb 02, 2026	238	@ Jackson St.	L	70-71	48%
Feb 07, 2026	325	Alabama A&M	W	79-68	81%
Feb 09, 2026	292	Alabama St.	W	74-66	76%
Feb 14, 2026	341	@ Prairie View	W	76-69	71%
Feb 16, 2026	285	@ Texas Southern	W	72-70	57%
Feb 21, 2026	283	@ Grambling St.	W	65-63	57%
Feb 26, 2026	332	Florida A&M	W	75-64	82%
Feb 28, 2026	246	Bethune-Cookman	W	74-68	68%
Mar 03, 2026	292	@ Alabama St.	W	71-69	58%
Mar 05, 2026	325	@ Alabama A&M	W	76-71	65%
Projected Record						15 - 14	13 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.4	2.4	6.2	9.5	10.1	7.8	4.9		41.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	3.0	6.3	5.7	2.5	0.8	0.1			18.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	2.6	4.7	3.1	0.8	0.1					11.6	3rd
4th										0.2	1.8	3.8	2.0	0.3	0.0						8.0	4th
5th									0.1	1.2	2.9	1.7	0.2								6.1	5th
6th								0.1	0.7	2.0	1.4	0.2	0.0								4.4	6th
7th							0.0	0.4	1.4	1.2	0.1	0.0									3.2	7th
8th						0.1	0.2	0.9	1.0	0.2	0.0										2.3	8th
9th				0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0											1.4	9th
10th				0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0												0.8	10th
11th			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														0.1	11th
12th		0.0		0.0																	0.0	12th

Total		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.0	2.1	3.4	4.8	6.5	8.8	10.4	12.1	12.6	12.1	10.9	7.9	4.9			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	4.9		4.8	0.0
17-1	98.6%	7.8		7.4	0.4
16-2	92.3%	10.1		8.7	1.4	0.0
15-3	78.6%	9.5		6.6	2.7	0.2
14-4	48.7%	6.2		3.0	2.5	0.6	0.0	0.0
13-5	19.7%	2.4		0.6	1.0	0.6	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.8%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	41.2%	41.2		31.1	8.1	1.6	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	4.9%		62.9%	62.9%		13.3											0.0	0.1	0.7	1.1	0.9	0.3	0.0	1.8
17-1	7.9%		52.7%	52.7%		14.0												0.0	0.4	1.2	1.5	0.9	0.2	3.7
16-2	10.9%		43.3%	43.3%		14.6												0.0	0.2	0.9	1.8	1.5	0.5	6.2
15-3	12.1%		36.1%	36.1%		16.1													0.0	0.3	1.3	1.9	1.2	7.7
14-4	12.6%		26.3%	26.3%		17.3													0.0	0.1	0.5	1.5	1.6	9.3
13-5	12.1%		22.0%	22.0%		18.4													0.0	0.0	0.2	1.0	1.9	9.4
12-6	10.4%		15.8%	15.8%		17.8														0.0	0.0	0.3	1.5	8.7
11-7	8.8%		12.4%	12.4%		16.8																0.1	1.0	7.7
10-8	6.5%		8.9%	8.9%		16.2																0.0	0.6	5.9
9-9	4.8%		5.6%	5.6%		16.0																	0.3	4.5
8-10	3.4%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.1	3.3
7-11	2.1%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
6-12	1.0%																							1.0
5-13	0.6%																							0.6
4-14	0.2%																							0.2
3-15	0.1%																							0.1
2-16	0.0%																							0.0
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		26.0%	26.0%	0.0%	15.7											0.0	0.1	1.3	3.6	6.3	7.6	8.9	74.0		0.0%